Adventures in AI

As a self-employed software engineer, I use AI daily to help with my work. But I use it in a very targeted way and with a heavy skepticism I call “Don’t Trust and Heavily Verify”. This is the opposite of “vibe coding” where the developer is simply typing sentences into the AI and getting it to do everything behind the scenes with little to no verification of the resulting code.

So, while I do appreciate what modern AI is capable of doing, I also realize that it’s a magic trick of sorts; a very impressive magic trick to be sure, but one must understand the limits of AI and realize that it’s not actually thinking. In fact, it doesn’t actually know ahead of time what the next word in its response will be displayed. That is determined on the fly by a huge probability tree.

There are two new videos on this subject that are well worth watching but, for some background, please read about the recent failures of AI at Amazon.

Here’s the first video and here’s the second.

Could Iran be the next “Forever War?”

Weekend Watch: The Iran War Expert: I Simulated The Iran War for 20 Years. Here’s What Happens Next.

While watching this, consider if the Iran War does become a forever war, what will it’s impact be on oil production, delivery through the Strait of Hormuz or lack thereof, the world economy, Canadian and Saskatchewan oil production could be profound and last years? Could this lead to a global recession, but good times for our oilpatch? Remember the $147 WTI barrel of July, 2008, led to the global financial crisis that September. Some of us are still bearing the scars of that.

I know I am.

Private Credit Woes

Ron Butler asks the tough question: are the problems in Canada’s private credit market an indication of a financial contagion?

We have Easy Financial. The stock price fell 50% in one day. Is this the private credit contagion?

Um, they’re restating earnings from over a year ago. What? What? What? What sense does that make?

I think something is wrong because you don’t want to see the CEO of a independent financial lending organization both quit within the same two year period.

Navigation