Category: Y2Kyoto

I See A Crazy Mann

Steve Guest;

Senior administrator at the University of Pennsylvania Michael Mann is on an unhinged generational run on X, reposting comments calling Charlie Kirk the “head of Trump’s Hitler Youth.”

Mann also wrote: “The white on white violence has gotten out of hand.”

Does UPENN agree with their Director Center for Science, Sustainability & the Media?

REMINDER: Mann previously called for people to take up arms and form a militia against Trump.

Is what happened to Charlie what Mann wants to happen to POTUS?

FACT: According to court documents, Mann was sanctioned for “knowingly feeding the jury false data” in a manner of misconduct that was “extraordinary in its scope, extent, and intent.”

Y2Kyoto: Drill Old Chap, Drill

[UK Tory leader Kemi Badenough] it seems, is about to unveil a pledge to extract as much oil and gas from the North Sea as possible.

This is from the front page of the Sunday Telegraph which is carrying a headline proclaiming, “Drill the North Sea dry, says Badenoch”, mirrored by an online story headed: “Kemi Badenoch: No more net zero – extract every drop of North Sea oil”.

From the online text, we learn that this week in Aberdeen she will deliver a speech that will draw comparison to Donald Trump’s “drill, baby, drill” moment, when she will vow to abolish all environmental restrictions on fossil fuel extraction.

This, it is said, will be her greatest departure from net zero to date. It will emulate the wealth-creating approach taken by Norway and establish “a clear dividing line with Ed Miliband, who is forging ahead with net zero plans to ban new oil and gas licences.

Such a pledge, if ever translated into policy, would release the estimated 3.3 billion barrels of oil equivalent in the UK’s North Sea sector, although there may be even more, with some recent analyses suggesting that up to 7.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent could still be produced from UK waters,

To put this into context, the total annual primary energy consumption figure for the UK runs at about 550 million barrels of oil equivalent, which includes consumption directly by consumers, fuel used for electricity generation, and other transformation processes.

And, there’s more.

h/t Adrian

Y2Kyoto: Unsustainable

Juxtapose time!

Stanford School of Sustainability, June 18th;

A sweeping new analysis finds that rising global temperatures will dampen the world’s capacity to produce food from most staple crops, even after accounting for economic development and adaptation by farmers.

Javier Blas, August 12th;

USDA forecasts a massive US corn crop this year, with yield at a record high of 188.8 bushels per acre. Corn prices going down.

An amazing trend: in a generation (since 2000), US corn yield have increased ~45%. In two generations (since 1975), corn yields have almost doubled.

Related: Faux meat-congealer Beyond Meat reported a bad third quarter last week; the company’s sales were hurt in part “by weak demand for its plant-based meat products,” according to Reuters, and that has The Street’s Daniel Kline arguing the company is ripe for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

Y2Kyoto: Blunder Down Under

You can’t cheat Father Physics.

“The head of one of Australia’s biggest power retailers has warned that Australia’s energy transition is veering out of control, pointing to a major market disruption that hit New South Wales as evidence of the turmoil. During a week in which NSW agreed to extend the life of the state’s biggest coal plant, Alinta boss Jeff Dimery cited dramatic events in the market earlier in the month to argue the system was in distress.

The Australian Energy Market Operator was forced to step into the NSW market and cap wholesale prices between May 8 and 15 after a series of shocks sent costs into orbit. It’s believed to be only the second time the market operator has had to make such an intervention in NSW — the first being the energy crisis of 2022.”

[…]

“He said the energy system was getting more fragile as the addition of new clean sources of power failed to keep pace with the retirement of coal-fired generation.”

Via Doomberg.

Y2Kyoto: Run For Yer Lives!


Roger Pielke Jr :
The figure above shows deaths from weather and climate disasters, from January to June, from 2000 to 2025. You can see that deaths are dominated by years with large events — 2008, Cyclone Nargis (~138,000 deaths, Indian Ocean); 2010, heat wave (~56,000 deaths, Russia); 2022, heat wave (>50,000 deaths, Europe).5 The little red bar on the far right of the bar graph is 2025.

Y2Kyoto: Endangerment Derangement

Foxnews, watching from the sidelines;

Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Lee Zeldin will rescind the Obama administration’s endangerment finding declaration in the “largest deregulatory action in the history of America,” he announced Tuesday on the “Ruthless” podcast.

Zeldin joined the “Ruthless” podcast to break the news that the EPA would nix the declaration that insisted greenhouse gases like carbon monoxide and methane endanger human lives. Zeldin will officially make the announcement that will drive “a dagger into the heart of the climate change religion” later in the day in Indiana.

“A lot of people are out there listening, they might not know what the endangerment finding is. If you ask congressional Democrats to describe what it is, the left would say that it means that carbon dioxide is a pollutant, carbon dioxide is an endangerment to human health. They might say methane is a pollutant, methane is an endangerment to human health,” Zeldin said.

At least they were gracious about it.

We Don’t Need No Stinking Giant Fans

The Physics Behind the Spanish Blackout

When a grid failure plunged 55 million people in Spain and Portugal into darkness at the end of April, it should have been a wake-up call on green energy. Climate activists promised that solar and wind power were the future of cheap, dependable electricity. The massive half-day blackout shows otherwise. The nature of solar and wind generation makes grids that rely on them more prone to collapse—an issue that’s particularly expensive to ameliorate. […]

Grids need to stay on a very stable frequency—generally 50 Hertz in Europe—or else you get blackouts. Fossil-fuel, hydro and nuclear generation all solve this problem naturally because they generate energy by powering massive spinning turbines. The inertia of these heavy rotating masses resists changes in speed and hence frequency, so that when sudden demand swings would otherwise drop or hike grid frequency, the turbines work as immense buffers. But wind and solar don’t power such heavy turbines to generate energy. It’s possible to make up for this with cutting-edge technology such as advanced inverters or synthetic inertia. But many solar and wind farms haven’t undergone these expensive upgrades. If a grid dominated by those two power sources gets off frequency, a blackout is more likely than in a system that relies on other energy sources.

Green energy manufacturer can’t afford the cost of energy;

A major supplier to Britain’s green energy industry is set to close after its Japanese owner failed to clinch a rescue deal for the company and its 250 workers.

Wigan-based Electric Glass Fiber UK (EGFU), which is owned by Nippon Electric Glass (NEG), makes vital components used in wind turbines and electric cars. Its closure puts net zero supply chains under threat.

Insane Predictions

So a warming climate will diminish crop yields? I guess that’s why corn yields in Manitoba are currently so much higher than corn yields in Iowa….oh, wait….

And if carbon pollution worsens, the loss of calories across the same six staples — corn, wheat, rice, soybeans, sorghum and cassava — rises to nearly a quarter by century’s end, the researchers reported in Nature.

More generally, every additional degree Celsius of warming reduces the world’s ability to produce food from these crops by 120 calories per person per day, or nearly five percent of current daily consumption, they calculated.

Y2Kyoto: The Government Giveth

The government taketh away.

More than $14 billion in green energy projects have been delayed or canceled so far in 2025 as the Trump administration and its allies move to roll back former President Joe Biden’s sprawling climate agenda, according to new analysis released Thursday.

Congressional Republicans are looking to restrict Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) subsidies for green projects while the Trump administration slashes big-budget climate grants, leading companies that once had big ambitions to postpone or cancel their green energy developments outright. Although many investments spurred by the IRA were canceled before 2025, $14 billion worth of projects have been canceled or delayed so far this year, with $4.5 billion nixed or pushed back in April alone, according to an analysis on projects tracked by the nonpartisan group E2 in partnership with the Clean Economy Tracker.

The Art of Distraction

Having previously changed the consumer carbon tax rate to zero, the Carney government appears to be moving to eliminate it altogether. But don’t get out the champagne just yet. The industrial carbon tax remains, and Carney’s being cagey about what might happen to it.

In March Carney used a regulation to set the price of the consumer carbon price to zero. However the government is now moving to repeal the law which enabled the policy, effectively ending it for good — along with the rebate Canadians received from it.

The pricing system for industry accounted for about 80 per cent of total emissions cuts from carbon pricing overall.

Carney has promised to strengthen the industrial policy but has not said how or when that will happen.

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