Category: Y2Kyoto

We Don’t Need No Stinking Giant Fans

The Physics Behind the Spanish Blackout

When a grid failure plunged 55 million people in Spain and Portugal into darkness at the end of April, it should have been a wake-up call on green energy. Climate activists promised that solar and wind power were the future of cheap, dependable electricity. The massive half-day blackout shows otherwise. The nature of solar and wind generation makes grids that rely on them more prone to collapse—an issue that’s particularly expensive to ameliorate. […]

Grids need to stay on a very stable frequency—generally 50 Hertz in Europe—or else you get blackouts. Fossil-fuel, hydro and nuclear generation all solve this problem naturally because they generate energy by powering massive spinning turbines. The inertia of these heavy rotating masses resists changes in speed and hence frequency, so that when sudden demand swings would otherwise drop or hike grid frequency, the turbines work as immense buffers. But wind and solar don’t power such heavy turbines to generate energy. It’s possible to make up for this with cutting-edge technology such as advanced inverters or synthetic inertia. But many solar and wind farms haven’t undergone these expensive upgrades. If a grid dominated by those two power sources gets off frequency, a blackout is more likely than in a system that relies on other energy sources.

Green energy manufacturer can’t afford the cost of energy;

A major supplier to Britain’s green energy industry is set to close after its Japanese owner failed to clinch a rescue deal for the company and its 250 workers.

Wigan-based Electric Glass Fiber UK (EGFU), which is owned by Nippon Electric Glass (NEG), makes vital components used in wind turbines and electric cars. Its closure puts net zero supply chains under threat.

Insane Predictions

So a warming climate will diminish crop yields? I guess that’s why corn yields in Manitoba are currently so much higher than corn yields in Iowa….oh, wait….

And if carbon pollution worsens, the loss of calories across the same six staples — corn, wheat, rice, soybeans, sorghum and cassava — rises to nearly a quarter by century’s end, the researchers reported in Nature.

More generally, every additional degree Celsius of warming reduces the world’s ability to produce food from these crops by 120 calories per person per day, or nearly five percent of current daily consumption, they calculated.

Y2Kyoto: The Government Giveth

The government taketh away.

More than $14 billion in green energy projects have been delayed or canceled so far in 2025 as the Trump administration and its allies move to roll back former President Joe Biden’s sprawling climate agenda, according to new analysis released Thursday.

Congressional Republicans are looking to restrict Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) subsidies for green projects while the Trump administration slashes big-budget climate grants, leading companies that once had big ambitions to postpone or cancel their green energy developments outright. Although many investments spurred by the IRA were canceled before 2025, $14 billion worth of projects have been canceled or delayed so far this year, with $4.5 billion nixed or pushed back in April alone, according to an analysis on projects tracked by the nonpartisan group E2 in partnership with the Clean Economy Tracker.

The Art of Distraction

Having previously changed the consumer carbon tax rate to zero, the Carney government appears to be moving to eliminate it altogether. But don’t get out the champagne just yet. The industrial carbon tax remains, and Carney’s being cagey about what might happen to it.

In March Carney used a regulation to set the price of the consumer carbon price to zero. However the government is now moving to repeal the law which enabled the policy, effectively ending it for good — along with the rebate Canadians received from it.

The pricing system for industry accounted for about 80 per cent of total emissions cuts from carbon pricing overall.

Carney has promised to strengthen the industrial policy but has not said how or when that will happen.

Narrative Contradictions

Who would have thought that a warmer climate could create more frequent spring frosts? It’s not as if you can expect fewer frosts in a cooler climate. But maybe that’s just my bourgeois logic at fault. If you find that people aren’t buying that argument anyway, you can always just blame Trump.

Traditionally, the plants’ buds break out in spring, emerging with colorful grapes that range from the cabernet franc’s deep blues to the soft greens of the region’s most popular grape, riesling. However, a warming world is making that happen earlier, adding to uncertainty and potential risks for farmers. If a frost comes after the buds have broken, growers can lose much of the harvest.

Political tensions, such as tariffs amid President Donald Trump’s trade wars and the administration’s rollback of environmental policies, are also looming problems.

Hindenburg: the Sequel

Grounded.

At Monday’s Airbus Summit 2025 in Toulouse on the sustainability of the aviation sector, the company’s CEO provided several details about the nature of its hydrogen aircraft project. Originally slated to enter service in 2035, the aircraft was postponed with no specific timeline in mind.

This is expected to represent at least a five to ten year delay. The delay enables Airbus to establish whether the project itself is still feasible while allowing time for new technology to develop to facilitate the aircraft’s construction.[…]

The project was initially launched in 2020. The aircraft, named ZEROe, is part of Airbus’ plan to “bring a hydrogen-powered commercial aircraft to market.” The hydrogen fuel cell technology was selected in 2025 as the preferred means for the future plane.

Airbus’ official statement at the time read that it remained “committed to the goal of bringing a commercially viable, hydrogen-powered aircraft to market” but noted that “development a hydrogen ecosystem – including infrastructure, production, distribution and regulatory frameworks – is a huge challenge requiring global collaboration and investment.”

Related: The “colossal fail” label came because it turns out that when [Toronto] city hall made the decision in 2019 to go electric with the purchase of two new ferries — urgently needed partial replacements for the current fleet of four ancient, often-broken boats — they, well, forgot something kind of important.

Net Zero: Sooner Or Later, You Run Out Of Other Peoples’ Energy

At WUWT;

After decades of quietly footing the bill for Europe’s grand energy experiments, it appears Norway has finally decided to walk off the stage — or at the very least, slam the door shut on a few cross-border power cables on the way out.

The political crisis rocking Oslo isn’t just about domestic squabbles or ideological posturing. It’s about energy — more specifically, the growing realization that Norway, with its hydro-rich grid, has become the unwilling battery pack for Germany’s failed energy transition. Or as the Germans call it, Energiewende.

And like all grand social experiments conducted with other people’s money, the Norwegians are understandably losing patience. […]

With baseload capacity gutted and dispatchable plants (i.e., fossil fuels) scorned, Germany has become a dangerously energy-dependent neighbor. When the sun doesn’t shine and the wind doesn’t blow, Berlin plugs into the north — namely Norway — and expects the lights to stay on.

And for years, they have. At Norway’s expense.

The Libranos: Bedfellas

Thread by @SNewmanPodcast;

Two powerful men secretly orchestrated Canada’s financial destiny for over a decade.

One was caught in a MASSIVE money laundering scandal.

The other just became Prime Minister.

No one’s talking about their connection. Until now…

Frank McKenna: TD Bank’s Deputy Chair since 2006.

Mark Carney: Former Bank of England Governor.

One stayed in boardrooms. The other now controls Canada’s government.

But they intersected at one crucial place that changed everything: Brookfield Asset Management.

Fly The Net Zero Skies

CNN:

• Heathrow closed: London’s Heathrow Airport is completely shut down because of a power outage due to a large fire nearby, causing massive disruption at one of the world’s busiest travel hubs. The fire is now under control, but Heathrow’s backup power supply was also affected.

• Thousands impacted: Heathrow’s closure is expected to affect more than 1,300 flights. An airline analytics firm estimated that “upwards of 145,000” passengers could be impacted, and Heathrow is warning of significant disruption in the coming days. Trains around Heathrow have also been disrupted.

Of course: Heathrow had diesel generators for emergency back-up if the grid went down. Sadly they removed the back-up a few weeks ago in order to meet Green Energy targets.

Y2Kyoto: State Of Anorexia Envirosa

Achieving Net Zero may be easier than we thought: Kelowna’s Development Future In Jeopardy Due To Insufficient Electrical Capacity

In what can only be described as a shocking letter, the Urban Development Institute said this week that development in Kelowna may come to a standstill as a result of insufficient electrical infrastructure.

“Kelowna’s real estate development industry is facing significant uncertainty as FortisBC has indicated it cannot guarantee power availability for new projects over the next several years,” the Okanagan chapter of the UDI, which represents the development industry, said in the letter. “In recent weeks, several developers have been informed that power cannot be assured for projects until 2027 to 2029.”

FortisBC serves as the regional electricity provider for the Southern Interior region of British Columbia. In Fall 2024, FortisBC said that it plans to spend $157 million towards electrical infrastructure in the region over the next three years, but that is still pending approval from the British Columbia Utilities Commission (BCUC), the Province’s regulatory agency for utilities, and UDI Okanagan said the investment was “neither sufficient nor timely to accommodate Kelowna’s rapid population growth.”

“Without a reliable electricity supply, development in the region is at risk of stalling, with some projects potentially being abandoned altogether,” they said. “This has the potential to disrupt the City of Kelowna’s ability to meet its provincial housing targets.”

That which cannot go on forever will stop.

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