Author: Kate

A Series Of After Election Observations

Olivia Chow and Jack Layton now have an excuse for separate bedrooms.
The entire City of Toronto is now sitting in opposition.
No one was beheaded.
There’s a new Opposition Critic for the Ministry of Complex Files.
You won’t have regalcock.ca to kick around anymore.
Stephen Harper joins Tony Blair, Angela Merkel and John Howard on a growing list of world leaders who have prevailed over opponents running anti-American campaigns.
Andrew Scheer, 25, now has more power than Ralph Goodale.
Paul Martin left 3,000 political appointments vacant. Whoops.
A commentor; “The entire national media is insisting that the Conservatives are not an URBAN party, that they must pander to Toronto and Montreal. Well, on behalf of Edmonton, Calagary, Saskatoon, St. John’s, Kelowna, Kamloops, Ottawa etc. etc., f*ck you very much.”
Parked on the driveway of 24 Sussex, awaiting delivery, is the new official government transportation for the Governor General;
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Life is good.

Dear American Bloggers:

Please read this notice by Damian Brooks;

Well, it’s about time somebody said it, and I might as well be first: when it comes to Canadian politics, Glenn Reynolds doesn’t know his back end from a hole in the ground.

Agreed, though he’s hardly alone in that – I will give him credit for pulling together a pretty comprehensive post on the results.
But, for the record – Ed Morrissey did not “bring down the Canadian government”, as some have described it.
His role was important, but it is more appropriate to credit him with exposing the Canadian blogosphere to a broader Canadian audience, through the controversy created when he published the (briefly) banned testimony. A good many SDA readers discovered each other by following the link from Captains Quarters back to here.
That was an extremely useful development for conservatives, and the furthering of a conservative agenda in Canada, and it’s going to be exciting to see how that develops in coming months – and provincial elections, where a strong blogosphere might have far more influence than it does on the national debate.
But it was NDP leader Jack Layton who “brought down” the Canadian government, not Ed.
Heh. What’s a ‘Canada’, anyway?

EsmayDean: Your obnoxious vegan moonbat Canadienne is almost certainly, right now, sobbing hysterically, as Bush has been effectively elected Prime Minister and Rove controls Ottowa.
INDCBill: ah
INDCBill: that is nice. What’s an ottowa?
EsmayDean: I mean, she’s SOBBING.
EsmayDean: Deeb, welling sobs.
EsmayDean: Shrubbie McHalliburton now owns Canada!

Open Thread

I’m busy for a while this morning – so I’ll open this thread for comments, reader tips and day after election discussion.
Update: Jeremy Harrison is on radio right now over the results in the northern riding of Desnethe – Missinippi – Churchill River
– He was ahead by 200 votes until the last ballot box came in and lo and behold – it had 300 votes for the LIberals. That poll that put Liberal candidate over the top did not came in until 3 hours after the polls had closed
– some reserves had over 100% turnout
– there was campaign literature in the polling stations, and polling booths
– Liberal threats to aboriginal voters that they would not recieve cheques
There is going to be an official request for an investigation.
more: Advance Poll irregularities: poll clerks who refused to allow secret votes, who accompanied voters into the booths.
Footnote: I heard a report last night that the NDP brought a busload of students into a rural poll in Vanscoy and had them all signed in to vote.
Request: Can someone forward the poll results from Desnethe – Missinippi – Churchill River including (a) the number and (b) the sequences of which polls were tabulated first and how the final poll broke so dramatically from a pattern that had remained fairly consistant all evening, perhaps we can shed more light on this.

E-Day

Michelle Malkin is doing a nice job of sending her sizable audience to get the latest in Canadian election coverage.
Poll closing times have been staggered to minimize the lag time between east and west coast results, however, if you’re looking for an advance peek at regional returns, I’m told Captains Quarters will be liveblogging.
I currently don’t have plans to be online – I’m planning on a night out with a few friends in front of a big screen tv with a beer in my hand. But if I can get a hookup for my laptop, I may get a post or update in.
The comments thread will also be open. See above – I won’t be here to police things, so behave yourselves, and don’t feed the inevitable trolls.

650 CKOM will be posting results on their website as soon as Sask polls close. The little map should update automatically as the night goes on.

A final note – I am making no predictions whatsoever. I don’t know that it’s really possible for any pollster to predict how votes may split, or the effect of a dismal campaign on a disappointed Liberal base. I’m content to just wait and see, and keep my fingers crossed for my own CPC candidate, Carol Skelton.

One final reminder to those who will be watching live – early returns tend to favour urban results. In ridings with urban/rural splits, the rural (conservative leaning) polls tend to come in a little later and in many cases, early leads by the left are overtaken. The trend isn’t as strong as it was some years ago, due to better communcations, but it still exists.
Other links I’ve been sent in the past week: ( I have no idea what they plan on doing – perhaps just sharing their emotional highs and lows…)
BBS
Vectorsphere
Decisioncanada2006.
Econoline
Publius Pundit.
Uncle Meat
Surly Beaver
Send your trackbacks, and comments, but I do advise Canadian bloggers not to overtly break the ban on posting results directly.
Also – judging by the google generated traffic, there’s a chance the server’s going to get slammed by this evening. Try to do your part by taking it easy on the reloads when reading comments.
And while we wait, a thoughtful piece by Pieter Dorsman on the future of the left in Canada.
Update: Kate Foxworthy moment: When you’re working as a scrutineer at a polling station and some guy rides up in a sled and votes in a full face helmet and gear – and everyone knows who he is – you might be in Saskatchewan.

Federal Student Vote Program

Don’t let your paranoia go into overload, but there are more details emerging from school voting story that raise significant questions about the judgement of those at Elections Canada in allowing over 700,000 official ballots out of their hands, and into those of Maude Barlow, David Suzuki and the CBC.

Actual Elections Canada voting screens, ballot boxes and ballots were supplied by Student Vote, a program that aims to provide students with a sneak peak at voting during an official election period.”

Sent by a reader, who has already filed an official complaint with her school board.
Update – read the comments as more information comes in to clarify what’s going on here.
From Elections Canada on the program and sponsorship.;

A total of 455,566 ballots were cast this past week, from Monday, January 16 to Friday, January�20. After studying the democratic process, party platforms and election issues throughout the campaign, students voted on the real candidates running in the 2006�general election. Results were reported from 2,445 schools in every province and territory, representing more than 280�electoral districts.

Read it all, though.

Reader Tips

Air guitars, ad parodies, Paul Martin talking out his “ads” – going to almost miss this campaign.
Almost.
Andrew Coyne has an op-ed in the New York Times;

“Small earthquake in Canada; not many hurt”

Nealenews has a roundup of commentary from foreign newspapers.
Pollsters are advising this one will be decided by BC.
Got questions? Plug your postal code into Elections Canada.
Update – already readers are reporting that their postal codes “do not exist”.
Toss your own finds in the comments.

Engaging The Base

Imagine for a moment, that George W. Bush had lost the election in 2004.
What are the chances, do you think, that he’d show up at, say – Free Republic*?
Yeah. I thought so.
From the comments, this striking bit of political insight;

“I’m impressed. �But it also shows that Kerry’s pretty serious about ’08, and more than ready to engage the base.”

May he win the nomination again.
h/t

Election Eve Blockbuster

Received from anonymous source;

“All of the evidence is not in, but it appears that US Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice may have slept with Prime Minister Paul Martin when she was in Ottawa.
I will send details when they become available. All I have now is this photograph.”
condi.jpg

BREAKING
MARTIN ISSUES DENIAL

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Reader Tips

Taxpayers Federation;

For years, tax weary British Columbians have travelled to sales tax free Alberta to buy various products. The BC government has taken the unprecedented step in pressuring Costco to reveal the names of BC customers who shop in their Alberta stores.

The Oracle of Ottawa knows what it takes. Flattery!
Al-Quada VS Iraqi insurgents. Oh, goodness. Who to root for?
Eugene Parks shows up on the Shotgun and collects more evidence about my and Stephen Taylor’s shared business interests. -=| Insert joke here |=-
Iraq? Why isn’t this election about which leaders would send troops to Iran? Cause, we might just have to – providing we don’t wake up one of these mornings to a big shiny sea of glass.

And The Cash Just Flows And Flows

I guess we know what the $1.13 billion Order In Council was for;

Just as we get set to vote tomorrow, $250 energy rebate cheques are being sent to criminals behind bars, who already got to cast their vote in the comfort of their cells, heated by our tax dollars.
“Linda, this makes me sick,” sniffed a correctional officer, who was on the line complaining he had just distributed cheques from Canada Revenue Agency (formerly Revenue Canada) to four inmates at a provincial detention centre, located north of Toronto.
One inmate had been at the detention centre fighting deportation since December 2004, after he was transferred from a federal prison where he had served his sentence.
He has 23 convictions, including armed robbery and drug offences.
This officer, who’s worked for Ontario’s ministry of correctional services for 16 years and asked not to be named for fear of being disciplined for speaking out, went on: “I’m delivering money to criminals that’s been stolen from me and other hard-working taxpayers in Canada.”

I haven’t seen a rebate cheque, nor have I heard of any going out in Saskatchewan.
Maybe they’re just targeting key ridings…

The Libranos: Campaign Inside A Campaign

While the politicians and media lose their collective minds over the next 24 hours, I plan to back off and go into lighter fare today (unless something really spectacular happens). Frankly, my suspicion is that most average voters tuned the campaign out about 5 days ago, especially former Paul Martin supporters who have given up on him – once left to the pirahnas, they don’t have the stomach to stand around and watch the water churn. They don’t take pleasure in it.
So, for a pre-post mortem I offer the content of an email I received a couple of days ago;

1. A strong contingent of committed federalists in the Liberal Party have made the strategic decision to undertake actions that will support the Conservative Party because it is the lesser of two evils; the Bloc being the greater evil of course. This decision was made prior to the election. Why? The Liberal Party will be blamed for the break up of Canada if Quebec separates. This group of Liberal federalists would rather support another federalist party, the Conservatives, in absence of credible Liberal candidates. This situation is playing out at the riding level with a “take a Liberal lawn sign, but vote Conservative” whisper campaign.
2. The Liberal Party believes that some of their core voters will vote Conservative this election, but will return to the fold and vote Liberal in the future. However, the Liberal Party fears that some of their core voters will vote NDP this election and NOT return to vote Liberal in the future. This again explains the overt support for the Conservatives.
3. Frank McKenna is definitely in the race to replace Martin. McKenna’s team of operatives is strongly ‘encouraging’ no-hope Liberal candidates to stop their election spending. Why? The Liberal party is insolvent (broke), thus will need all available funds to keep their creditors at bay. The group of federalist Liberals recognizes the fact the the Liberals need five years to financially rebuild their party and cannot afford another federal election within two years if a minority Conservative government falls.
4. Several recent Liberal campaign mistakes in fact are not mistakes. Rather, they were intentionally designed to enable the Conservatives to show their strengths and hammer the Liberals and the NDP. Buzz Hargorve’sinvolvement in the Liberal campaign is a shining example of this strategy. For the record Buzz bought into this shadowy strategy ‘hook, line and sinker’. Buzz has been royally hoodwinked. The litany of Liberal campaign blunders are a series of well timed events. Sorry Warren Kinsella, you are not as smart as you think you are!
5. Paul Martin is no longer in control of Liberal Party of Canada. A clear indication of this situation is the fact that Liberals no longer operate a national campaign. Some provincial campaigns and individual ridings (I do not know which ones) no longer accept direction from the national campaign team. In fact some campaigns have removed all Martin/Liberal references from their literature and signs because they are ashamed of the response from voters. Several BC Liberal candidates are intentionally sabotaging their campaigns because they do not want to sit in opposition; especially if the Conservatives win a majority.

That should keep you busy in the comments.

Martin And Friends

Ezra Levant;

I just received a note that Paul Martin went “bonkers” at a speech in Brampton today: “hoarse, shouting, chanting Belinda Stronach’s name, shouting back and forth with some wacko supporter in the audience.”

(I can’t run video on this computer, but I believe Toronto CHUM station Pulse24 has some video – don’t know if it includes the best parts. )
Oh, and while you’re at the Shotgun, here’s a nice juicy one – they’ve gotten hold of Alphonso Gagliano’s criminal record check. A teaser;

Commissioner Norman Inkster suggests that Gagliano be fingerprinted to prove or disprove the worst of his findings.

Lost In Translation

Via private email;

One would think that after the Gomery Report and during an election campaign, the governing Liberals would take extra care that all contracts awarded to the public are transparent and the awarding process is without reproach. In mid-2005, the Treasury Board Secretariat posted a call for tenders on the MERX for translation services (value of five million CAD) with a closing date of 19 Sept. 05. Bidders followed up monthly with the Contract Authority at PWGSC and were told (in writing) that the evaluation was ongoing and they would be contacted as soon as a winner was selected (two bidders were going to be chosen in this process – a primary and a backup). Imagine the surprise when bidders returned from Christmas vacation and read in the 2 and 9 January 2006 editions of the Ottawa Business Journal that the contracts had been awarded, with 3.6 million going to Lexitech International (headquartered in New Brunswick and owned by the Irving family) and another 1 million going to Les Traductions Tessier, a private Ottawa firm.
When queried, the response provided in writing by PWGSC on 11 January 2006 was the evaluation process was not over and bidders were thanked for their cooperation.
On 16 January 2006, bidders received a fax asking to extend the validity of their bid until 25 January 2006. Odd, however that bidders were asked to extend the validity of their bids for only 9 days and that it conveniently fell 2 days after the election. Normally extensions to bid validity are done in increments of 30 days – never 9 days. Further investigation on the MERX revealed that lo and behold the contracts had indeed been awarded on 21 December 2005 (a couple of days before Christmas when Ottawa is a ghost town – impeccable timing, eh wot?) and published on the MERX under Solicitation No. 24062-040011/A on 22 and 28 December 2005, again when most people were off and wouldn’t notice … Concerns brought to the attention of the Contract Authority were ignored and the Contract Authority was very cautious with the wording they used, stating that they could not discuss the situation and that a decision would be made by the end of next week. When pressed for more information the Contract Authority repeated that they could not offer any more details nor talk about it.
You don’t suppose someone in the Governing Party is afraid us dimwitted Canadians might put two and two together and smell a dead animal? After all, was the contract awarded or not awarded? Why wait until next week? There have been no cancellations issued on the MERX for these contracts.

Merx
I have no way to verify this – perhaps readers familiar with government contracing practices can provide more. My source does have documentation, if anyone in media is interested in following up on this.
Screenshot

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