Category: Safe and Effective

Smart And Effective (Bumped)

Scott Moe’s message to Saskatchewan and Canadian truckers.

(Pg 2)

Update: Jason Kenney just stuck his toe in the water.

Troll Level: New Party Leader

Zerohedge has a good roundup. (h/t Dana)

Passport To Nowhere

National Post;

In at least three provinces lately, Canadians who are double-vaccinated have been more likely to test positive for COVID than the unvaccinated, a fact that has been seized on by anti-vaccination activists as supposed evidence the shots don’t work.

On Monday in Alberta , for instance, 89 in 100,000 people who had received two doses of vaccine tested positive for the coronavirus, compared to 68 in 100,000 of those who have so far avoided vaccination.

But experts say the trend probably stems from statistical “biases” — the nature of the people who have been getting tested and who most frequently were exposed to the virus — and definitely not some strange quirk of immunization. […]

“It’s curious,” admits Dr. Mark Loeb, an infectious-disease doctor and professor at McMaster University. “The first thing for me that comes to mind is, I don’t see any biological explanation for this. I don’t think that makes sense.”

The “confusing” trend can be logically explained but “it behooves us not to hide from these data or to minimize them, but instead to wrestle with them,” says University of Ottawa epidemiologist Raywat Deonandan.

77% of yesterday’s new cases in Saskatchewan were among the fully vaccinated, who make up about 74% of the population. Yes, it’s probably skewed by the fact that the unvaccinated are less likely to seek out testing and be added to the official government count, unless they’re truly sick. But that’s always been the case, and the shift in relative percentages have been moving steadily toward equilibrium just the same.

The passport mandate is logically unsustainable and scientifically unsound, and judging by the recent signals, the Saskatchewan government knows it.

Boosters and Omicron

More words of wisdom from virologist Geert Vanden Bossche regarding the efficacy of booster shots and the potential hazards of future mass vaccination for Omicron.

“[If we mass vaccinate for Omicron] we end up with a situation where the antibodies can still bind to that receptor binding site, but it has no effect because the virus no longer uses the previous receptor…it will use another domain….We end up with a virus that strongly binds antibodies but the antibodies cannot neutralize the virus…. and that is a recipe for Antibody Dependent Enhancement.”

Web page with all three interview segments can be found here.

The Magical 14 Days to Efficacy

Joel  Smalley uncovers some statistical slight of hand in the Alberta database.

Alberta just inadvertently confessed to fiddling the COVID vaccination stats.
More than half the newly vaccinated deaths were dumped in the unvaccinated.

el gato malo adds his two cents to this discovery.

in short, the issue goes like this:

there is a 2 week window of immune suppression post vaccination. it roughly doubled the base rate chance of healthy people getting covid back before even delta. (it’s likely far worse now given omicron and OAS issues) this has been demonstrated in trials.

In related news eugyppius has some new data out of the UK government files regarding the “efficacy” of the boosters.

In fact, the UKHSA have given us a great gift, in that they finally provide separate case and severe outcome statistics for the triple-vaccinated and the double vaccinated, allowing us to compare rates across all three groups.

Click on images for full screen

And in case anyone missed it the British Medical Journal is pissed. 

Narrative Fatigue

Remember when you were around 40 times more likely to be hospitalized with Covid if you were unvaxxed? Or around 15 times more likely to get Covid?

It’s remarkable how little time it took for these ratios to head for the basement. Any bets on how long it will be until the fully vaxxed are more likely to acquire Covid or be hospitalized than unvaxxed?

This sure doesn’t sound like the results one should expect from an allegedly 98% effective product. But I’m sure the situation will be measurably improved by allowing only 250 people to attend a Jets game.

Website here.

Safe And Effective ®

The British Medical Journal, Editorial

In the pages of The BMJ a decade ago, in the middle of a different pandemic, it came to light that governments around the world had spent billions stockpiling antivirals for influenza that had not been shown to reduce the risk of complications, hospital admissions, or death. The majority of trials that underpinned regulatory approval and government stockpiling of oseltamivir (Tamiflu) were sponsored by the manufacturer; most were unpublished, those that were published were ghostwritten by writers paid by the manufacturer, the people listed as principal authors lacked access to the raw data, and academics who requested access to the data for independent analysis were denied.

The Tamiflu saga heralded a decade of unprecedented attention to the importance of sharing clinical trial data. Public battles for drug company data, transparency campaigns with thousands of signatures, strengthened journal data sharing requirements, explicit commitments from companies to share data, new data access website portals, and landmark transparency policies from medicines regulators all promised a new era in data transparency.

Progress was made, but clearly not enough. The errors of the last pandemic are being repeated. Memories are short. Today, despite the global rollout of covid-19 vaccines and treatments, the anonymised participant level data underlying the trials for these new products remain inaccessible to doctors, researchers, and the public—and are likely to remain that way for years to come.This is morally indefensible for all trials, but especially for those involving major public health interventions.

Pfizer’s pivotal covid vaccine trial was funded by the company and designed, run, analysed, and authored by Pfizer employees. The company and the contract research organisations that carried out the trial hold all the data. And Pfizer has indicated that it will not begin entertaining requests for trial data until May 2025, 24 months after the primary study completion date, which is listed on ClinicalTrials.gov as 15 May 2023 (NCT04368728).

The lack of access to data is consistent across vaccine manufacturers. Moderna says data “may be available … with publication of the final study results in 2022.” Datasets will be available “upon request and subject to review once the trial is complete,” which has an estimated primary completion date of 27 October 2022 (NCT04470427).

As of 31 December 2021, AstraZeneca may be ready to entertain requests for data from several of its large phase III trials. But actually obtaining data could be slow going. As its website explains, “timelines vary per request and can take up to a year upon full submission of the request.”

Underlying data for covid-19 therapeutics are similarly hard to find.

Read it all.

Tangentially related: Saskatchewan’s new cases by vaccination status numbers are back up at SaskHealth. I’m told the problems with cleaning up this database aren’t completely resolved, but the latest information should be accurate.

January 20th: “Of the 1,158 new cases reported today, 221 were unvaccinated or fewer than 21 days after their first dose, 57 had received their first dose or were less than 21 days from their second dose, 637 were fully vaccinated (more than 14 days since their second dose) and 243 were fully vaccinated and more than 14 days from receiving their booster dose”.

Well, that’s more like it. And as suspected, the trends defy the narrative that vaccine passports are necessary to slow transmission of the virus. This outrageous policy of scapegoating citizens, many of whom have naturally acquired immunity, must go and soon, because the passport policy picks winners and losers. Locally owned restaurants, bars and gyms are once again paying the price while big box chains like Costco carry on business as usual. And for no measurable benefit. That’s simply unsustainable.

The Emperors Reach For Their Underwear

As the public wakes to the fact that vaccination doesn’t prevent viral transmission, the Potemkin Passports collapse…

Israel’s Finance Minister calls for the ending of the Green Pass.

Mask mandates, vaccine passports to end in England.

Just inVaccination against COVID will not become mandatory in the Czech Republic, Prime Minister Petr Fiala said today at a press conference.

Stay tuned for more…

When You Combine The Best Healthcare System in the World With The Best Vaccine in the World

CBC- Manitoba plans to send as many as 300 spinal-surgery patients to Fargo

“We acknowledge the suffering. We acknowledge the waits,” said Dr. Ed Buchel, the provincial surgery lead for Manitoba Shared Health, adding there was no option to send patients elsewhere in Canada because every province is struggling to meet the health-care demands of the Omicron surge.

The popular scapegoat for over a year now  has been the unjabbed. But as can be clearly seen, Manitoba is one of the most jabbed places in the world. Back in the beginning of December when they still reported such things it became apparent that the double and triple jabbed were clogging up the system. Quebec who still makes the numbers public confirms this is what’s going on.

Click on image for full screen.

Nothing “they” said would work has worked. Its well past time to get rid of the useless masks, the ridiculous mandates and the stupid passport to nowhere system. While they’re at it the multi-millionaire, laptop class administrators in charge of the whole mess should be thrown out on their ears without the golden parachutes they didn’t earn.

Update: The big picture

 

New High Scores!

So much for the “less hospitalizations” theory of vaccination.

Global- COVID-19 hospitalizations hit staggering 10,000 patients as provinces set new records

Much of the current hospitalizations are being driven by Ontario and Quebec. Ontario reported 578 COVID-19 patients in intensive care units and 3,887 in hospital overall, up from 3,595 a day before. Quebec, meanwhile, reported a new record of 3,381 hospitalized COVID-19 patients, including 286 in ICUs.

Deaths, meanwhile, have also begun to rise.

Speaking of Quebec 

3300 Hospitalizations

#1: Age 70+ (2181 hospitalized & 110 ICU) – this group is 95% double vaccinated & 75% boosted!

#2: Age 60-69 (516 Hospital & 93 ICU) – 94% double vaccinated & 58% boosted!

#3 Age 50-59 (245 Hosp & 38 ICU) – 90% double Syringe

el gato malo-  has some more numbers out of the UK and some thoughts.

The sunk cost fallacy is in full effect and careers and credibility is on the line, but facts are stubborn things, and the fact is that these vaccines are accelerating spread. They do not protect us as was promised. (and promises were definitely made) At best, these are a personal choice to mitigate risk. Probably, doing so creates a net risk for others because you are more likely to get covid and spread covid. The vaccinated are not a dead end for virus, they are crop-dusters for it and spreading it more widely.

Which brings us to some charts from Alberta’s provincial website that a lot of people were talking about last week and that had mysteriously vanished. But can still be found via the wayback machine. (click on images for full screen)

In related news: Grocery stores could close if labour, product shortages worsen.

Oh yeah, and the masks are working great too. 👌

Narrative collapse

Remember when Australia was touted in the MSM as a shining example of successful Covid policy which had wrestled the virus to the ground thereby allowing life to continue normally? You don’t read stories like that anymore, mostly because much has changed Down Under in the last eight months!

Australia now averages more than 100,000 new Covid cases per day – equal to about 1.5 million in the United States. One fine day last week, it reported 175,000, the equivalent of about 2.5 million, maybe the highest per-capita total any country has ever reported.

Deaths are still relatively low by American standards. But they have risen sixfold in the last two weeks and are now at their highest level ever, equal to almost 700 deaths in the United States a day.

Postcard From Quebec

Stephen McIntyre takes a look at Quebec’s numbers and finds some interesting details that other provinces aren’t publishing. (click on chart for full screen)

2/ the most obvious observation about new hospitalizations is that (unsurprisingly) they are dominated by seniors and particularly over 80s – a group which is almost totally vaxxed.

3/ a secondary observation is that, in younger agegroups, number of new hospitalizations among unvax is pretty similar to number of new hospitalizations among vax, even though population of unvax is much smaller. This is consistent with primary messaging from governments.

5/ the pressure on Quebec hospitals is coming from a different direction: fully vax 60+ seniors and especially 80+ seniors.

Emphasis mine. Read the whole thing.

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