Category: Political Animal

Open Thread: 2026 Midterms

Here’s your 2026 midterm open thread. Our US readers in particular are invited to weigh in with observations and predictions. I may update as the evening progresses, or I may just leave it to the experts.

Walter Kirn and Matt Taibbi are reuniting for a America This Week Special livestream, beginning at 8pm Eastern, so that’s where I’ll be. (I’ll embed later if I can get it to load reliably.)

No contest this time. By the time California has finished reporting, we’ll be into the 2028 cycle.

Follow Larry O’Conner at @townhallcom for live results.

Netanyahu Defies The Pollsters

NY Post;

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was in the lead following a pivotal election Tuesday — making a third act for the Iran war almost certain.

The prime minister’s coalition was in the lead Wednesday with 53 seats after Gadi Eisenkot’s Change bloc failed to deliver a knockout blow following the highest election turnout in decades.

Eisenkot had 49 seats with more than 90% of the vote counted. Both sides were notably well short of the 61 seats needed for a majority.

More: why Netanyahu is right to recognize the Arab parties within Israel as dangerous.

Ben Shapiro explains the results.

A Political Iron Dome

A very good read on current Israeli politics.

Full disclosure: I served as a communications adviser to Netanyahu for a year, until June 2024, including on October 7. I am a secular Israeli living in Tel Aviv. I have never voted for either Ben-Gvir or Smotrich, both of whom are religiously observant, and I do not intend to vote for either in the upcoming election. I have my own criticisms of both men. But much of the commentary about them abroad misses why so many Israelis support them.

BC Politics: Kudos to Dallas Brodie

Full disclosure: Though I’m not personal friends with Ms. Brodie, I have corresponded with her and may, in fact, know her from my younger years in Vancouver. Regardless, she has been a tireless advocate for truth and equal policies for everyone across the province. For that, she was personally attacked online, and in person, by communists and other violent NDP’ers. Without Brodie’s tireless hard work, there is no way IMO that the incoming Conservative government would have the cajones to cancel DRIPA – which is arguably one of the most destructive pieces of legislation in Canadian history.

BC Election Watch Thread (Bumped)

Adam Pankratz: “We do not do this because it is easy, but because we thought it would be easy.”

David Eby called an election two years early because he thought he had an easy cakewalk to a large or even super majority. The most recent polls suggest it may well be Eby who has handed his opposition — the B.C. Conservative party led by Lorne Doerksen — a large or even super majority. If Eby loses, it will undoubtedly go down as one of the biggest self-inflicted political blunders this country has ever seen.

It’s an open thread, use it wisely.

Robert here: With the polls closing at 8pm PDT, I trust Kate won’t mind me moving this thread to the top.

Stephen Taylor has a results map.

From Kate: Juno News has live coverage.

Update: this shitkicking of the NDP is bad news for Carney.

Well, that was fast: Eby has resigned.

Alberta Referendum Watch

A comments thread to kick things off. Polls close in a few hours, so we welcome poll reports, predictions and so forth.

The unofficial count of Election Day ballots is completed after voting closes on Monday, October 19. The count for advance voting and special ballots begins at 5:00pm on October 19. Unofficial results will be available at https://www.elections.ab.ca/elections/election-results/ as counts are completed, by question, by elector division, and by voting method. The count must be completed within 48 hours of close of voting.

In the days following Election Day, returning office staff review the materials from the unofficial count to verify the results. These confirmations are then reported as official results and released to the public. This is known as the Official Announcement of the Results and will take place on October 29 at 10:00 am.

Keep it civil and on topic. Harangues and flamewars will be deleted.

Update: Elections Alberta has extended poll hours at a number of locations that opened late, so results will be delayed.

Results map courtesy Stephen Taylor.

“I want half a million dollars.”

2005.

“Ms. Christine Li (National Executive, Chinese Canadian National Council): I’m Christine Li, and I will be presenting on behalf of the Chinese Canadian National Council.”

“This is my colleague, Apollo Cheung.”

@scoopercooper: Public records on Apollo Chung (also known as Paul Chung) contain no detailed information about his childhood, family background, schooling, or early adulthood. Available reporting and official listings begin with his work as a political staffer in the early 2020s.

More on the mess.

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