Category: 2025 Federal Election

Primacy of Consciousness

If you imagine an event will happen, is that a guarantee that it will? That certainly seems to encapsulate Doug Ford’s view of our current trade negotiations with the US.

I’ll take “bloviating sanctimonious blowhard” for $100, Alex….

“We have to negotiate through strength,” Ford responds, “and we really have to flex our muscles and make sure President Trump hears us.”

“(Americans) are going to feel the pressure,” Ford says. “They’re going to feel the pressure when Americans start losing their jobs because we’re going to start on-shoring everything, and once that happens, I told Lutnick, it’s hard to turn that tap off.”

Ain’t Gonna Happen

Despite all the promises to increase defense spending to not only replace what was shipped off to the Ukraine but to meet the new GDP targets, expect one of two outcomes: either the targets will be perpetually postponed or the definition of “defense spending” will be stretched to include funding for sewage treatment plants and community centers and anything else you might imagine.

In a new analysis released Thursday, the think tank said it expects Canada’s deficit to top $92 billion this fiscal year, given Prime Minister Mark Carney’s plan to meet NATO’s defence spending target of two per cent of GDP.

C.D. Howe expects deficit growth to slow after this year but predicts deficits will still average around $78 billion annually over four years — more than double the level forecast by the parliamentary budget officer before the spring federal election.

 

Elbows Down!

Didn’t Carney say we were going to make up for declining trade with the US by achieving closer ties with Europe? I guess our manufacturers didn’t get that memo.

The downturn in Canada’s manufacturing sector deepened in June as U.S. tariffs undercut demand, spurring the sharpest cut to output in five years, data on Wednesday showed.

The S&P Global Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) edged down to 45.6 in June from 46.1 in May, registering the fifth straight sub-50 reading. A level below 50 indicates contraction in the sector.

Cognitive Chaos

Canadian trade policy is now so contradictory that I’ll admit to not being able to keep things straight anymore. I thought the whole purpose of the “Elbows Up” campaign was to demonstrate that we could replace declining trade with the US by increasing trade with other nations. Now we appear to be doing our level best to shut the trade door with everyone else. Go figure.

The federal department of finance says it will limit the amount of foreign steel coming into the country by placing a tariff on imports that exceed a certain threshold from countries that do not have a free trade agreement with Canada.

The policy, known as a “tariff rate quota,” announced on Friday allows non-free trade countries to send the same volume of steel to Canada that they sent in recent years, but applies a 50 per cent tariff if they exceed a designated threshold in any single quarter.

Great Success!

Penticton Herald- 18-year-old from Ivujivik takes action against Elections Canada

Tiivi Tullaugak says he wants to hold the government agency accountable for failing to arrive in his community on April 28, federal election day, to set up polling stations.

Elections Canada is investigating why people were denied the chance to vote in seven Nunavik communities on election day. Polling stations in Akulivik and Tullaugak’s community of Ivujivik never opened, and in five other communities they operated for only part of their scheduled eight-hour window.

It’s Only Okay If The Liberals Do It

I have no doubt that Carney is running a much tighter ship than Justin ever did. But I can’t help but contrast how the mainstream media seems blissfully content about this, considering that Stephen Harper, who also ran a similarly tight ship, was routinely denounced as having a dictatorial approach precisely because of it.

He is fiercely punctual, runs a tight ship during meetings and is decisive — all marked differences from his predecessor.

“Decision-making is not a problem,” said one senior government official, describing Carney as “task focused” and for whom results matter.

“He does not suffer fools,” the official added, a common refrain among all sources.

Carney, 60, also cares deeply about professionalism in his office. Staff are expected to dress in formal business attire and documents are to be written using British spelling, for example.

Margin Of Management

CBC;

The Bloc Québécois is calling on the Superior Court of Quebec to order a byelection in the riding of Terrebonne, where the party lost by one vote, as Elections Canada revealed issues with five more mail-in ballots.

Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet announced at a news conference in Ottawa on Thursday that the party is challenging the result of the riding. Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné — the party’s candidate in the riding — and Bloc MP Christine Normandin were present.

“Since Elections Canada cannot by themselves ask for the election to be repeated, we have to bring this situation in front of a judge, in a court, in order to do the election all over again,” Blanchet said.

More: “I don’t give a damn about misinformation”

New Governor, Just Like The Old Governor

TorStar;

Bell Canada’s cancellation of a $32-million dollar contract to expand high-speed internet and cell service on Labrador’s north coast comes as the telecommunications giant has confirmed plans to expand southward in the United States.

After receiving millions in government subsidies for the Labrador North Wireless Broadband Project, Canada’s largest communications company says it’s no longer feasible to complete the expansion due to rising costs and competition.

Eyre’s federal election post-mortem

Bronwyn Eyre: “Elbows Up” for the Provinces Against the Ottawa Hegemons!

Note: Eyre and Pipeline Online editor Brian Zinchuk will be cohosting the Pipeline Online Podcast at 2 p.m. on Monday, May 12. The guest will be E. Craig Lothian, who has run many oil companies in Saskatchewan over the years. Watch live on X, Facebook or LinkedIn. And if you do watch live, you can comment or ask questions in real time.

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/brianzinchuk/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/pipelineonlineca

Twitter: https://twitter.com/Pipeline_Online

Conservative Beachhead

Toronto Star- Inside the 905 — the ridings that helped deny Mark Carney a majority

Canada’s political polarization is acutely visible in the Greater Toronto Area’s suburban and rural ring — a diverse and fast-growing area of roughly 4 million people that spans Durham to Halton and has long been seen as a crucial, vote-rich battleground and bellwether for which way the country is politically moving.

The Show Must Go On

Dan Knight- Carney Rejects NDP Deal While Poilievre Readies Comeback in Alberta Stronghold

But let’s cut through the nice-sounding verbiage. The reason Carney doesn’t want a deal with the NDP isn’t because he’s confident in his numbers. It’s because a formal pact would make his minority government look weak and dependent from day one. It would validate what everyone already suspects—that he can’t govern without cutting deals behind closed doors with a party that just got decimated at the polls.

Elbows Down!

Former Liberal MP Dan McTeague offers his thoughts on the future of Canada under a Carney government. In a nutshell, it’s not good.

“I think the Conservatives have to be prepared for the Liberals going forward. [They] can always…deceive Canadians and can always get gullible types to go along with COVID in 2021 [and] bad orange man… south of the border in 2025. I’m sure they’ll probably find another boogeyman out there for the next election.”

Throwing Gold Bars Off The Titanic

National Post- Mark Carney’s election win already has economists worried

Canada was already headed into a recession. Then, on Tuesday, Fitch Ratings warned that Carney’s deficit plan could harm our credit rating

Fitch had already priced in federal government deficits for 2025 and 2026, amounting to 2.6 per cent and 2.4 per cent of Canada’s GDP, respectively. Factoring in the Carney platform, though, resulted in even worse figures: the 2025 deficit is now slated to be 3.1 per cent of GDP, growing to 3.2 per cent in 2026.

No One Reads ANYTHING Anymore…

With the talk of secession since Monday it is of course inevitable that everyone is going want to have a say. What is also inevitable is that many of the opinions expressed will be ill informed.

You would think with treaty acknowledgements being in vogue that there would also be an effort to teach what is written in the treaties, but there isn’t. So let’s do it here.

Please take the time to read a few treaties in their entirety as they also list what First Nations receive in exchange for the peaceful surrender of territory; you see there are no limits on education or healthcare. Also remember that while seemingly well intentioned, the government of Canada did not serve the First Nations well.  In some cases the provinces were even worse.

Another very interesting treaty is the Jay Treaty of 1794 that permits indigenous people to move freely across North America, living, working or going to school where they chose with all the rights of their chosen country, state or province, with the exception of voting rights which are reserved solely for citizens.

 

From Treaty 6

Elections Have Consequences

The smug, chicken dancing, elbows up Lieberal voters were so self-satisfied on election day. Being the NPC sheeple that they are, they are not capable of anything beyond first stage thinking. Every action has a reaction. Now we’ll see if the people of Alberta are finally fed up enough to move beyond the destructive clutches of the Laurentian elite.

  1. Jordan Peterson
  2. Candice Malcolm and Keith Wilson

Business Is Business?

If Trump is such an existential threat to Canada, what explains the conciliatory tone that we’re now hearing from both Trump and our newly elected PM? The timing seems more than a little odd, but maybe there’s more to it than meets the eye.

If you’re like me you are scratching your head trying decode exactly what is Donald Trump’s play with Mark Carney? None of it makes any sense. We’ve gone from Carney’ reckless we’re done with America speech to a digital snog between the two men evoking an 80’s romcom, just 24 hours later.

Carney represents everything Trump claims to hate. He’s progressive, net-zero obsessed, effete and a globalist.

For all his good points, Trump hates being publicly embarrassed and is known for his brutal and sometimes comical retaliations. Yet Carney pokes away with hardly a jab. Hmmmm.

The gist is that Brookfield, Carney’s now former company — bailed out Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner to the tune of 1B. in an odd-looking deal even the Financial Times struggles to figure out.

 

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