The Food Professor has some predictions for Canadian agricultural policy in 2026. Here’s hoping that we’ll see moves to either liberalize or end our supply mismanagement system.
Even if the United States has little genuine interest in exporting more dairy to Canada – and even if Canadian consumers show limited appetite for it – President Trump now understands, far better than during his first term, that supply management is a potent political wedge.
The system protects roughly 9,400 dairy farmers who exert disproportionate influence over agricultural policy, while compensation payments continue to flow without any meaningful reduction in production or market share. For a growing number of Canadians, this arrangement increasingly resembles a closed loop rather than a public good.

