Category: Wuhan Flu

Wuhan Flu

Let’s review: the risk is not low, the virus spreads through air, and the supply chain is not ok.

What Everyone’s Getting Wrong About the Toilet Paper Shortage.

There’s another, entirely logical explanation for why stores have run out of toilet paper — one that has gone oddly overlooked in the vast majority of media coverage. It has nothing to do with psychology and everything to do with supply chains. It helps to explain why stores are still having trouble keeping it in stock, weeks after they started limiting how many a customer could purchase.
 
In short, the toilet paper industry is split into two, largely separate markets: commercial and consumer. The pandemic has shifted the lion’s share of demand to the latter. People actually do need to buy significantly more toilet paper during the pandemic — not because they’re making more trips to the bathroom, but because they’re making more of them at home. With some 75% of the U.S. population under stay-at-home orders, Americans are no longer using the restrooms at their workplace, in schools, at restaurants, at hotels, or in airports.
 
Georgia-Pacific, a leading toilet paper manufacturer based in Atlanta, estimates that the average household will use 40% more toilet paper than usual if all of its members are staying home around the clock. That’s a huge leap in demand for a product whose supply chain is predicated on the assumption that demand is essentially constant. It’s one that won’t fully subside even when people stop hoarding or panic-buying.

Related: Milk dumping has begun, processors are being hit by employee illness, and despite high retail demand, prices for all classes of feeder cattle dropped $10-20 per hundredweight. Some producers decided not to sell this past week and some cattle were passed on electronic markets. Auction volumes in the three prairie provinces were down 55 percent compared to last year. It’s the same in the UK.

Update: Food shortages in India begin

Related links and ground level observations (positive or negative) are invited in the comments.

Ecuador

Things have turned very bad for the city of Guayaquil;

Photographs and video footage emerging from this crisis-stricken coastal city look like images from the aftermath of a natural disaster: bodies wrapped in sheets and dumped on the roadside or outside houses; desperate families begging for help after being forced to keep their loved-ones corpses at home for days in temperatures of more than 30C.

Wuhan Flu

Things I told you about a month ago — It said that though the research isn’t yet conclusive, “the results of available studies are consistent with aerosolization of virus from normal breathing.”

Wash those hands, plebes.

Update: Solid information on the situation in New York City on today’s War Room. After the interview with the oncologist is over, stay on for mention of the Australian study using Ivermectin. I’d like to hear what our readers in the medical field have to say.

Until 15 Minutes Ago, I Was Being Told Canada Was Outperforming Orange Man Bad In Every Conceivable Way

Last night: President Trump Invokes Defense Production Act Taking Control of 3M Production…

CBC: Because there are currently no domestic manufacturers of N95 masks, pressure put on the global supply by the coronavirus pandemic has left Canada in a precarious position.

Background.

And more background;

Within hours of the distributor’s demand, the group had assembled a consortium of 19 different entities in need of the masks, including two major hospital chains, one city health department in Colorado, six county governments in three states, and one governor’s office. Though several of the buyers were also hoping to purchase gowns, gloves, ventilators, and other supplies, they were pooling resources to be able to put in the minimum order of 3M’s 1860 N95 mask, which protects health care workers against airborne particles and is “resistant to splash and spatter of blood and other infectious materials.”
 
Although the 1860 N95 masks should cost $1.27 each, according to a price list 3M issued yesterday, the Canadian dealer was charging more than $7 per mask. But the jacked-up price isn’t what killed the deal. Even the major hospital chains were desperate enough to spend the money. Instead, the group’s purchase began to fall apart when the dealer said that the Canadian military had seized 10 million of the masks and then insisted that the group not only commit to buying the remaining 20 million masks but also to five additional monthly purchases of 20 million masks, totaling $140 million.

Your Government Is Here For You

And YOU! And You! And You over there!

The Canadian emergency response benefit is part of the Canadian government’s massive relief package to taxpayers in the midst of the global pandemic.
 
Unfortunately for those same taxpayers, Trudeau has snuck non-Canadians onto the list of who qualifies for that lucrative $8,000 per person bail out.
 
International students, most of whom come from China, are among those eligible. So are temporary foreign workers.

Your Government Is Here For You

Trust the experts.

Politicians warned Wednesday Canadians can expect weeks or months of social distancing, but declined to reveal their own models or estimates of just how many people could become infected or die of COVID-19.
 

While federal and provincial leaders stressed the need for Canadians to maintain the fight against COVID-19, they refused to disclose models that project how the virus might play out.
 
Ontario Premier Doug Ford said releasing projection models might prompt panic.
 
“There are a few different models and if we give one or the other it sends two different messages,” said Ford. “These models could drastically, drastically change. If we underestimate on one side and overestimate on the other (it could) create a panic if we overestimate.”
 
When asked about releasing information from such models, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said, “There are a wide range of projections depending on how Canadians are behaving.”

In Saskatchewan they refuse to even disclose where COVID-19 cases are.

Related: Trudeau’s attempt to help may kill many small businesses

Y2Kyoto: Contagion

From the comments;

The federal government announced Tuesday that it “was in the process of finalizing an agreement” with the Montreal-based protective equipment manufacturer Medicom to start N95 and surgical mask production in Canada.
 
But the proposed Medicom manufacturing site won’t be up and running for months. According to the company, neither the location nor the number of facilities that will be producing masks has been decided. It is aiming to start production in early summer.
 
Trudeau is desperately trying to source N95 masks from other countries, who are struggling with their own needs.

 
Guess “studies of mosquitoes, rats, and programs on “storytelling regarding climate change” were more important.

The Grim Crisis In Europe’s Care Homes

BBC;

More than a third of care homes in the Paris region alone are thought to have been affected by coronavirus. But while hospital deaths are recorded in the daily toll of coronavirus, deaths in care homes are not. […]
 
Few of the cases in France’s retirement homes are ever tested for the virus, once an initial outbreak has been confirmed. But day after day, stories are emerging of double-digit death tolls inside these institutions, now virtually shuttered from the outside world.
 
As Italy and Spain have so far seen Europe’s biggest and deadliest outbreaks, so have the elderly in care homes borne the most painful brunt, enveloped by twin crises of mass infection and staffing shortages.
 
In Italy, hundreds of deaths have been reported in residential homes in Bergamo in the north, while 83 elderly residents went without food at a home for two days in the south because staff had to go into quarantine.

“Grim” is an understatement.

Your Government Is Here For You

Now is the time at SDA when we juxtapose again!

Washington, DC – March 30, 2020: Trump unveils new five-minute coronavirus test device

Update: FDA authorizes two-minute antibody testing kit to detect coronavirus

Ottawa, ON – March 31st, 2020: “our next-generation manufacturing supercluster will be leading companies in developing and scaling up new technologies to test and to treat Canadians.”

Flashback to SDA, March 27th: This is GAME CHANGER. Abbott to market, starting next week, a fast point-of-care #coronavirus test, delivering positive results in 5min and negative results in 13min. Will deliver 50K tests/day to start. Kudos to Abbott and FDA’s Jeff Shuren and team at CDRH who are in the fight.

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