Category: Gradually Then Suddenly

Zero Income Earners

The emergence of another casualty of California’s decision to hike the minimum wage to $20 per hour comes as no surprise to anyone who understands basic economics: the real minimum wage is actually zero.

When making their way to work Monday morning, Navarro and her team learned upon arrival that the restaurant owner had made the decision to close its doors for good. The owner, Loren Wright, told local Fox affiliate KMPH that this was the “last thing” they wanted to do, but knew by Friday night the business likely wouldn’t be able to absorb the wage hike…

“And those who are still working in the areas around us that went up to $20 an hour, they got their hours severely cut.”

Conservative in Name Only

If even a conservative government can rack up this kind of debt, there’s no comfort in knowing that a liberal government would rack it up even faster. There’s virtually no political constituency for smaller government left anywhere on the planet, perhaps with the exception of Argentina.

Ontario is delaying its path to balance as lethargic economic growth drags the province’s books further into the red, with a $9.8-billion budget deficit projected for the coming fiscal year.

The deficit for 2024-25 is almost double what the province projected in the fall economic update. That document had also eyed a return to surplus the following year, which was already delayed a year from the 2023 budget. Bethlenfalvy now projects that a small surplus will not happen until 2026-27. In 2025-26, the deficit is forecast to be $4.6 billion.

Self Defense in the Rainbow Nation

At one time I was told that legal, personal ownership of a firearm was extraordinarily difficult in South Africa, but it seems that times have changed. That won’t stop the BBC, however, from trying to frame the problem as one of gun ownership as opposed to a criminal justice system that has largely collapsed along with the economy.

For the last six years Penson Mlotshwa has been carrying a gun with him wherever he goes in the South African city of Johannesburg. To the shops, restaurants and even the gym. His gun has become an extension of him as the country battles record levels of crime. “I’m not a fortune teller – I never know when I will be attacked,” the YouTube content creator told the BBC.

“Unfortunately, I’ve had to use my gun multiple times to protect myself,” he sighs, explaining how a man wanting his wallet pulled a knife on him after dinner one night. He drew his gun and made the mugger hand over the pocket knife, which he threw in the gutter.

Thirsty Proletarians

First there was the collapse of the electricity grid, then the collapse of the railway network, and now the water is running out. Yet few South African voters seem able to make a connection between these events and a political philosophy of nationalizing the mines, banks and monopoly industry. They cannot fathom that a mix of African superstition, tribalism and Marxism-Leninism is nothing less than toxic.

The shortages, which have lasted nearly two weeks, have affected some 50% of Johannesburg Water’s supply area, officials said. The South African city has a population of almost 6 million people.

Businesses have been hit hard, and several hospitals have been affected. Nurses at one medical center told local media that they were not able to wash their hands.

The Rising Cost Of Bird Choppers

These days it’s routine to hear that wind power is “free” energy. But the Swedes are finding out that the absence of an invoice for raw material doesn’t mean that it’s impossible to still lose your capital investment.

Christian Sandström and Christian Steinbeck analysed wind-power companies’ annual reports in Sweden and their work revealed “significant financial problems”, they told Swedish media outlet Kvartal on February 28.

“The total loss for the years 2017–2022 amounted to 13.5 billion Swedish krona [€1.2 billion], which meant a loss margin of 39 per cent,” they said about the sector.

Sandström and Steinbeck pointed out that the sector as a whole has not made a profit in any year since 2017.

Company losses have ranged from 19 per cent to 90 per cent of turnover between 2017 and 2022, they said.

Crumbling Narratives

When I saw Peter Zeihan speak over a year ago, he openly derided the Russian war effort and confidently claimed that they were critically short of transport vehicles to even get troops to the front. A year later, it appears that the Ukrainians are the ones who seem to be running out of all sorts of stuff.

The Russian advances come in the face of a deep crisis in munitions for the Ukrainian military, creating a near-existential debate for frontline troops who must ration ammunition and are questioning how long they can withstand Russian pressure.

In another sign of the mounting sense of unease, the new commander of the Ukrainian military, Col. Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi, twice in the past week scolded his subordinate officers for poor performance on this key front line.

On Thursday, Syrskyi criticised “certain shortcomings” and “miscalculations” by commanders on the Avdiivka front lines “which directly affected the sustainability of defence in certain areas.”

Fire Sale!

If a privately run pension fund made these kinds of investment blunders, it probably wouldn’t be long for this world. But if the state pension does it, presumably they can just up the contributions from their captive audience.

Canada Pension Plan Investment Board has done three deals at discounted prices, selling its interests in a pair of Vancouver towers, a business park in Southern California and a redevelopment project in Manhattan, with the New York stake offloaded for the eyebrow-raising price of just US$1.

Around the same time, CPPIB sold its 45 per cent stake in Santa Monica Business Park, which the fund also owned with Boston Properties, for US$38 million. That’s a discount of almost 75 per cent to what CPPIB paid for its share of the property in 2018.

 

Another Zero Percent Interest Miracle!

The most likely “solution” to an eviction crisis will be to either prohibit them entirely, thereby throttling rental supply even more, or slashing interest rates which will cause real estate values to soar even higher. The world’s economy is clearly between a rock and a hard place.

City marshals carried out 12,000 evictions last year, with 550,000 eviction cases filed since 2019. These numbers are reminiscent of evicting entire populations of mid-sized cities. The cause? A vicious cycle of increased living costs, including food, utilities, and healthcare, outpacing incomes and making rent unaffordable for many.

A Dragon No More?

After the death of Mao, China’s embrace of free markets sparked one of the largest economic booms the 20th century has ever seen. But is China now in regress as the communist party tries to widen its control over the economy?

Xi expects business as well as people to serve the CCP. As authoritarian controls metastasize throughout the economy, everyone suffers. For instance, even foreign enterprises now must accommodate party cells. The Wall Street Journal’s Lingling Wei reported on a Chinese “official, one of several who had helped introduce Western-style stock trading to China,” who cited “a worrisome trend of the party inserting itself more into companies’ affairs by pressuring them to accept Communist Party committees in their offices. ‘The whole thing about getting listed companies to set up party committees,’ he said, ‘is a reversal of what we had tried to do’.”

Mortgage Blues

It’s rather stunning how rich some homeowners thought they were when interest rates crashed to near zero and the real estate market began to soar. Today, though, at least a few of them don’t feel so rich anymore.

I have two questions: Firstly, why did the bank approve this inflated mortgage in the first place? Secondly, how many more like this were also approved?

At the time, the property was listed for $465,000, but Hartmann says she paid $200,000 over the asking price.

“It was quite ludicrous, there were bidding wars and it was just really stressful,” said Hartmann.

But just seven months later, she was laid off from her well-paying job at Microsoft and at the same time, soaring interest rates nearly doubled her mortgage.

Hartmann said she tried to sell her house through two different realtors and ended up handing the keys over to Scotiabank in November.

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