Eligible + likely voters ÷ party preference = Huh?

We’ve been told for months now that the Justin Trudeau-led Liberals have taken a considerable, almost shocking lead over the Conservatives, a putative fact that has spawned a veritable cottage industry of idle speculation among journalists about whether or not Stephen Harper will resign.
By the numbers,

Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and his party have widened their public-opinion lead over the ruling Conservatives in the past few weeks, according to a new poll by Forum Research. Liberals were the preferred party for 39 per cent of poll respondents, compared to 31 per cent for the Conservatives and 19 per cent for the New Democratic Party.

That was in June. About a month later, on July 25,

According to a survey from Forum Research released Thursday, the Liberals have widened their lead over the governing Conservatives to 16 points. Forum has the Grits at 44 per cent support, followed by Stephen Harper’s Tories at 28 per cent and Thomas Mulcair’s NDP at 18 per cent.

A more recent report put out by EKOS on August 10th showed the Liberals ahead by 13 points:

This poll…(reinforces) the notion that the now profound lead enjoyed by Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party is far from a blip.

Fast-forward to yesterday:

September 30, 2014 – Support for the Liberal Party of Canada increased slightly over the summer and is now tied for support with the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) among likely voters, according to the latest monthly poll from Angus Reid ..

So, just to straighten things out: According to various polls, the Liberals led the Conservatives in June by eight points, and widened their lead to sixteen points (44% to 28%) in July. Their current 33% support, which ties them with the Conservatives among likely voters but puts them ahead by three points among eligible voters, is a three-point increase in support since June.
Hope that clears everything up.

Riding Mass Transit Is Like Inviting 30 Random Hitchhikers Into Your Car

The Province;

Until Higuchi’s sergeant showed up, he was by himself because his partner for the evening, Constable Mike Rossa, was back at Surrey Central helping write a report on a young man who had been robbed of his cellphone at knifepoint near the busy SkyTrain station and bus loop.
“The kid was pretty shook up,” said Rossa, who explained the phone couldn’t be ‘pinged’ because the thief had probably removed its SIM card and turned it off.
Higuchi and Rossa were taking a reporter and photographer on what’s called a ‘ride-along’ — but which turned out to be mostly walking around the rapidly-changing neighbourhood and a little riding the SkyTrain, all in hopes of illustrating what transit police have to deal with on a daily basis

h/t Terry

We Don’t Need No Stinking Giant Mirrors

Desert Sun;

BrightSource Energy and Abengoa Solar withdrew their application for the Palen solar project Friday afternoon, a shocking turn of events following the project’s preliminary approval by state regulators just two weeks ago.
The developers could eventually propose another solar project at the same site, which is about 60 miles east of Indio. But their decision to withdraw the controversial Palen proposal — which drew fire from environmental and Native American groups — ends any chance of development in the foreseeable future.
BrightSource senior vice president Joe Desmond said the developers chose to withdraw their application in part because the project was unlikely to be completed by December 2016, meaning it wouldn’t qualify for a 30 percent investment tax credit that expires at the end of that year.
[…]
Whether BrightSource and Abengoa eventually propose another project could depend on whether Congress extends or modifies the 30 percent investment tax credit for renewable energy projects, which is slated to drop to 10 percent starting in 2017. The solar industry has been pushing Congress to modify the language of the tax credit, so that solar projects with some electricity online by the end of 2016 qualify — rather than just projects that are fully online.
“Right now, the solar energy industry and others are working hard to change that,” Desmond said.

I’ll bet.
h/t Kevin B

In Support of Smaller Government!

“”Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely.” – John Emerich Edward Dalberg Acton
U.S. radio show host Michael Graham made a powerful argument to Irish listeners recently in this 10 minute podcast.
Fact is, most everything he said could have been presented to a Canadian audience. Why do so few Canadian politicians ever take the time to make the [small-c] conservative argument about how our country would work better with LESS government?!

Reader Tips

New York born Bernard Herrmann was a prolific award-winning composer of musical scores for films, including Citizen Kane and Martin Scorsese’s Taxi Driver, but he is perhaps best known for his collaborations with Alfred Hitchcock. In tonight’s entertainment en route to the tips we listen to an extended version of Herrmann’s theme music from the 1960 horror-thriller Psycho.
The comments are open for your Reader Tips.

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