The Sound Of All Hell Breaking Loose, Pt. 4

The mainstream is getting into the meat of the CRU hack – Wall Street Journal;

A partial review of the emails shows that in many cases, climate scientists revealed that their own research wasn’t always conclusive. In others, they discussed ways to paper over differences among themselves in order to present a “unified” view on climate change. On at least one occasion, climate scientists were asked to “beef up” conclusions about climate change and extreme weather events because environmental officials in one country were planning a “big public splash.”
The release of the documents has given ammunition to many skeptics of man-made global warming, who for years have argued that the scientific “consensus” was less robust than the official IPCC summaries indicated and that climate researchers systematically ostracized other scientists who presented findings that differed from orthodox views.
Since the hacking, many Web sites catering to climate skeptics have pored over the material and concluded that it shows a concerted effort to distort climate science. Other Web sites catering to climate scientists have dismissed those claims.
The tension between those two camps is apparent in the emails. More recent messages showed climate scientists were increasingly concerned about blog postings and articles on leading skeptical Web sites. Much of the internal discussion over scientific papers centered on how to pre-empt attacks from prominent skeptics, for example.
Fellow scientists who disagreed with orthodox views on climate change were variously referred to as “prats” and “utter prats.” In other exchanges, one climate researcher said he was “very tempted” to “beat the crap out of” a prominent, skeptical U.S. climate scientist.
In several of the emails, climate researchers discussed how to arrange for favorable reviewers for papers they planned to publish in scientific journals. At the same time, climate researchers at times appeared to pressure scientific journals not to publish research by other scientists whose findings they disagreed with.
One email from 1999, titled “CENSORED!!!!!” showed one U.S.-based scientist uncomfortable with such tactics. “As for thinking that it is ‘Better that nothing appear, than something unacceptable to us’ … as though we are the gatekeepers of all that is acceptable in the world of paleoclimatology seems amazingly arrogant. Science moves forward whether we agree with individual articles or not,” the email said.
More recent exchanges centered on requests by independent climate researchers for access to data used by British scientists for some of their papers. The hacked folder is labeled “FOIA,” a reference to the Freedom of Information Act requests made by other scientists for access to raw data used to reach conclusions about global temperatures.
Many of the email exchanges discussed ways to decline such requests for information, on the grounds that the data was confidential or was intellectual property. In other email exchanges related to the FOIA requests, some U.K. researchers asked foreign scientists to delete all emails related to their work for the upcoming IPCC summary. In others, they discussed boycotting scientific journals that require them to make their data public.

Boston Herald;

In an embarrassing blow to the movement to combat global warming, hackers have posted hundreds of e-mails from a world-renowned British institute that show researchers colluding to exaggerate warming and undermine skeptics.

The story is moving from the blogs to mainstream. Don’t be too critical of the delay – I do know that there are Canadian journalists working on this, but it takes time. Anyone who has been sifting through the database will understand why.

Reader Tips

Good evening ladies and gentlemen, welcome to SDA Late Nite Radio. Tonight, for your delectation, here is Mr. Victor Borge performing some of his classic variations on Happy Birthday ¤ and Part II ¤.

Right, now that we’ve got the shtick under our belt, additional Borge variations, per Pyotr Tchaikovsky, Frederic Chopin, Johannes Brahms, Franz Liszt, Johann Sebastian Bach, Richard Wagner, Ludwig van Beethoven, Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart, Johann Strauss, Irving Berlin, and “modern music”, are also available.

Oh dear ~ I laughed so hard I cried 😉

Your Reader Tips are, as always, welcome in the comments.

The Sound Of All Hell Breaking Loose: Now Searchable!

The CRU emails are now searchable. Here’s one I stumbled across. (Bolding mine, read from bottom up.)

From: Keith Briffa
To: mann@xxxxxxxxx.xxx
Subject: Re: quick note on TAR
Date: Sun Apr 29 19:53:16 2007
Mike
your words are a real boost to me at the moment. I found myself questioning the whole process and being often frustrated at the formulaic way things had to be done – often wasting time and going down dead ends. I really thank you for taking the time to say these kind words . I tried hard to balance the needs of the science and the IPCC , which were not always the same. I worried that you might think I gave the impression of not supporting you well enough while trying to report on the issues and uncertainties . Much had to be removed and I was particularly unhappy that I could not get the statement into the SPM regarding the AR4 reinforcement of the results and conclusions of the TAR. I tried my best but we were basically railroaded by Susan*. I am happy to pass the mantle on to someone else next time. I feel I have basically produced nothing original or substantive of my own since this whole process started. I am at this moment , having to work on the ENV submission to the forthcoming UK Research Assessment exercise , again instead of actually doing some useful research ! Anyway thanks again Mike…. really appreciated when it comes from you very best wishes
Keith
Keith
At 18:14 29/04/2007, you wrote:
Keith, just a quick note to let you know I’ve had a chance to read over the key bits on last millennium in the final version of the chapter, and I think you did a great job. obviously, this was one of the most (if not the most) contentious areas in the entire report, and you found a way to (in my view) convey the the science accurately, but in a way that I believe will be immune to criticisms of bias or neglect–you dealt w/ all of the controversies, but in a very even-handed and fair way. bravo! I hope you have an opportunity to relax a bit now. looking forward to buying you a beer next time we have an opportunity 🙂
mike
—
Michael E. Mann
Associate Professor
Director, Earth System Science Center (ESSC)
[snip]

(*I believe he’s referring to Susan Solomon here.)
A more detailed examination of a different series of emails pertaining to Briffa’s work is up at Powerline.
Don’t miss this commentary, either – The Death Blow to Climate Science.

The 79 Billion Dollar Climate Scam

From JoNova:

It’s unthinkable. Big Government has spent $79 billion on the climate industry, 3000 times more than Big Oil. Leading climate scientists won’t debate in public and won’t provide their data. What do they hide? When faced with freedom-of-information requests they say they’ve “lost” the original global temperature records. Thousands of scientists are rising in protest against the scare campaign. Meanwhile $126 billion turned over in carbon markets in 2008 and bankers get set to make billions.

The PDF

The Sound Of All Hell Breaking Loose, Pt. 3

Hide the decline!
Mike’s “nature trick”

[T]he Team had a problem: actual reconstructions “diverge” from the instrumental series in the last part of 20th century. For instance, in the original hockey stick (ending 1980) the last 30-40 years of data points slightly downwards. In order to smooth those time series one needs to “pad” the series beyond the end time, and no matter what method one uses, this leads to a smoothed graph pointing downwards in the end whereas the smoothed instrumental series is pointing upwards — a divergence. So Mann’s solution was to use the instrumental record for padding, which changes the smoothed series to point upwards as clearly seen in UC’s figure (violet original, green without “Mike’s Nature trick”).

But read the whole thing.
Examiner.com

As embarrassing as the e-mails are, some of the documents are more embarrassing. They include a five-page PDF document titled The Rules of the Game, that appears to be a primer for propagating the AGW message to the average subject/resident of the United Kingdom. The document suggests that it is a precis of a longer document housed at the Web site of the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs.

More. The Sound Of Mature Science …

via James M.

The Sound Of All Hell About To Break Loose, Con’t

At Planet Gore, more exerpts from the Hadley CRU files;

And, perhaps most reprehensibly, a long series of communications discussing how best to squeeze dissenting scientists out of the peer review process. How, in other words, to create a scientific climate in which anyone who disagrees with AGW can be written off as a crank, whose views do not have a scrap of authority.

Previous
From the comments;

I love the e-mails back and forth about the endpoint problem in the F77 models, where the interpolation algorithm tends to skew the graph way up near the endpoint regardless of the input data because of the way the algorithm works.
They weren’t worried about the algorithm per se, but whether it would be noticed.
…
I’m a researcher, at least when I find the time. I have considerable experience writing and reviewing technical papers.
Presuming that these email excerpts collected by Delingpole are not taken out of context, this is amazing stuff. It indicates a clear debauchery and politicalization of the scientific method.
All researchers want their horse to win, but for most its tempered – at least at the conscious level – by a deep dedication to fair play and the truth. As a whole their integrity has always impressed me. If these emails by Phil Jones are as bad as they appear, he should spend the rest of his days as a Wall-Mart greeter, cause he doesn’t deserve to be a scientist.
…
Last night I did a Google search for FOI2009.ZIP and got 19 results, tonight I get 1080.

Expect much more of this.
Update: The Hadley hack makes the NYT.

The Sound Of All Hell About To Break Loose

The Hadley Climate Research Unit has been hacked;

An unknown person put postings on some climate skeptic websites that advertsied an FTP file on a Russian FTP server, here is the message that was placed on the Air Vent today:

We feel that climate science is, in the current situation, too important to be kept under wraps. We hereby release a random selection of correspondence, code, and documents

The file was large, about 61 megabytes, containing hundreds of files.
It contained data, code, and emails from Phil Jones at CRU to and from many people.
I’ve seen the file, it appears to be genuine and from CRU. Others who have seen it concur- it appears genuine. There are so many files it appears unlikely that it is a hoax. The effort would be too great.
Here is some of the emails just posted at Climate Audit on this thread: http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=7801#comments

Yowza.
Air Vent link here.
h/t ChrisinMB
Update

The director of Britain’s leading Climate Research Unit, Phil Jones, has told Investigate magazine’s TGIF Edition tonight that his organization has been hacked, and the data flying all over the internet appears to be genuine.
In an exclusive interview, Jones told TGIF, “It was a hacker. We were aware of this about three or four days ago that someone had hacked into our system and taken and copied loads of data files and emails.”
“Have you alerted police”
“Not yet. We were not aware of what had been taken.”
Jones says he was first tipped off to the security breach by colleagues at the website RealClimate.
“Real Climate were given information, but took it down off their site and told me they would send it across to me. They didn’t do that. I only found out it had been released five minutes ago.”
TGIF asked Jones about the controversial email discussing “hiding the decline”, and Jones explained what he was trying to say….

James Delingpole of the Telegraph (UK) – “If you own any shares in alternative energy companies I should start dumping them NOW.”
These emails are damning stuff, suggesting collusion, conspiracy, and suppression and manipulation of data on the part of leading “climate” scientists. Read Andrew Bolt for some of the highlights.
Lots at Climate Depot, too.
Climate Audit is still being slammed, so you may have a lot of trouble getting in there.

Blog Notes

We finished up hunting today with a tally of one buck, two does, and three of the luckiest moose ever to cross a field of wheat stubble. I considered shooting one, then ramming the carcass with my brother’s farm truck to plead “road kill”, but thought better of it.
It’s a quixotic place, this oil well riddled, environmentally decimated province. I can’t recall ever hearing of moose in the southeast, and neither can my father, whose lived here his entire life. Now, moose aren’t entirely uncommon – the unintended consequence of chem fallow and no-till. Thanks, Monsanto!
I’ll post a photo of the featured carrion when I get home. Tomorrow is a travel day, after which normal blogging will resume.
Thanks for your patience.

The Sound Of Settled Science

From Climate Audit to the Wall Street Journal – “Revenge of the Climate Laymen “

The retired Canadian businessman, whose self-described “auditing” a few years ago prompted a Congressional review of climate science, has once again thrown EnviroLand into a tailspin. In September, he revealed that a famous graph using tree rings to show unprecedented 20th century warming relies on thin data. Since its publication in 2000, University of East Anglia professor Keith Briffa’s much-celebrated image has made star appearances everywhere from U.N. policy papers to activists’ posters. Like other so-called “hockey stick” temperature graphs, it’s an easy sell—one look and it seems Gadzooks! We’re burning ourselves up!
“It was the belle of the ball,” Mr. McIntyre told me on a recent phone call from Ontario. “Its dance card was full.”
At least until Mr. McIntyre reported that the modern portion of that graph, which shows temperatures appearing to skyrocket in the last 100 years, relies on just 12 tree cores in Russia’s Yamal region. When Mr. McIntyre presented a second graph, adding data from 34 tree cores from a nearby site, the temperature spike disappears.

h/t Maz2

Return To Moral High Ground Postponed Indefinately

Now is the time at SDA when we juxtapose!
CNN, Jan. 22nd – Promising to return America to the “moral high ground” in the war on terrorism, President Obama issued three executive orders Thursday to demonstrate a clean break from the Bush administration, including one requiring that the Guantanamo Bay detention facility be closed within a year. During a signing ceremony at the White House, Obama reaffirmed his inauguration pledge that the United States does not have “to continue with a false choice between our safety and our ideals.”
Washington Post, Nov.18th – President Obama directly acknowledged for the first time Wednesday that the prison facility at Guantanamo Bay will not close by the January deadline he set, but he said he hoped to still achieve that goal sometime next year.

“Thousands Cheer Palin”

Heh. Is there nothing that Obama can’t do?
You know, for as politically inconseqential as our betters in media tell us Sarah Palin is, I can’t help but notice how much coverage she generates.
It reminds me why I always correct those who describe me as a “citizen journalist”. I don’t consider myself a journalist, never have, and this post illustrates the distinction very well.
When mainstream media declares someone to be inconsequential, they write over 4,600 stories about them.
When I consider someone to be inconsequential, I don’t write any at all.
(Related)

Reader Tips

Welcome to the Wednesday (EBD) edition of SDA Late Nite Radio.
Tonight, under the aegis of SDA’s ongoing Cultural Outreach Program, which was hopelessly designed to further awareness and understanding between disparate communities, we present a Queen’s English translation of a volubly heated freestyle Rap Battle. The debate format is as follows: practitioner Hydrogen asserts his thesis, Boost is given the opportunity to provide his counterargument, and then the floor is opened to questions and comments.
Feel free to flamboast your crunkest Cronkites furilla in the comments.

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