Asunder, Down Under

Environmentalists have been warning about this, and now it’s happened. Climate change is enroute to claiming its first government.

In a caucus revolt triggered by (former) leader Malcolm Turnbull embrace of Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), the Australian Liberal caucus has ejected their leader, electing Tony Abbott in his place. Turnbull lost the his leadership by one vote this morning.
Mr. Rudd’s ETS which will face a Senate vote, and is expected to be defeated in the Upper Chamber. Last week, Turnbull faced the first significant challenge to his leadership over ETS when five of his shadow ministers resigned in protest of their leader’s support for Rudd’s carbon trading bill.
Upon failure of the ETS legislation in the Senate, the bill can be reintroduced by Rudd but this would likely cause a double dissolution election; Rudd cannot pass the legislation due to a majority possessed by the Liberals and Family First party (a party also against Rudd’s ETS legislation).

World leaders weigh in on the crisis…. “Whoops! Sorry about that.” – carbon billionaire Al Gore
Tim Blair has details –

Seconds after Mr Abbott beat Malcolm Turnbull by one vote, he then declared a secret ballot on the ETS.
The motion proposed that the legislation should be delayed for three months, and if this could not be secured, then the legislation should be defeated.
The motion was carried by 54 votes to 29, guaranteeing the death of the Rudd Government’s ETS.

That folks, is the sound of all hell breaking loose.

The Sound Of All Hell Breaking Loose, Pt. 11

Now you know why they chose a railroad engineer to head up the IPCC…

“He said an independent inquiry into the emails would achieve little, but there should be a criminal investigation into how the emails came to light.”

skytrain.jpg

Considering that news editors North America wide had determined within hours that the 62 megabyte document dump revealed no data chicanery whatsoever, it’s odd he felt the need to speak at all.
Climategate really is just like Watergate – complete with Deep Code, the Internet Plumbers, and Bob Woodward in the role of Nixon.

The Sound Of All Hell Breaking Loose: “Beware The Scientific-Technological Complex”

The prospect of domination of the nation’s scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present — and is gravely to be regarded. Yet, in holding scientific research and discovery in respect, as we should, we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite. Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1961

 

‘It is important to note the isolation of the paleoclimate community; even though they rely heavily on statistical methods they do not seem to be interacting with the statistical community. Additionally, we judge that the sharing of research materials, data and results was haphazardly and grudgingly done. In this case we judge that there was too much reliance on peer review, which was not necessarily independent. Moreover, the work has been sufficiently politicized that this community can hardly reassess their public positions without losing credibility. Overall, our committee believes that Dr. Mann’s assessments that the decade of the 1990s was the hottest decade of the millennium and that 1998 was the hottest year of the millennium cannot be supported by his analysis.’ – Wegman Report, 2006

2009: Penn State to investigate Michael Mann;

In recent days a lengthy file of emails has been made public. Some of the questions raised through those emails may have been addressed already by the NAS investigation but others may not have been considered. The University is looking into this matter further, following a well defined policy used in such cases. No public discussion of the matter will occur while the University is reviewing the concerns that have been raised.

An unhappy colleague. Mike Hulme of UEA (location of CRU)

But this episode might signify something more in the unfolding story of climate change. This event might signal a crack that allows for processes of re-structuring scientific knowledge about climate change. It is possible that some areas of climate science has become sclerotic. It is possible that climate science has become too partisan, too centralized. The tribalism that some of the leaked emails display is something more usually associated with social organization within primitive cultures; it is not attractive when we find it at work inside science.
It is also possible that the institutional innovation that has been the I.P.C.C. has run its course. Yes, there will be an AR5 but for what purpose? The I.P.C.C. itself, through its structural tendency to politicize climate change science, has perhaps helped to foster a more authoritarian and exclusive form of knowledge production – just at a time when a globalizing and wired cosmopolitan culture is demanding of science something much more open and inclusive.

A contributing author to the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report, Eduardo Zorita, Department of Paleoclimate, GKSS Research Center (Germany)

“Why I think that Michael Mann, Phil Jones and Stefan Rahmstorf should be barred from the IPCC process”

Frank J. Tipler, professor of mathematical physics at Tulane University

The now non-secret data prove what many of us had only strongly suspected — that most of the evidence of global warming was simply made up. That is, not only are the global warming computer models unreliable, the experimental data upon which these models are built are also unreliable. As Lord Monckton has emphasized here at Pajamas Media, this deliberate destruction of data and the making up of data out of whole cloth is the real crime — the real story of Climategate.
It is an act of treason against science. It is also an act of treason against humanity, since it has been used to justify an attempt to destroy the world economy.

Dr. John Lewis, Dep’t of Physics & Physical Oceanography, Memorial University (by email);

It is worth noting, in regard to the deletion of raw data by the CRU that real scientific organizations are rather fierce about raw data. NASA, for instance, gives the Principal Investigator (and group) sole access to data for one year, and one year only. After that, the data are placed in the public domain. I do know that some PIs have asked for longer embargos – whether they got them or not I don’t know, but if so, not easily. If the PI simply deleted data it would be the end of his or her career.
NASA’s view is that data collected with public monies should be available to the public; and without copyright – US gov’t materials generally are not copyrighted. All of this is to a good end – the PIs get the obvious results, but some data – e.g. for the IRAS mission – have continued to yield information upon reanalysis even 15 years after the IRAS shut down.
Not every installation is set up to handle terabytes of data, but CRU was very well funded apparently, and anyway, if they couldn’t handle it they shouldn’t have collected or received it.
The CRU leaks will confirm the views of every half-baked political scientist in the world, that science does not deal in fundamental truths but is, rather, a politically negotiated discourse. It is very disturbing.

Dear Judy,

I am a young climate researcher (just received my master’s degree from xxx University) and have been very troubled by the emails that were released from CRU. I just want to applaud and support your response on climateaudit.org [95% of it 🙂 ]. Your statement represents exactly how I have felt as I slowly enter this community. The content of some of the emails literally made me stop and wonder if I should continue with my PhD applications for fall 2010, in this science. I was so troubled by how our fellow scientists within the climate community have been dealing with opposing voices (on both sides). I hope we can all learn from this and truly feel that we are going to need voices like yours to fix these problems in the coming months and years.

Dr. Judith Curry is Chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology.
Audio: An Australian reporter hears something he may not have anticipated – scathing criticism from Aynsley Kellow, Professor and Head of the School of Government at the University of Tasmania. Expert reviewer for the United Nation’s IPPC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change and Key Vulnerabilities. (Or go directly to the mp3 here.)

The Sound Of All Hell Breaking Loose: The Wang Affair

It starts…

… with the question of urban heat islands, and their effect on the temperature record. It is well known, and easily measured, that the centres of cities may be up to 4 C warmer at night than the countryside around them […]
The IPCC relied on a particular paper published in 1990 by Phil Jones in Nature that basically said the UHI effect was trivial, which in turn relied in large part on data from China supplied by professor Wang of Albany, State University of New York.
In describing this data, Jones et al. said “The stations were selected on the basis of station history: we chose those with few, if any, changes in instrumentation, location or observation times.” which in turn was based on the similar statement in Wang et al. “They were chosen based on station histories: selected stations have relatively few, if any, changes in instrumentation, location, or observation times…” The truth of these statements was essential for the papers to be valid, which in turn was relied on in part by the IPCC report. The problem is, they’re not true. And what’s more, somebody must have known it.
At first, nobody knew because the source data was (of course!) unpublished and unidentified. But because Phil Jones is in the UK and subject to FOIA, the Climate Audit crew managed after a fight to extract the list of weather stations from him. (One reason, no doubt, why he is so wary of FOIA compliance now!) This enabled the mathematician Doug Keenan and others to trace the Chinese weather stations used in the papers, and found that of the 84 stations used, there were in fact no records of station location for 49 of them, 8 had inconsistent histories, 18 had substantial relocations, 2 had single-year relocations, and only 7 were known not to have been relocated at all. Wang could not possibly have selected them on the basis claimed, and indeed there was other evidence that he knew of their problems in advance.

It caused the good Professor Wang no end of trouble until New York State University at Albany came to his rescue.
SDA flashback(2007)“Douglas J. Keenan raises serious questions about the Chinese surface station data ….”

Grey Cup Open Thead (Bumped – Game On!)

Via email;

We are hosting a Peewee hockey tourney in Brandon this weekend. A team from Saskatchewan is clothed in Rider Green and one little guy even has a chunk of his hair dyed green. I asked him if his Riders are going to win on Sunday…..
He looks me in the eye and says…
“I am a Montreal fan….. Mom dyed my hair green… ”
Have a great day Rider Nation….!

Computer models project outcome: “Based on pre-adjusted historical data, the Toronto Argonauts should win. But after the adjustments, I’m calling a win for the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in Toronto today.”
WELL, sucks to be us, I guess. Congrats to the Als!

Distinguished Lecture, Documentary & Interview Symposia

 
 

Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen, welcome to this week’s SDA distinguished lecture, documentary & interview symposium. This week, for your delectation, here is the great Richard Phillips Feynman presenting his excellent thoughts on The Pleasure of Finding Things Out, II, III, IV, and V, from his interview on the Horizon television programme in 1981.

Richard touches on many aspects of science and discovery that I think are important for us to occasionally revisit, especially during trying times like this when there is the danger from some that the immeasurable good that we have obtained via science over the millennia is threatened by those who would trash science per se solely for their own personal gain or simply out of anger that some people fraudulently claimed to be doing science when they were not.

While we’re on the topic of the SDA DLDI Symposia, you may wish to note that many of our previous symposia are directly relevant to the malfeasance we have now seen perpetrated by the climate- change industry, including Why We Think It’s OK to Cheat & Steal (Sometimes), by Dan Ariely, Celebrating the Scientific Experiment, by Kary Mullis, Why Doesn’t the Public Trust Scientists?, by Onora O’Neill, and A New Way to Explain Explanation, by David Deutsch.

Y2Kyoto: I Miss The Antarctic Ice Cap

The Great Melt: a pictorial essay from a pilot’s perspective. Zoom in on the lonely floating ice chunks while you still can, as ours will be the last generation to witness it.
penguins.jpg
“On an average year, L’Astrolabe gets closer than 20nm to DDU in the November cruise. Often they can get almost alongside the DDU runway, but as with all averages, there are years like this where the ice was too thick to get closer than 50nm.”
Today’s featured offering is by our nation’s most perceptive and discriminating opinion columnist – Lorrie Goldstein. “Canada, meet Harry”.
“Data horribilia” The HARRY_READ_ME.txt file

Navigation