Y2Kyoto: A Tip From An IPCC Insider

Roger Pielke Jr;

A high level participant in the IPCC (purposely vague to protect their identity) has confirmed to me that the major error on tropical cyclones that I recently identified was (a) indeed a major snafu and (b) a result of claims being inserted into the IPCC outside its review process. Neither of these things should happen in an process that the IPCC promotes as the “gold standard” of scientific assessment.

The error was to claim that a change in the proportion of Category 3-5 tropical cyclones has been detected and attributed to human-caused climate change, which is contrary to both evidence and the scientific literature. Even worse, in making the false claims the IPCC confused a study of measurements of tropical cyclones with tropical cyclones, and failed to acknowledge that paper had undergone a major correction, which altered its conclusions and rendered it irrelevant.

The false claim was not caught and was ultimately elevated by the IPCC to the summary of its recent Synthesis Report where it was promoted as one of the most significant scientific findings of the past assessment cycle. You can read all of the details on the error in this post and its follow up.

The tip that I received prompted me to go back and look carefully at the evolution of the drafting IPCC AR6, which was where the mistake made. I can confirm that the tip checks out. The IPCC failed to follow its own procedures of quality control and peer review. False information made its way into the report outside of the review process and was repeatedly elevated to the highest levels of information conveyed to policy makers.

13 Replies to “Y2Kyoto: A Tip From An IPCC Insider”

  1. The IPCC,that’s run by The United Nations, correct??
    And the United Nations is comprised of 193 countries of which,143 of them are 2nd and 3rd World countries out to undermine,usurp,overrun and destroy the 50 countries that are 1st World.
    We in the 1st World shouldn’t be listening to the IPCC or the U.N.

  2. Get ready for 20 tears of untold hysterical screams, (both verbal & printed), from ‘believers’ citing ‘irrefutable proof’ of ‘Climate Warming Global Change’, since they haven’t yet, or won’t ever, read/understand this disclaimer.

  3. The information, conforming to the Climate Doom Cult Narrative, was too good to verify.

  4. NOTHING….and I mean NOTHING that comes out of ANY U.N. organization should be listened to. They are absolute nutcases.

    1. The UN has been trying to get a new mandate for itself. Its old mandate became irrelevant after the fall of the Berlin Wall and the collapse of the Soviet Union. Arbitraging peace agreements was no longer relevant with the Soviet collapse. So its new mandate that it wanted was to become the source of a new world government via global warming. They are not nutcases; they have a plan even though the plan is insane.

    2. “NOTHING….and I mean NOTHING that comes out of ANY U.N. organization should be listened to. They are absolute nutcases.”

      Absolutely. I pretty much stop reading anything when the UN is mentioned as a information source.

  5. This is a tradition at the IPCC. The summary for policymakers is the part that politicians and the press use to create panic, so that’s always full of drama that’s not supported by any data in the actual report. The release of the dramatic summary is hyped to the max, and the subsequent acknowledgement of the summary’s “errors” is published on page 6 of the classified ad section.

    1. Exactly. The people who only get their news via the MSM will never see the retraction/correction.

    2. “This is a tradition at the IPCC. The summary for policymakers is the part that politicians and the press use to create panic, so that’s always full of drama that’s not supported by any data in the actual report. ”

      Remember the time that they released an IPCC report “summary” first, but didn’t release the actual report until they had adjusted the data to suit (and even said so)? If a business or corporation did that, they would be criminally charged.

  6. There are good errors and there are bad errors, ones that support the collectivist climate cabal narrative, and those that don’t.
    Like statistical significance, “adjustments,” common sense and the reality China and India use more coal that the world combined.
    Oh and social justice; the climate is significantly changed by whether or not socialists rule; proved by their biased, failed modelling.
    Because the fight is not against global warming, nor warming and certainly not actual pollution, it’s against democracy and liberty.
    Collectivists cannot resist the urge to rule and to promote systems that ensure their rule; covid and climate change are living proof.

    “They lie to us, we know they’re lying, they know we know they’re lying, but they keep lying to us, and we keep pretending to believe them.” Attributed it to Alexander Solzhenitsyn. Yet we vote for them, despite their incompetence, because we hope they are somehow more just, when we should know they’re not, and moral, when they’re demonstrably amoral, but mostly because we tire of leftist temper tantrums.

    Why would we as voters and citizens expect any different result from the Sovietization of our society, as leaders rule and people drool?

  7. “The IPCC failed to follow its own procedures of quality control and peer review. False information made its way into the report outside of the review process and was repeatedly elevated to the highest levels of information conveyed to policy makers.”
    Rodger is a gentleman.
    After observing Team IPCC and their minions from our own governments, I maintain that this is business as usual for them.
    Policy Based Evidence Manufacturing is their one and only purpose.
    Once upon a time,government and quasi government agencies were required to document the data upon which their “recommendations”were based.
    Try finding that data in any UN report.
    Useless Nutjobs,who should be banished or hunted in any sane society.

  8. I’m beginning to suspect these people might be up to something.

  9. We have only FIVE YEARS to SAVE the planet from capitalist greed and exploitation!!!

    Thus spoketh the UN “science” experts. And if you’ve heard it all before … ? You have.

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