There is nothing, nothing, that a computer can’t do. Without meaning to sound deflating, retraining isn’t going to cut it. By the time a 40 year old finishes retraining for a new job the next generation of computer will have invalidated that career path. There will be unrest and a lot of it.
We’ll find out, though, that’s for sure.
The introduction of new technology doesn’t automatically eliminate jobs right away. It takes a while for it to prove itself and for employers to adapt and integrate it into its operations.
It will also take a number of years before it becomes ubiquitous. Existing equipment won’t be scrapped overnight because it still functions and makes money. It’ll be replaced once it costs more to keep it running than it brings in by generating revenue. It’ll be replaced if spare parts become hard to find or are no longer available.
Meanwhile, though, certain educational institutions hope to profit from it. The place where I used to teach was quite happy when the economy hit the skids because it meant that the number of people looking to add to their qualifications and credentials would increase. More students meant more money coming in through tuition, fees, and associated expenses.
Doesn’t anyone need a COBOL programmer anymore?
There is nothing, nothing, that a computer can’t do.
Like to see a computer rope a cow out in the pasture to treat them…or even fix the fence. 🙂
Very valid for work for Lawyers, Real Estate Agents, office type jobs.
However, a large number of trades are pretty exempt from this, as is government work.
If you are old enough to remember what a steno pool was then you will realize that no-one is exempt from this advancement. I worked on the last big Ford change-over, when they brought in automated PC spot-welders. That was the beginning of the removal of skilled trades, it has advanced a piece since then!
I’m very pleased that my daughter is a nurse in a hospital and my son loads cars onto trains.
The more repetitive a job, the more likely it will be automated.
Jobs that require on-site troubleshooting and remediation/mitigation skills in a wide variety of situations will still need experienced meat-computers. The tools used to get better answers have improved significantly in the past decade, and we can do jobs better, easier, and quicker, but the synthesizing abilities of that meat-cpu in a reasonably-rugged, self-propelled, autonomous package is hard to beat.
One of your experienced meat-computer fields has just been outsourced.
http://www.businessinsider.com/ibms-watson-may-soon-be-the-best-doctor-in-the-world-2014-4
Step 1 – Stop importing illiterate goat herders from the third world.
Yup. It will be a big seller when it can perform abortions and prescript “medical recreational drugs”.
But as is with all computers – garbage in, garbage out. It would be an amazing device for hypochondriacs to discover everything than ails them.
“prescript” = prescribe. Spell/grammar checkers are a form of AI. Aren’t you glad technology never fails?
The only way to have a job will be to dress up as a robot and be hired! I intend to become a robot comedian-.
Q. How many robots would it take to change a light bulb?
A. Why should we care- we can see in infra-red!
I’ll just change my name to Andy Royd, humanoid at large!
Todays fad,artificial intelligence, is becoming the next boogey man.
I am strangely touched by the faith all these effete elite talking head types have in the upcoming technology.
Oh yes, computers are going to take over, using ?? advanced judgement to deal with unrehearsed reality.
The self driving car is coming…to a tightly controlled and regulated city near you.
For outside the zombie zones, reality is too diverse for artificial wisdom.
Almost like the non-tool using segment of society planning to exert their authority over the rest of us.
This domination of our world by the machines is the same fantasy of the useless and clueless.
Feel free to convince me otherwise, tell me how the omnipotent self driving car will cope with a moose on the road side, or a patch of black ice on a nice clear morning.Or a nasty man out to relieve the occupants of wealth and health.
Now as a person who enjoys driving,I look forward to the self driving auto.
I expect the :”All go right” signal will be wonderful for clearing my path.
The easiest robot job to do would be an “activist”. Dress as a robot with a face covering and loot, through Molotov cocktails, chant repetitive, mindless statements etc
This was a fad that started almost 40 years ago. Maybe it will be reality when we get flying cars and bell bottoms make a comeback.
After seeing how many horrible drivers are on the road in cars, like the ones that text or talk on phones and don’t let the trucks or larger vehicles merge, I think the automatic self drivers will need their own traffic lanes. Normal drivers are just too unpredictable.
I saw a lady do a 360+ “drift” across 2 lanes of traffic going 80MPH on the highway and I have no clue how or why she did it, and I am amazed she lived through it, and did not flip her car. Those spastic drivers should have the self driving cars!
Just remember, “To err is human, but to really screw up requires a computer.”. Computers are great, until they aren’t.
A switch cannot be intelligent. NOT. EVER.
A computer is just a big collection of switches. There is no intelligence present, and there never will be. Just clever programming that simulates it.
I guess maybe one could run for leader of the lieberal party…
I’ll be your side-kick half brother Hemi Royd.
The biggest problem with AI is a soon as I know what the next move (and the next, etc.) I win.
For example, if a “self-driving” car will pull over to side under a certain condition, I can make YOUR car pull over and stop for me. And this goes on ad nauseam.
Don’t delude yourself – there are bad guys out there … and they are smarter than AI programmers.
Although not an AI example, we recently had a large mall open in the lower mainland. The crowds it generated on opening was a picnic for shoplifters … who came to shoplift. I know a person who worked at one of the stores that said they lost more in shop lifting than they had in sales. And those people are not the sophisticated ones.
So are you saying that a combination of 0’s and 1’s is intelligent? Is intelligence and creativity the same thing? Why didn’t Homer invent the aqueduct?
Ladies and gentlemen, the Dunning-Kruger effect.
The people who think AI will never automate white collar jobs and the people who think AI will automate every white collar job overnight are both wrong.
What Dunning and Kruger are talking about isn’t germane to this discussion. Humans will decide when to hand over the keys to control everything in their lives to a machine.
Computers allow some people to make mistakes ten time faster than they ever could before.
reaks and wreaks. probably not spelled right.
The only answer may be to have a robot/computer work for you. Companies have to pay the robot the same as a human and one is assigned to you. I know … crazy.
Computerized ‘traction control’ set my brakes on fire more than once. Not a fan…
I’ve developed AI code for games, and patented a Turing test. I also worked for a company trying to develop NLP tech to assemble documents. Those people who are most confident in their predictions about what AI is or will be are generally the least qualified to talk about it. There will be some interesting software developments in the next few years, but all of these stories are hysterical nonsense. Just remember this: Microsoft, with all of their resources and power and years of development, was able to produce… Cortana.
Those people who are most confident in their predictions about what AI is or will be are generally the least qualified to talk about it.
I swear there’s a term for that.
If you think a computer can do anything try Googling where you left your keys.
Also a truism is the correlation being that those who know a technology are least qualified to assess the impact or popular usage of the technology.
So true. There is always that pesky element called “real life” that always interferes with the digital nirvana.
You know that’s actually a thing, right?
huge bingo there Mr Teach. enormous.
at the ‘cellular’ level, ALL computers are nothing but billions of NAND etc gates. diodes, faking intelligence. they have no self-repairing function, no reproductive capability, the process of ‘learning’ has NO ability to ‘think outside the box’.
it’s all absurdist sci fi. I prefer my fiction to have some sort of plausibility even if one must ‘suspend disbelief’ as in a Shakespearean stage play.
‘AI’ is merely an advertising ‘jingle’.