Make your prediction in the comments – to make my job easier, please list the parties in alphabetical order (there are 308 seats in total):
BQ
Conservatives
Green
Liberal
NDP
Other/Independent
Bonus: Predict the popular vote for the party winning the most seats. (ie: Liberal – 30%) The bonus question will come into play should no commentor predict the seat distribution accurately enough to declare a clear winner.
Rules: one prediction per commentor and you must provide a valid email address. No email entries will be accepted.
For the person who comes closest in their prediction (after election results are declared final), I’ll send a $25 donation to the charity of your choice – $50 if your prediction is perfect.
In event of a tie, the comment time-stamped earliest will be declared the winner.
This thread will be declared closed at 4pm (Eastern) on Tuesday.
To prevent spam in the unlikely event your site ever gets hacked, I don’t use my real email address so I’m not eligible to win… and that’s fine.
I suck at election prediction anyway (I’m usually overly optimistic); I’m sure the actual winner’s charity will be great.
With those confidence-inspiring words out of the way, here are my seat predictions:
Liberal — 112
Conservative — 115
NDP — 42
Bloc Treason — 38
Green — Ha ha!
Independent — 1
Conservatives – 165
Liberal – 62
NDP 46
Bloc 35
47
141
078
41
1
Kate, can you post any links to sites that may give us easytern results when the polls close.I hate waiting until 9 or 10 oclock to find out.
Thanks
Horny Toad
B.Q. – 44
Conservatives – 163
Green – 0
Libs – 68
NDP – 32
Ind. – 1
Oh, I didn’t do it in alphabetical order. My bad. I’ll repost:
Bloc Treason — 38
Conservative — 115
Green — Ha ha!
Liberal — 112
NDP — 42
Other/Independent — 1
BQ – 34
Conservatives – 171
Liberals – 73
NDP – 29
Ind – 1
BQ – 45
Conservatives – 150
Green – 0
Liberal – 73
NDP – 38
Other/Independent – 2
BQ – 49
Conservatives – 157
Green –
Liberal – 69
NDP – 33
Other/Independent –
bloc – 39
cons – 120
greens – nada
liberals – 104
ndp – 44
other – 1
BQ – 47
Conservatives – 142
Green – 0
Liberal – 82
NDP – 37
Other/Independent – 1
I’ll say what I want instead of saying what will happen. My crystal ball is at the repair shop.
BQ treason party =8 (parts of Montreal are irretrievable)
Conservative- whatever is left over from the clown parties.
Green- 1 Just to torture them.
Liberals = 0 because nobody is dumb enough to vote for them, and because they deserve it.
NDP- 2 (parts of Hamilton are irretrievable)
Independent = 1, that one being Gary McHale in Caledonia because I can’t justify letting Dianne Finley have it, even though she is CPC. And that’s considering I think McHale’s a nutter.
In the unlikely even I win, my donation goes to the SDA defense fund.
BQ – 40
Conservatives – 160
Green – 0
Liberal – 66
NDP – 42
Other/Independent – 0
Conservative – 152
Liberals – 88
Bloc – 39
NDP – 28
Ind – 1
Green – 0
For clarity I’ll repost:
Shamrock sez:
BQ – 47
Conservatives – 141
Green – 0
Liberal – 78
NDP – 41
Other/Independent – 1
I predict that Lizzy May will put her seat up for grabs.
I predict that the voter turnout will be the lowest, as a % of the population, in this country’s history
and I predict that the Green Party will NOT win a single seat
as for Dion, he can go back to teaching communism at a community college somewhere because his political career is over
Harper will win another minority
and Layton’s group of misfits will form the official opposition
BQ – 75
CPC – 74
LIB – 74
NDP – 74
GRN – 11
The MTV Party is going to lose it’s V and continue as the MT Party.
BQ – 53
Cons – 175
Green – 0
NDP – 22
Libs – 56
Ind – 2
Conservative Majority – 39.3 % popular vote
BQ 53
Conservatives 142
Green 0
Liberal 79
NDP 33
Other/Independent 1
Bloc Treason – 46
Conservative – 160
Green – 0
Ind – 1
Liberals – 68
NDP – 33
Williams, DannyDollar – 0
BQ: 40
Conservative: 145
Lieberals:85
NDP (aka Communist party of canada):38
Greens: 0000000
Other: 0
BQ 45
Con 161
Green 1
Lib 67
NDP 33
Other/Ind 1
Cons, 39%
BQ: 44
Cons: 140
Greens: 0
Libs: 88
NDP:35
Independent: 1
Wow… some very, very optimistic predictions there.
CONSERV >> 140
LIBERAL >> 83
NDP >> 36
BLOC >> 47
GREEN >> 0
IND >> 2
Conservatives: 37%
BQ: 40
Conservatives: 148
Green: 0
Liberal: 75
NDP: 50
Other/Independent: 1
BQ……………35
Conservatives…154
Green………….0
Liberal……….86
NDP…………..33
Other/Independent.0
Con – 138 (36%)
Lib – 90
NDP – 40
BQ – 37
GRN – 1
IND – 2
BQ 50
Conservatives 142
Green 0
Liberal 81
NDP 34
Other/Independent 1
BQ- 53
Conservative- 129
Green- 0
Liberal- 91
NDP- 34
Ind.- 1
BQ – 50
Cons – 140
Green – 0
Libs – 82
NDP – 34
Ind – 2
Conservative Minority – 36.5 % popular vote
BQ: 39
Cons: 155
Green: 0
Lib: 66
NDP: 47
Other: 1
Conservative majority: 37.9 popular vote.
Sorry to be so Dionish, Kate, but are do overs allowed? I can’t believe I increased NDP seats by 12 from last time. It should have been five max.
BQ 42
Conservatives 144
Green 0
Liberal 80
NDP 41
Other/Independent 1
Popular vote: Tory minority (34.8%)
BQ- 53
Conservative- 123 (35%)
Green- 0
Liberal- 94
NDP- 38
Ind.- 0
I hope I am totally off, and some of the wildly optimistic things I see above are true.
All in all, a disappointing campaign. I thought there was a real shot at the majority.
BQ 40
Conservative 143
Green 0
Liberal 81
NDP 43
Ind. 1
Conservative Minority – 36.1 % popular vote
BQ – 50 – 9%
Con – 142 – 36.5%
GRN – 0 – 9%
Lib – 76 – 25.5%
NDP – 38 – 19%
IND – 2 – 1%
If I win send the money to the Ezra Levant Defence Fund.
Before I answer, is the Human Fund a valid charity choice, Kate?
Conservatives – 140
Liberals – 83
NDP – 37
Blocheads – 48
Greens – 1
Independent – 1
Tories will get 36.5% of the popular vote.
B 50
C 158
G 0
L 55
N 44
I 1
37.8 %
I’m always wrong; I’ve yet to win the lottery, so:
Bloc 39
CPC 137
Green 0
Lib 86
NDP 45
Other 1
CPC Percentage: 36%
Reasons for above numbers? Absolutely none.
BQ: 43
Cons: 155
Greens: 0
Libs: 80
NDP:33
Independent: 0
BQ – 35
Con. – 157
Green – 0
Liberal – 88
NDP – 28
Other – 0
Conservatives – 38.1%
Conservatives 162
BQ 22
NDP 57
Liberal 63
Independant 2
Greens 2
Conservative majority with 39.2 percent of popular vote. If I win the $$ go directly into the SDA freedom defense fund.
Bloc-Heads 41
Conservatives 159
Greenies 0
Independents 2
Liars 74
New Commie Party 36
Popular Vote – 38.9 %
My two Independents are the radio DJ in quebec and Casey in Nova Scotia
BQ – 52
Con – 124
Gr – 0
Lib – 88
NDP – 43
Ind – 1
Do floor crossers immediatley after the election is over count? 😉
Liberal — 69
Conservative — 151
NDP — 35
Bloc — 52
Green – 0
Independent — 1
B.Q. – 45
Conservatives – 140
Green – 0
Libs – 82
NDP – 41
Ind. – 0
CPC 35.1%
Cons-135
Libs-71
Bloc-50
NDP-50
Ind-1
Green-1
Childrens Make a Wish. Have a great Thanksgiving Day.
BQ – 41
Conservatives – 143
Green – 0
Liberal – 92
NDP – 32
Other/Independent – 0
Conservatives 38.3 %
When you have to break done the numbers it becomes apparent why it is so difficult to form a majority with so many parties competing for votes.