Vitruvius’s Experimental Election Predictor

Recension 3.3.5 of Vitruvius’s Experimental Election Predictor,
covering the week through 2011-04-24, is available at The Sagacious
Iconoclast
. The Conservative Party of Canada is currently polling
at ΣVe/n = 8.44, which historically translates into the range of 149
to 176 seats, depending on how one interpolates previous elections.

Today’s cheese selections are Cornish Yarg, Appleby Cheshire,
Wensleydale, Montgomery Cheddar, and Tomme de Montagne.

“He who has so little knowledge of human nature as
to seek happiness by changing anything but his own
disposition will waste his life in fruitless efforts.”
— Samuel Johnson 

The First American Prime Minister, At The Ice Hockey Game

We get mail!

Kate, this probably will not be in the media tomorrow about the American Count Iggy’
He attended an Ontario Hockey league play-off game in Mississauga, Ontario tonight, there were about 4000 fans from Niagara and Mississauga present in the arena. He was introduced to the fans, waved, bowed etc. and was booed by the whole crowd for over two minutes. We are not sure how long he stayed at the game afterwards. Mississauga according to the media is supposed to be a Liberal stronghold !!!.

Well, it’s been reported by Open Ice Hockey reporter Nathan Dearing. Over at the Ignatieff campaign bus, the big media tweeters remained silent.
Update – Well, here’s a brand new Canadian Press story on the game. No Liberal leaders reported in attendance.
Morning Update – Confirmation from the V.P. Marketing of the Mississauga St. Mike’s Majors …
And this absolute howler from CP reporter Steve Rennie, traveling with the Ignatieff campaign.
rennie.jpg
Final Update: Now being covered by SunTV, captured to youtube by SDAMatt!

Now being carried by CTV and CBC. SDA gets results!

Reader Tips

Jerry Woods, the lead singer and songwriter of Canadian band Jerry Jerry and the Songs of Rhythm Orchestra (previously featured here) is one of those rare Canadians musicians whose music and lyrics are – to the (minimal) extent they’re political at all – unabashedly and refreshingly non-leftist. From the band’s debut album “Road Gore: The Band That Drank Too Much”, here’s Radical Look. For an audio-only bonus track, scroll down here and click on the snappy and funny “Smart (I’m Smart)”.
The comments are open for your Reader Tips.

It’s The Yogi Berra Election

Deja Media all over again. Do these people EVER stop talking about themselves?
Overheard from outside the Twitter bunker;

@katewerk: Why blame the #CPC crowd? All through university they learned that shouting down speakers is “free speech”.
@TheERABrohm: shouting down a speaker is an action of defiance but interfering with a journalist doing his job is different.
@katewerk: So, we must never defy journalists. But, what if a journalist is invited to be a speaker?

Is There Nothing That Obama Can’t Do?

The man has a certain Chavez-y way about him;

In what may be the strongest signal yet of the new pro-labor orientation of the National Labor Relations Board under President Obama, the agency filed a complaint Wednesday seeking to force Boeing to bring an airplane production line back to its unionized facilities in Washington State instead of moving the work to a nonunion plant in South Carolina.

Remember – Bush was the “fascist”.

The First American Prime Minister, Demonizing Canadian Industry

Now is the time at SDA when we juxtapose!
Michael Ignatieff, 2009 – Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff says that protecting Alberta’s controversial oilsands is a national unity issue. All of Canada benefits from oilsands development, Ignatieff told a Chamber of Commerce lunch in Edmonton Friday.
Michael Ignatieff’s campaign ad, 2011 – The Liberals are out with an attack ad featuring video of a tarred and suffering duck in a Syncrude tailings pond. […] The Oil Sands Developers Group is slamming the Liberals over the ad, saying the tailings incident had nothing to do with any political party.

Reader Tips

During the Continuation War between Finland and the Soviet Union, the Russians used radio-detonated land mines triggered by a combination of three different notes (tones). In an – apparently successful – effort to jam these trigger tones, Finnish radio stations in one region began to broadcast, nonstop, a well-known and intricate Karelian polka that has nothing resembling a break or a pause in it. In tonight’s Tips music, we get a front row seat at Finnish accordion whiz Jussi Marttinen’s log-cabin performance of the historic Säkkijärven Polka. The guy’s *good*.
The comments are open for your Reader Tips.

Margin Of Fraud

In Tunica, Mississippi;

[T]en guilty verdicts of voter fraud were returned yesterday against NAACP officer Lessadolla Sowers. She was sentenced to five years for each count without the possibility of parole and will serve the terms concurrently. […]
The Tunica Times (subscription required) is the only media outlet covering Sowers’ conviction.

They don’t want to depress the Democratic “base”.
Via

Margin Of Fraud

Edmonton Sun;

Ryan Hastman’s campaign office is filing an official complaint with Elections Canada alleging that 550 names in the hotly contested Edmonton-Strathcona riding are “bogus and invalid.” After the Conservatives lost the riding in an extremely close race three years ago, the Tory candidate says he isn’t taking any chances.
In 2008, Linda Duncan received just 460 more votes than the runner-up, Conservative incumbent Rahim Jaffer in the race.
“In a close race like this, every vote will count,” said Hastman. “It’s important that only valid addresses are included in the voters list.”
Hastman’s campaign office claims the bogus entries in the Elections Canada’s voters list include several businesses — including a hemp store and a gas station — and an empty field. The office also alleges that hundreds of voters are also registered at addresses of industrial companies, storage lockers and private mail boxes.

Now is the time at SDA when we flashback!

[T]he Laurie Hawn campaign acquired a City of Edmonton map which listed all buildings and their street addresses and began thoroughly checking the revised voters list….
# Almost 100 apparently nonexistent addresses in Edmonton’s downtown core – in some cases, the addresses listed fictional residences in between two genuine buildings
# Hundreds of people registered to vote out of their law offices, medical offices, accounting offices, and Government of Canada offices – in some cases these may be genuine errors, but in other cases, entire families are registered to vote out of high rise office space
# Dozens of people registered to vote out of office towers, but who did not list a suite number, causing the address to read similarly to ordinary residences – in many cases, these people are also registered to vote in other ridings using their home addresses, and in other cases, voters living in other ridings are only registered in Edmonton Centre
# Dozens of people registered to vote out of small mail box locations and from self-storage yards – there is no legitimate way for a person to appear on the list of Electors from a self-storage yard
# Eighteen people registered to vote out of a truck stop
# People registered to vote out of karaoke bars, lingerie stores, dance lounges, galleries, etc…

Related – Judge rules byelection needed in Ward 9

Happy Birthday, Queen Elizabeth

    

Today, Thursday April 21, 2011, marks the 85’th anniversary of Queen Elizabeth’s birth. As a third- millennium Canadian, I think we should stand as an independent republic now, free from previous millennia’s royal constraints, and yet I don’t think we should do that as long as Queen Elizabeth retains her titular role, because I think she’s a hell of a dame (pardon my language, your Majesty).

In that light, then, here are the BBC Symphony Orchestra & Chorus, conducted by Sir Andrew Davis, with the Fanfare Trumpeters of Her Majesty’s Royal Marines, performing, in 2002, at Buckingham Palace:

God Save The Queen

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