Category: Art Of The Deal

Tax Trouble

If the US is going to eliminate income taxes or fund all the things that the administration is proposing, the revenue stream seems to be going in the wrong direction. What’s more is that reliance on tariffs for tax revenue offers a very obvious escape route: if you can produce something with inputs sourced solely in the US, you don’t pay tariffs at all. As that option broadens, tax revenue will logically go down, not up.

The release brings the total revenue collected in 2025 to $264.05 billion. It’s a historically high annual total — but also the second straight monthly decline after Trump dialed back key tariffs last November.

The peak for the year was October’s monthly haul of $31.35 billion. The first decline then came in November, with $30.76 billion in customs duties collected that month.

Regime Unchanged?

Any predictions as to where this is all headed? The top guy got switched out, but other than that the same gang appears to still be in control.

While Machado is a “nice woman,” she lacks support and respect inside Venezuela, Trump said Saturday in a news conference to discuss the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro by US forces. “I think it would be very tough for her to be the leader,” he said. Instead, he said the US plans to work with Venezuelan Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, Maduro’s second-in-command.

Who Cares?

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko freed 123 prisoners on Saturday, including Nobel Peace Prize winner Ales Bialiatski and leading opposition figure Maria Kalesnikava, after two days of talks with an envoy for U.S. President Donald Trump, an American statement said.

In return, the United States agreed to lift sanctions on Belarusian potash. Potash is a key component in fertilizers, and the former Soviet state is a leading global producer.

Coulda Had A Pipeline

Oilprice;

Iraq’s Oil Ministry has revealed that it has sent out exclusive invitations to several major U.S. energy firms to develop the country’s huge West Qurna 2 oilfield following the withdrawal of Russian oil number two Lukoil after Washington ratcheted up sanctions on Moscow. “It’s a huge turnaround in the trajectory it [Iraq] had been headed with Russia and China, marking a massive win for us [the U.S.] and Europe,” a senior legal source who works closely with the U.S. Treasury Department exclusively told OilPrice.com last week. “Stay tuned – there’ll be more of this to come,” he added.

The significance of this sea-change in Iraq’s geopolitical leanings can barely be overstated. Following the increasing perception among the Iraqi people that the U.S. had overstayed its welcome after it removed Saddam Hussein as leader in 2003, Russia and China – in that order – looked to boost their influence across the country for three key reasons. First, it offers a huge repository of oil at the world’s joint lowest average lifting cost of $2-4 per barrel, together with large quantities of associated and non-associated gas. Second, it occupies the geographical heart of the region, lying west of Iran, north of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, east of Jordan and Syria (with its long Mediterranean coastline offering access to further critical sea routes), and south of Turkey (affording an entry into the European continent). And third, it is a key member of the ‘Shia Crescent of Power’ geopolitical arc that stretches from Iran through Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, where Shia communities and Iran-backed groups exert significant influence over regional politics, economics, and security. In short, if you are a global superpower or wannabe, Iraq is where you need to be.

Collateral Damage?

Needless prosecution of a victimless crime, or a case of “the law is the law“?

The administration’s sudden expansion of immigration arrests in Chicago meant Guzmán was in the government’s custody for about 34 hours. She was kept in a holding facility that was intended to house people for only a small fraction of that time… Even though she was still trying to produce breast milk for her daughter, Guzmán had limited access to food and water at the Broadview Processing Center and was never provided a breast pump. She said she was never assessed by a medical professional while in the government’s custody. Guzmán was left to manage the pain of her C-section recovery as well as her Type 1 diabetes with the supplies she had in her backpack at the time of her arrest.

 

Down The Primrose Path

Maybe.

Based on recent reports, it’s unclear. ABC News states a US-proposed peace plan was revised from 28 to 19 points after talks, but Ukraine’s Zelenskyy says no final agreement yet and more work is needed. Other outlets like CBS and Moneycontrol cite US officials claiming Ukraine agreed to terms, with minor details pending. Further developments may clarify.


Oil slides on the optimistic headline that Ukraine has tentatively agreed to the Trump-backed deal..

Dissension In The Ranks?

If you take a gander at the conversations on Twitter today, Trump’s apparent endorsement of the H1-B visa program in an interview with Laura Ingraham doesn’t seem to be going over so well. My earlier understanding was that there was going to be a $100,000 fee applied to those visas. Does anyone know what’s happening with that?

More Twitter opinions from Yahoo news.

“This is insane—we are going to lose the mid-terms so badly,” Anthony Sabatini, a vocal pro-Trump county commissioner in Florida with a large online following, wrote on Tuesday on X, where the president’s remarks quickly went viral.

 

New Governor, Same As The Old Governor

This is a really good explainer.

Threadrolled here.

There Goes The Narrative

@sunlorrieOnly in Ford’s Ontario would Reagan explaining his reasons for imposing tariffs on Japan be transformed into an ad about Reagan defending free trade…

Updates.

Update: To that end, I am pleased to see Ontario’s ad campaign is being suspended…

@LaurieScottPCSee my statement below regarding the announced closure of Holsag’s manufacturing facility in Lindsay, Ontario.

Meanwhile…

Elbows Down!

I thought our new PM was just the guy we needed to stand up to the Americans. Oh, well…..

American truck maker Paccar Inc. is laying off 300 more factory workers in Quebec ahead of a 25 per cent import tariff to be imposed by the U.S. next month.

The factory in Sainte-Thérèse, a Montreal suburb, manufactures Kenworth and Peterbilt trucks and relies heavily on revenue from the United States.

Don’t Throw Him In That Briar Patch, Br’er Schumer

How the shutdown enabled the Trump administration’s mass firing spree;

The White House is using the government shutdown as an opportunity to fire thousands of people — furthering the aims of Elon Musk’s DOGE effort earlier this year.

Why it matters: This time the stated focus isn’t efficiency or eliminating fraud. It’s all about shrinking the federal government — and doing away with programs that run counter to the administration’s ideologies.

The big picture: This is the first time an administration has used a shutdown to terminate federal workers.

The firings appear to be in line with the overall goal of bringing the federal government under the president’s control and shrinking its size, as OMB Director Russell Vought laid out in Project 2025.

UN Carbon Tax: Dead In The Water

John Ʌ Konrad V;

I can’t share the details on how @michaelgwaltz & @SecRubio have, in just a few days, organized the greatest opposition to UN policy since the Cold War and blocked this UN Carbon Tax.

I can say it was a knife fight to the end.

“I’ve been in this industry for 30 years and I’ve never seen anything like it,” one shipping executive told me today. “You just don’t say NO to these guys. It’s unheard of.”

It’s unclear who “these guys” are, but I suspect the European families with shipping investments and net wealth that far exceeds Elon’s.

Absolutely none of the maritime experts I interviewed early this week thought the US could pull this off. Zero. Massive amounts of money, NGO influence, diplomatic threat and media manipulation were behind this… and the American media (except @gCaptain and Fox News) was dead silent.

And yet Trump did it.

“That Trump Truth Social post sent shockwaves through the building,” one UN delegate in London told me. “NOBODY expected it. The Secretary General @IMOSecGen looked like a deer in the headlights this morning.”

Incredible. Simply incredible work by team Trump and a massive blow to the European deep state who planned to use this tax as a slush fund to plug holes in US Aid funding for globalist NGOs.

Promises made. Promises kept!

Inside Trump’s Pressure Campaign to Derail Global Shipping Emissions Tax

Thank You For Your Attention To This Matter

Ed Morrissey;

Trump won this war in June, when he made an unapologetic decision to intervene with military strikes in Iran. Those strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities completely shook up the order in the region, which had settled into an Iranian track toward dominance. Israel had already done most of the damage by wiping out Hezbollah’s upper echelons and their banking system, which led directly to the fall of Bashar al-Assad and the rise of a new Syrian regime that detests the mullahs in Iran. However, the strikes by Trump on Iran forced everyone to reconsider their assumptions and recalculate for a president who had no problem ordering military force to defend and protect American interests.

However, the strike by Israel on Hamas facilities in Doha played a role here too. Trump claimed to be angry over that attack, and the White House made it known that he supposedly forced Benjamin Netanyahu to apologize to the Qatari emirate. However, that also sent a signal that both US and Israeli impatience over the Hamas Hokey Pokey and the uselessness of the Billionaire Boys Club in Doha had reached a critical moment. With both the US and Israel willing to throw down against terror networks and their sponsors, time ran out for Hamas.

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