Category: Climate Cult

Another Day, Another Dire Climate Prediction

David Wallace-Wells has written a new piece of “Climate Disaster Porn” : UN Says Climate Genocide Is Coming. It’s Actually Worse Than That.

This isn’t the first time.

One of the comments to his newest piece is priceless:

I love the certainty with which the author makes these pronouncements. There “will” be a tipping point. Killer heat waves “will” kill millions. Rising seas “will” swallow cities. You guys have been making these scary predictions for 30 years, with zero results. Why should we believe you now?

“Um, because now we really, really, really–better add a couple more–really, really mean it. Don’t make us BREAK OUT THE ALL CAPS!”

Atmospheric CO2 is a minor, very minor, player in the overall climate. It’s modest effect as a greenhouse gas, a fraction of water vapor, diminishes rapidly with increasing concentration. The current 400 ppm provides a very, very slight increase in warming over the Pleistocene average of 280 ppm, which is extremely low by long-term averages anyway. Furthermore, the human contribution of CO2 is less than 5 percent of the total.

Yes, the climate was warmed by a degree or so over the last 150 years or so. So what? Be thankful. One hundred fifty years ago, the planet was still recovering from the effects of the Little Ice Age, the coldest period in about 10,000 years. Since that time we have rebounded to the Holocene average and a trifle extra. Big. Freaking. Deal.

The Sound Of Settled Science

CTV;

There are too many polar bears in parts of Nunavut and climate change hasn’t yet affected any of them, says a draft management plan from the territorial government that contradicts much of conventional scientific thinking.

 

The proposed plan — which is to go to public hearings in Iqaluit on Tuesday — says that growing bear numbers are increasingly jeopardizing public safety and it’s time Inuit knowledge drove management policy.

 

“Inuit believe there are now so many bears that public safety has become a major concern,” says the document, the result of four years of study and public consultation.

 

Blowout 253

An eclectic mix of energy and climate news stories from around the world compiled by Roger Andrews.

This week’s lead story features Cuadrilla’s attempts to frack the Bowland Shale in UK, where its operations are routinely halted by barely detectable microseisms – “a major threat to UK fracking”, as the Guardian puts it. We follow with our usual mix of stories: OPEC either to boost or cut production; record profits for BP; natural gas in the US, Argentina and Chile; coal in the US, Australia, Germany and Spain; nuclear in Japan and China; the IPCC’s anti-nuclear bias; Germany plans more wind & solar tenders; EVs as energy storage batteries; renewables and the UK budget: Scottish Power goes 100% wind; an energy-saving cooling system, solid fuel from sewage and what climate change will do to Glasgow.

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Y2Kyoto: Lies, Damned Lies and the IPCC

WUWT; (sorry, link fixed)

The definition of ‘climate’ adopted by the World Meteorological Organisation is the average of a particular weather parameter over 30 years. It was introduced at the 1934 Wiesbaden conference of the International Meteorological Organisation (WMO’s precursor) because data sets were only held to be reliable after 1900, so 1901 – 1930 was used as an initial basis for assessing climate. It has a certain arbitrariness, it could have been 25 years.

 

For its recent 1.5°C report the IPCC has changed the definition of climate to what has been loosely called “the climate we are in.” It still uses 30 years for its estimate of global warming and hence climate – but now it is the 30 years centred on the present.

 

There are some obvious problems with this hidden change of goalposts. We have observational temperature data for the past 15 years but, of course, none for the next 15 years. However, never let it be said that the absence of data is a problem for inventive climate scientists.

Blowout 251

An eclectic mix of energy and climate news stories from around the world compiled by Roger Andrews.

We are told that the cost of Li-ion storage batteries is decreasing. Not so with Tesla, which has just increased the price of its 13.5 kWh Powerwall unit plus supporting hardware from $US6,600 ($489/kWh) to $7,800 ($578/kWh). The $100/kWh “holy grail” price considered necessary to support mass deployment of battery storage is obviously still some way off. To follow we have our usual mix – the latest doings of OPEC; natural gas in California; coal in the US, Germany and Finland; nuclear in Japan, Ontario, India, Belgium and Germany; hydro and pot in Canada; 100% renewables in Puerto Rico and Scotland; the Ireland-Wales Greenlink; the UK backs off EVs; car bodies made from carbon fiber batteries and what climate change is going to do to beer.

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The Sound Of Settled Science

Independent Audit Exposes The Fraud In Global Warming Data

Anomalies it has identified include at St Kitts in the Caribbean, the average temperature for December 1981 was zero degrees, normally it’s 26C. For three months in 1978, one place in Colombia reported an 82 degrees Celsius average – hotter than the hottest day on Earth. Then in Romania, one September the average temperature was reported as minus 46°C, which has never happened. The data showed that supposedly ships would report ocean temperatures from places up to 100km inland. The paper also points out that the most serious flaws identified was the shortage of data. For the first two years, from 1850 onwards, the only land-based reporting station in the Southern Hemisphere was in Indonesia. Then there were ship observations at the time but Australian records had not started until 1855 in Melbourne, behind Auckland which started in 1853. This data appears to have been just made up.

More at WUWT.

Climate change – does anyone really care?

A review of recent public opinion polls reveals that the public, when asked only about climate change, will agree overall that it’s a serious problem that demands action. When asked to rank climate change against other concerns, however, it comes well down the list. The implication is that the public really isn’t worried about climate change. Certainly the high level of public support that would be needed to implement an aggressive and highly disruptive transition to low-carbon energy, such as that called for by the Paris Agreement, does not exist. The climate change lobby is in fact losing the public support battle.

Are people really concerned about climate change? What the polls tell us

Blowout 249

An eclectic mix of energy and climate news stories from around the world compiled by Roger Andrews:

This week’s feature story exposes the mess  Germany’s Energiewende has become, and in the follow-up story how it’s torpedoing Europe’s carbon emissions goals. Coming after we have the Trump-OPEC war of words; Saudi Arabia abandons its $200 billion solar project; Shell’s $12 billion Canadian LNG project; the world’s “coal binge”; Australia’s Liddell coal plant to close; the Belgian reactor shutdown; UK SMR companies ask for billions in government support; the EU to cut vehicle emissions, Denmark to ban petrol and diesel vehicles; power-to-gas energy storage in UK; wind turbines cause warming; Elon Musk defies the SEC and how California Gov. Jerry Brown will make the sun shine at night.

Blowout 249

Blowout 248

An eclectic mix of energy and climate news from around the world compiled by Roger Andrews.

In this week’s Blowout we feature China, where the central government’s edict to cancel over 100 planned coal plants is being ignored by local authorities who are continuing to build them anyway (the follow-up story shows satellite photos). Elsewhere in the world: Trump and OPEC go head-to-head; Nord Stream 2 and Germany; coal and hydro in the US; a last-minute reprieve for the Vogtle nuclear plant; possible blackouts in Belgium; the Puerto Rico grid; solar in France; Australia’s emissions increase; a “major” UK gas discovery; Corbyn to resurrect Swansea Bay tidal; US SEC sues Elon Musk for fraud; zinc-air batteries; Faraday exchangers and how global warming makes pigs thin and lethargic.

Blowout 248

Blowout 247

An eclectic mix of energy and climate news stories from around the world compiled by Roger Andrews.

Our lead story this week features Australia, where the federal government has declared victory in meeting its 2020 renewables goal and will fix no new emissions targets after then. The mix to follow includes another oil price tweet from Trump; record oil production from Russia; the US-China trade war; natural gas and the coal phase-out in Germany; the coal crisis in South Africa; France and India to build world’s largest (9.6GW) nuclear plant; US court upholds nuclear subsidies; Ontario to scrap its Green Energy Act; the EU wants more hydrogen; the British Gas “unlimited tariff” and Gov. Jerry Brown (aka Gov. Moonbeam) sends California into space.

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Earlier in the week, more madness from Jerry Brown:

California goes carbon negative

Californian Turkeys Vote for Christmas

The California legislature just passed Assembly Bill 100 (AB100), which according to the inset calls for “100% clean energy by 2045”. The brief review presented in this post shows that AB100, which targets electricity, not energy, will cut California’s greenhouse gas emissions by only about 16% even in the unlikely event its target is met. Its main impact will be to add to the regulatory overload from which California’s electricity providers already suffer. The fact that the bill was passed at all indicates that California legislators, as well as being unable to tell the difference between megawatts and megawatt-hours, are also unable to tell the difference between electricity and energy.

Assembly Bill 100 and a 100% renewable California

Blowout 245

An eclectic mix of energy and climate news stories from around the world compiled by Roger Andrews.

Featured in this week’s Blowout is the Paris Climate Agreement, where the big issue is no longer how to cut emissions but why the developing countries aren’t getting the $100 billion/year the developed countries promised to give them. Coming later we have global oil demand to hit 100 million bpd; oil & gas in the North Sea and Norway; the Russia-China gas pipeline; coal in North Carolina, South Africa, Poland, Queensland and the EU; Fukushima’s first radiation fatality; Austria appeals Hinkley Point verdict; melting glaciers and Swiss hydro; France names new energy minister; Alberta pulls out of Canada’s climate plan; Australia declares climate ‘single greatest’ security threat; EVs in the EU; solar companies consider leaving UK; Brexit to drive up energy bills and whether global warming caused Roger Federer to lose a tennis match.

Blowout 245

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