It’s Probably Nothing

Don’t go off half cocked. But given the wide gulf between the number of officially reported cases and the brutality of Chinese officials on the ground enforcing the quarantines, it does make you wonder.

Update. (corrected)


More at Zerohedge: As for the now utterly meaningless death rate, one only wonders what goalseek model China is using ot keep the death rate within +/- 0.1% of 2.1% for the past two weeks.

This is a grim feed.

23 Replies to “It’s Probably Nothing”

  1. I don’t recall hearing the mortality rate in any recent report. Have any people survived and if so how many, expressed as a percentage or an absolute number? Are they then immune or can the virus still be transmitted, and can it recur in that person?
    For all we know the mortality may be 100%.

      1. Not only that but even if we were to look at the official numbers (yes they are bullshit but that is besides the point) majority have neither died not recovered.

    1. This is the best write up on mortality calculation I have seen.
      https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/#correct
      This site has done a decent job of following the subset of confirmed reported cases.
      While cases in the West seem to fair better, let’s not forget what it may take to get these results and that we are in no way prepared for an epidemic.
      The real question is how tough the virus is in vitro.
      I wouldn’t be using public transportation any time in the near future.

  2. 250 million under quarantine, 1200 bodies/day cremated x 17 days = 20400 deaths.

    If this man’s information is correct, it would appear factory like cremation, making Auschwitz look like it was child’s play.

    This is not going to be a happy time, with one CDC doc figuring the epidemic peaks in about the next 60 days, given an incubation period of 14-20 days.

    You may want to include a lot of ordinary Chinese folks in the Wuhan in your prayers.

    “He is a light in the darkness for the upright:
    he is generous, merciful and just.
    The good man takes pity and lends,
    he conducts his affairs with honour.” Psalm 111

    Cheers

    Hans Rupprecht – Commander in Chief
    Army Group “True North”
    1st Saint Nicolaas Army

  3. If all this is true Chinese Canadians and Americans are coming back from Wuhan this could spell disaster for North America. I know Trump will do something but I also know that PM Trudeau is so slow and won’t do anything until it is to late!! God Bless Wuhan you are in our prayers.

  4. Miles Guo does not have a very high opinion of the CCP. I appreciate his comment to Americans; don’t send any charity to China as the CCP will see it never gets to the people who need it, they can’t admit that they need outside help. His cynical remark that the CCP would sacrifice 100 million citizens to the virus if it would help them stay in power is undoubtedly right on the money.
    We decadent Westerners can be pretty naive, can’t we.

    And always remember,the Government of China is the government our Prime Minister admires most in this world.

    As our PM says,”the main thing is to remain calm”, right up until you die.

    https://gnews.org/

  5. Woah cool it with the racism here. It’s not even as bad as the flu and talking about corona chan makes you a racist, sexist, bigot homophobe. Btw more people die from knife attacks than have died of tripping.

    1. Racism…? WTF are you yappin about.?
      CBC TROLL.

      “It’s not as bad as the flu”.

      That’s quite the statement – pulled outa yer (_i_) perhaps..? I on the other hand have no definitive “evidence” either, but I’m intelligent enough to understand that when 100-250 + Million folks are Quarantined and locked down into their domiciles while hundreds of Hazmat equipped Spraying teams & Rocket Booster type mass Lysol sprayers are used to literally drench a/any city, and a hospital that can handle 2000 persons is erected and operational in 12 days – then maybe, just maybe we’re not talking about a mild mid summer mosquito swarm here or the seasonal flu…hmm.??

      I would add that those who faces I have seen who have died over the past 3 weeks, it’s not just the old and infirm here who face the ultimate risk.

      How old was Dr Liang again..?? 36

  6. I dunno, something about admiring basic dictatorships, they can turn their economy around on a dime. How is that possible? By subjugating the citizens to the will of the State. The ugly truth is this entails forcibly transporting people to wherever the State wants them to be (Hello Auschwitz!) A public medical emergency is as good an opportunity to round up dissidents as any other. How admirable.

    1. “Decidedly?” You have no clue what you’re talking about. There isn’t enough sample outside of China for any decisive conclusions. There is less than 400 infections outside of China and two deaths by now, there are about 25 recoveries outside of China. All data from China is worthless garbage. The only time chicoms release true data is if by accident the true numbers suit them.

    2. Who is panicking?
      Everyday you show up like a mushroom – grown out of shit.
      Give us the facts straight from the Chicoms you know, love and trust.

    3. so twat, I haven’t heard from my chinese friend since late december, is she dead or did the Chinese shut down communications just to control information

    4. “..Infections outside of wuhan area are decidedly non deadly…

      LMAO…! I would suggest that for the remainder of the day you re-insert your head back right into your rectum.

      And pls seek help.

  7. And in Canada…??

    “Dont worry be happy, you RACIST BASTARDS”..!!
    ..is the official mantra, spewed by the presstitutes, the pMO and our fearless braindead Health Minister, she of Graphic Design fame.

    I get this virus mofo’s.?
    I’ma gonna come visit yaz…

  8. 2 deaths out of 400 outside of China is nothing. All Canadian cases are mild.

    Get a grip you idiots.

    1. Actually .5% death rate is definitely something. But, as you were explained above, majority of cases are neither dead nor recovered. About 30 have recovered outside of China, that gives 7% death rate. That is catastrophic. Regardless, both numbers are meaningless given the tiny samples. We will know more in upcoming weeks but the situation in China is escalating way out of control and there is no reason to assume this escalation is China specific.

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