2015 Federal Election Prediction Contest

Now open.
Predict the final party distribution of the 338 seats in Parliament up for grabs in next week’s federal election for a chance to win a free book from the SDA Free Book Library.
Contest closes on Tuesday at midnight. One entry per customer. Entries must be made in the comments (not email), earliest time stamp will determine winner in the event of a tie.
Polling data here, fwiw.

162 Replies to “2015 Federal Election Prediction Contest”

  1. CPC 134
    Lib 119
    NDP 80
    BQ 4
    GP 1
    I guess we will see if the Liberal pollsters (Nanos/Forum) are looking thru rose-coloured glasses, with their urban centric polling strategy, and if the silent majority turns up, the people who don’t answer 1-800 calls.
    Let’s hope for BC 2013 redux.

  2. I call 157 PC, 111 Dippers, 62 Libs, 6 Independents, 2 Greeners. But I’d prefer a lot more PC’s.

  3. Cpc 122
    Dauphin Party 128
    ndp 79
    Bq 9
    Gp 0
    Elizabeth May runs screaming through downtown ottawa, breaking windows.

  4. That would be nice, but Lizard has too many sisters here in Whacktoria, who are of the same, raging, SJW like mind. Think Cat ladies in sandals in January, driving Subarus and Prius’. That’s her demographic, and she will be in office until she is recycle material.

  5. CPC: 167
    Lib: 98
    NDP: 65
    Gre: 1
    BQ: 7
    The opposition won’t have enough seats without the Bloq to take down the Conservatives.

  6. The universe continues to unfold as it should…
    Liberals: 137
    NDP: 113
    Conservatives: 87
    Green: 1
    BQ: 0

    Le Dauphin(e) becomes Le Roi, enfin
    The elder Sun King has given his posterity an example of how to rule in a minority, (1972-74); give the NDP whatever they want, the only thing of importance is to retain power.
    “God has given us the prime ministry. Let us enjoy it.”

  7. Robert, Angry Tom looked positively ANGRY this morning from CTV’s live promotion from Maple Ridge BC.
    GONE, was his fake, forced, uncomfortable smile, he was back to his Angry, black, soulless eyes, fear and loathing, old self.
    Maybe he’s been read his last rights by Unifor, CUPE, PSAC, CUPW, etc…..

  8. CPC 147
    LPC 102
    NDP 66
    BQ 22
    GN 1
    PQ don’t like the Islamic body-bag stance of the LPC and NDP and will revert to their default screw you ROC party. And, we’ll be back at the polls within a year.

  9. “… the people who don’t answer 1-800 calls …”
    I’ve started answering those calls so when they tell me it will only take two or three minutes I can say, “Answering questions is fifty dollars for up to twenty minutes, how would you like to pay?”

  10. I’m afraid you’re probably right. It looks like the people of Ontario and Quebec are about to elect the coddled,self entitled petulant boy. I just hope that if it’s true it’s a minority.
    I’m still scratching my head as to what grave mistake Harper did to earn such ire.

  11. “I’m still scratching my head as to what grave mistake Harper did to earn such ire.”
    As near as I can tell, he’s not a c***sucker.

  12. Will the results be authentic now that the supreme court has destroyed the fair Canadian election process. It is now a third world corrupt process full of electoral fraud. Any citizen can now vote while covering their identity and not proving their identity whatsoever. That is fact, so Canada’s elections are fraudulent from now on as long as voters can hide their identity and not have to prove their identity.

  13. I don’t see Quebeckers voting for the Shiny Pony en masse. They remember his father and Cretien.

  14. Yes, the dippers want more government, the tories less government.
    The Liberals just want government, and all the handouts and sinecures for their cronies.

  15. why would ontario go liberal there on the conservatives side with the neqib that alone should make people vote conservative.

  16. CPC 168
    Lib 133
    NDP 36
    GP 1
    EKOS has phoned here so they are polling hard. If the commie vote collapses it helps commie lite.

  17. The fraud of the Morontariowe Liberals ought to turn them conservative. But it hasn’t. They don’t believe in a day of reckoning. Its a government reflecting its own supporters, massive debt, “just gotta have it”, and “its for the greater good” is all the defense they need for their bankrupt policies.

  18. Liberal minority with NDP holding balance of power.
    Unable to guess what seat numbers will actually shake out to.
    I sure hope I am wrong.

  19. His grave mistake is to run a very poor campaign. His campaign alone will lose him 10 seats. Why do the incumbents always drop the ball on the campaign trail?

  20. Since I have no information – and the polls are being used (check the relative weights accorded by the CBC) to push the liberals, I’m going to bet that the average Canadian voter can see how arrogant, rude, rich, condescending, and inexperienced and selfish Irudeau is.
    Hence I’m betting on a PC majority – something like:
    182 PC
    74 liberals
    69 NDP
    9 bloc
    2 greens
    1 other

  21. From Frankenstein polling; the “Hallo-weeney” progressives will be setting their hair on fire!
    Grab yer Niqab, and welcome to the “Shrieker’s Ball”
    Bobby Pickett “Monster Mash”
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNuVifA7DSU
    Con – 216
    Lib. – 75
    NDP – 47
    Gr. 0
    Cheers
    Hans Rupprecht, Commander in Chief
    1st Saint Nicolaas Army
    Army Group ‘True North’

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