Flapping on the Polls

CTV News, October 5:

The latest numbers released on Oct. 5 show the Liberals are at 35.6 per cent support nationally. The Conservatives are at 31.0 per cent support.

The Globe & Mail, October 5:

Polls by both Forum and Angus Reid showed the Conservatives leading by a reasonably healthy six-to-seven-percentage-point margin, with the NDP and Liberals tied for second.

Unidentified experts suggest that with the Liberals and the Conservatives both holding substantial leads over each other, it won’t be a tight race.

14 Replies to “Flapping on the Polls”

  1. Yeah, that CTV poll didnt make any sense when it came out, all of a sudden, Justy and his puppet masters jump 6%, for no apparent reason. Nanos, hmmmmmmmmé
    The 6% lead by the Conservatives (from the Mop and Pail no less) is starting to look a lot more consistent and damn hopeful that the idiots on the left will not get a chance to govern.

  2. Never underestimate the power of stupidity. Whether 35% or 31%, that’s a lot of stupid Canadians voting Liberal.

  3. I trust that Mr. Harper, whom I believe is still in the lead, will drop an ace at the last minute. He always does!

  4. i cannot believe polls are accurate anymore. Consider how few people have landlines, how many just hang up on the annoying calls or of the few who do answer, give flippant responses or flat out lie to deliberately skew the result from their actual intentions. (I favour the latter!)

  5. Tru-dog’s handlers must keep ample dry towels nearby to cleanup all that media hound drool that drips all over their show pooch. CTV correspondents and anchors seem to have the Pavlovian conditioning down pat – when Tru-dog howls, ruffs, yips, warbles or whines they rush over and salivate in uncontrollable gushes on cue. The mindless things media hounds do for their masters… Must be worth at least a Scooby snack or two.

  6. I pray that the lefty newsies claim that it is too close to call as we go into election day. That’s a trusted sign that they know their side is about to get their asses kicked.

  7. Time for some rich entertainment.
    Go forth and seek out polls, proclaim your cyber-love for the Hair Apparent or Angry Beard Fellow.
    For I am richly entertained by the Media Rats drooling and slavering as they buy their own BS.
    As Syd B says, I love it when the media tells us A) Nevermind those Polls, but trust our polls.
    B)It is too close to call.. But we called it endlessly when our favourite led these same polls.
    Two reasons
    Lazy conservatives will turn out to vote if they feel any doubt and the Presstitutes heads will explode even further when they realize(If they ever do) how much contempt their viewers have for them.

  8. Nick Nanos said yesterday on CTV that Trudeau is currently in the lead but that Harper’s numbers “have been strong and steady all along”. Translation: “Trudeau’s numbers might be an anomaly at this time”.
    The Conservatives are going to win a majority.
    More seats in Quebec. Same or more in Ontario. Alberta’s new leftzoids will split the left votes so the Conservatives will come up in the middle.
    Go Harper Go!

  9. Read it and weep progressivia; if Mainstreet polling is to believed, the ones who first called the NDP victory in AB:
    “Conservatives Lead as NDP Slips.”
    “The National stalemate that dominated the vast majority of this election campaign appears to be at an end,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “As the campaign enters the final two weeks, the Conservatives (37%) have opened up a substantial lead over the Liberals (29%). The Liberals have now also opened up a substantial lead over the NDP who have dropped to just 24% among decided and leaning voters.”
    “In recent weeks we have looked at some regions and Provinces and those results seemed to point to a significant decrease in support for the NDP and a rise for both the Conservatives and Liberals. When we look across the National picture, we find these regional gains have favoured the Conservatives.”
    http://www.cp24.com/news/federal-election-2015/conservatives-leading-nationally-while-ndp-losing-ground-poll-1.2596925
    This is with BC still relatively close. The polls are coalescing in favour of Harper, with Nanos the outlier, as they did in 2011. Even then the pollsters underestimated the Tory vote substantially. Now we have TPP with Harper vrs the “we’ll need time to get up to speed” gang. Add to that a blitz of ads by the Tories in the next two weeks showing the opposition as out of touch with reality, hopelessly divided and unfit for government.
    Then again perhaps Master Trudeau wax eloquently and inaccurately at the same time, that’ll make him look prime-ministerial:
    “Trudeau’s economic claims just not truthful:”
    “Median income for families in Canada increased to $76,550 in 2014 from $68,410 in 2010. That’s an annual average increase of 2.8%, well above Canada’s inflation rate of 1.8% during that period. Average weekly wages also grew 2.3% on average from 2010 to 2014. The relative wealth of the middle class is also on the rise. The median net worth of the middle class — total assets minus debts — increased 45.2% from 2005 to 2012. That’s ahead of the top 20% of wealthy Canadians whose net worth increased by 40.6% during that period, according to Statistics Canada.”
    Trudeau also claims that under Harper, Canada is shedding jobs, which is not true. The number of jobs in Canada grew to 17.8 million in 2014 from 16.96 million in 2010. That’s not a decrease, it’s an increase of some 840,000 jobs. And most of the job creation has been full-time. Those aren’t opinions. Those are facts laid out by Statistics Canada.”
    Is that what happens when one does economics from the heart rather than the brain?
    http://www.winnipegsun.com/2015/10/05/trudeaus-economic-claims-just-not-truthful

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