The economist David Miles, who sits on the monetary policy committee of the Bank of England, may exaggerate when he forecasts financial crises every seven years, but most of the problems that caused the 2008 crisis — excessive borrowing, shadow banking and reckless lending — have not gone away. Too-big-to-fail banks have not shrunk; they’ve grown bigger. Huge bonuses that encourage reckless risk-taking by bankers remain the norm. Meanwhile, shadow banking — investment and lending services by financial institutions that act like banks, but with less supervision — has expanded in value to $71 trillion, from $59 trillion in 2008.
What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
“I don’t want to really scare you,” he said, after half a chuckle. “But it was alarming how many people I talked to who are highly placed people in AI who have retreats that are sort of ‘bug out’ houses” to which they could flee if it all hits the fan.
It’s Probably Nothing
Someone’s Been Siphoning Data Through a Huge Security Hole in the Internet
It’s Probably Nothing
Paul A. Rahe – Chinese Aggressiveness in Asia
In and for a long time after the time of Deng Xiaoping, the Chinese talked softly while carrying a big stick. Deng and his immediate successors understood that the rise of China would elicit anxiety on the part of the Japanese, the Koreans, the Vietnamese, the Taiwanese, and the Filipinos, and they did what they could to allay that anxiety by refraining from doing anything that would suggest on their part aggressive intent.
In the last couple of years, however, all of that has changed; and everywhere where one goes in Asia, an old friend who travels in high circles told me earlier this week, one senses hostility — not towards the United States but towards one’s neighbors. The anger underlying all of this has been stirred by the Chinese, who have been throwing their weight around with ever greater force.
This weekend the Chinese upped the ante. In the South China Sea, between Korea and Taiwan, there are some uninhabited islands, which are called the Senkaku isles by the Japanese and the Diayu isles by the Chinese. Although there are other claimants, these have been controlled for many decades by the Japanese. This weekend, however, China extended its air-defence zone to include the islands…
More: China’s new air defense zone above Senkakus ‘very dangerous’ escalation
Via
This Day In History
Washington Post: “It’s probably nothing”.
Peak Pill
A high-ranking official with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has declared in an interview with PBS that the age of antibiotics has come to an end.
‘For a long time, there have been newspaper stories and covers of magazines that talked about “The end of antibiotics, question mark?”‘ said Dr Arjun Srinivasan. ‘Well, now I would say you can change the title to “The end of antibiotics, period.”‘
I say close the FDA and see what happens.
It’s Probably Nothing
“…the IMF recommends confiscating private wealth in an effort to protect the Status Quo in Government”.
It’s Probably Nothing
For whatever reason, JPM has decided that after November 17, 2013, it will halt the use of international wire transfers (saying it would “cancel any international wire transfers, including recurring ones”), but more importantly, limits the cash activity in associated business accounts to only $50,000 per statement cycle. “Cash activity is the combined total of cash deposits made at branches, night drops and ATMs and cash withdrawals made at branches and ATMs.”
h/t Ed S.
“When the President does it, that means that it is not illegal”
Top Internal Revenue Service Obamacare official Sarah Hall Ingram discussed confidential taxpayer information with senior Obama White House officials, according to 2012 emails obtained by the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee and provided to The Daily Caller.
Lois Lerner, then head of the IRS Tax Exempt Organizations division, also received an email alongside White House officials that contained confidential information.
Furlough over for for most of Pentagon
Is it just me, or is it somewhat ominous that the people reponsible for organizing war are going back to work?
It’s Probably Nothing
Poland Confiscates Half Of Private Pension Funds To “Cut” Sovereign Debt Load.
What We Really Need Is Democracy
Independent: Libya has plunged unnoticed into its worst political and economic crisis since the defeat of Gaddafi
A little under two years ago, Philip Hammond, the Defence Secretary, urged British businessmen to begin “packing their suitcases” and to fly to Libya to share in the reconstruction of the country and exploit an anticipated boom in natural resources.
Yet now Libya has almost entirely stopped producing oil as the government loses control of much of the country to militia fighters.
Mutinying security men have taken over oil ports on the Mediterranean and are seeking to sell crude oil on the black market. Ali Zeidan, Libya’s Prime Minister, has threatened to “bomb from the air and the sea” any oil tanker trying to pick up the illicit oil from the oil terminal guards, who are mostly former rebels who overthrew Muammar Gaddafi and have been on strike over low pay and alleged government corruption since July.
“Unnoticed”. Well, that’s one word for it.
It’s Probably Nothing
BREAKING. @CBSNews has learned that the Pentagon is making the initial preparations for a Cruise missile attack on Syrian government forces
— Charlie Kaye (@CharlieKayeCBS) August 23, 2013
Russia may reinforce naval grouping in Mediterranean in response to U.S. buildup – expert http://t.co/gtOai0LqqU #Russia #interfax #news
— Interfax News (IFAX) (@IFAXnews) August 24, 2013
More from Ezra Levant: Obama’s Middle East meltdown
The Decline And Fall Of The American Empire
Not exactly news, but worth repeating;
Hamilton believes the government is miscalculating what it owes by leaving out certain unfunded liabilities that include government loan guarantees, deposit insurance, and actions taken by the Federal Reserve as well as the cost of other government trust funds. Factoring in those figures brings the total amount the government owes to a staggering $70 trillion, he says.
[…]
“The biggest off-balance-sheet liabilities come from recognition of the fiscal stress that will come in the form of an aging population and rising medical expenditures,” Hamilton says, adding, “It is worth noting that there are many historical episodes in which off-balance sheet liabilities ended up having quite significant on-balance sheet implications.”
h/t peterj
Quote Of The Century
“Remind me again, who thought it was a good idea to make critical infrastructure accessible via the internet?
It’s Probably Nothing
The earth barely missed taking a massive solar punch in the teeth two weeks ago, an “electromagnetic pulse” so big that it could have knocked out power, cars and iPhones throughout the United States.
Two EMP experts told Secrets that the EMP flashed through earth’s typical orbit around the sun about two weeks before the planet got there.[…]
“There had been a near miss about two weeks ago, a Carrington-class coronal mass ejection crossed the orbit of the Earth and basically just missed us,” said Peter Vincent Pry, who served on the Congressional EMP Threat Commission from 2001-2008. He was referring to the 1859 EMP named after astronomer Richard Carrington that melted telegraph lines in Europe and North America.
More background here.
Update: As expected, lots of discussion in the comments. Go read ’em.
What We Really Need Is Democracy (Bumped)
NBC: Supporters of Egyptian president say military coup is underway
Tomorrow's headline: U.S. Funded Egyptian Military Overthrows U.S. Supported Egyptian Government.
— Sarcastic Jefferson (@SarcasticTJ) July 3, 2013
Live cam at Tahrir Square.
Things you’ll never see on the CBC…

Update:
Breaking: (AP) — Egypt's military chief says president is replaced by chief justice of constitutional court.
— Special Report Team (@SpecialReport) July 3, 2013
Islamophobia: Islamists freaking out
It’s Probably Nothing
It’s Probably Nothing
While we still don’t have the answer, what we do know is that as of an hour ago when the Comex released its daily vault depository statistics, JPM has said goodbye to another 28.4% of all of its vaulted gold – the largest one day withdrawal since April 25, the result of the departure of 61.5% of its Eligible gold, or 218k troy oz, as hundreds of thousands of registered ounces in the bast few weeks have seen warrant detachment.
h/t Adrian
It’s Probably Nothing
Putin offers to put Russian troops on the Golan Heights to serve as UN peacekeepers.
(h/t Mike K)

