I ran across this handy Covid mortality risk calculator developed by the folks at Johns Hopkins. It only takes a few minutes to fill out, but it requires a zip code. I used Grand Forks, ND 58201 since that’s only about 100 miles away from me.
What follows is my risk assessment. Looks pretty low:
Further, based on the information available from pandemic projections in your state of residence, the tool estimates an absolute rate of mortality of 1.3 (95% CI: 0.5 – 3.3 ) per 100000 individuals in subgroups of the population with a similar risk profile to yours during the period of 05/15/2021 – 06/04/2021.
I got the same risk assessment — mortality risk of 1.3/100,000 population.
That’s an absolute percentage of 0.0013%.
Fear is the mind-killer.
Same here.
Run for your life, we’re doomed, doomed, I tells ya, etc…
A different type of risk…
Having everyone 6 feet apart in an airport and still jamming everyone tightly on a plane.
Shows what a joke this Pandemic is as our ‘Health Officials’ keep us locked down.
As these flights keep flowing freely.
It’s still fear porn, and just because it gives most people a bit of truth, doesn’t mean it can’t be used to tune certain demographics, age groups, etc, unless us users have access to the source code, and the databases it refers to, which could change anytime with the drop of a dollar, etc. Trust no-one and nothing, use your own judgment and research to come to your own data, and publish it! ie use your brain!
Here’s a bit of data I figured out:
If we used 50% of all energy produced by humanity, and starved everybody half to death, we could put about 10 000 aircraft carriers worth of mass on the moon in a couple decades, at best.
Who wants my raw data, which is available everywhere?
Ya start with world energy production, then you look at electricity production, then look at steel and aluminium production, etc. Pretty much any man can do his own analysis of whatever he likes, and come up with numbers. When that man tells you where he got his numbers, and what he did with them, then you can trust him to not be lying, but ya still can’t trust the numbers more than their weakest link. When a man doesn’t tell you exactly where he got his numbers, and doesn’t tell you, in detail, the methodology he used to crunch them and come to conclusions, its safe to assume he’s a liar.
New rules Monday. Gutless Canadians will be told Covid is now in a death cloud 3 ft above the ground and you all must crawl and slither like snakes. With 4 masks and a depends on your face.
As a sociopath, I’m still trying to find a way to get people to wear a feather-duster shoved up their behinds. I used to think it was impossible, but recent events have given me faith that my idea can be implemeted..
Have seen the odd headline of a fourth wave, there is hope yet for your idea.
I am still waiting for the first wave.
I’m waiting for the government to tell us we all need to take a dump at the end of our driveways so the government can collect samples to test for COVID. Then we’ll see who the real arseholes are.
Risk tested at 1.3 (95% CI: 0.5 – 3.4 ) per 10000. I’m shaking in my boots.
Minimizing the risk of Wuhan flu is laughably simple. Stay away from “communities” whose members don’t wash their hands.
That’s why your betters are moving to the cottage permanently, now that they are satisfied that they need never show up in person for “work” ever again.
Goodbye gentrification, welcome back white flight. And this time the working stiffs can’t follow them out of town.
Another item on a long list of things for which Wuhan flu was the only acceptable excuse among people whose livelihoods required them to pretend to love the wretched of the earth.
Wretchedness is now the stock-in-trade of the MSM. They’ve always been liars, but peddling wretchedness is a new low. Heck, most people nowadays never had the self-esteem required in the first place to truly know wretchedness. They have made it into a science.
Too true on cleanliness. Most people aren’t near as clean as they think themselves to be.
Re: working from home. A frequent commentator on this blog recently mused about employers realizing that they can hire their employees from overseas more cheaply than local. India has more geniuses born every year than Canada has babies.
Someone working from home can probably manage to work two full-time jobs from home without too much difficulty.
My risk is very low as well. This comes as no surprise. From day one, I’ve seen this as political and theatrical.
I posted this at the end of Ivermectin thread.
The link included explains why there’s a shortage of oxygen in India how the elites are hardest hit by the second wave.
http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2021/05/21/wuhan-flu-ivermectin/#comment-1447818
Missing ‘and’
If I could fix it I would make sure to leave space between ‘India’ and and and and and ‘how’.
5 ands in a sentence.
Oddly enough, mine comes in at 1.3 as well despite the fact that I’m 60, I’m overweight. and I’m a smoker. So I tried putting in that I was 28, skinny and a non-smoker with the same zip code – it came up 4.2. I’d have to guess it’s a random number generator.
I tried black, with diabetes, 90210, and got a much higher number
Try it again. At age 60 it’s 1.3 per 100,000, at age 28 it’s 4.2 per 1,000,000.
My risk assessment was 1.5 … and that’s with two elevated risk factors. Thing is … nobody has died in my zip code that wasn’t in a nursing home … or dreadfully ill.
Kenji, I wonder did they do a risk assessment on dying from stupidity?
I got 1.1 and used small town Montana (Shelby), ex smoker, 53 years
At least 160177820 people or 48% of the US population have one dose of vaccine.
VAERS found 4201 cases where vaccine is COVID19 and patient died
160177820:4201=38137
Am I missing something or is the vaccine deadlier than the virus?
Looks like it.
I got closer to or average risk, I’m 55 a bit overweight, smoke and have heart disease.
And used a zipcode from next door over in Michigan.
Yet they approved kids 12 to 15 for an experimental “vaccination”. Something stinks to high heaven
I got the same (using Ogdensburg, NY, 13669). I’m older, but under 65, overweight, and a smoker. But no diseases – no diabetes, importantly.
Kinda makes you think about the health of the people who are already high-risk. Must be pretty bad.
Obesity, not merely carrying some extra weight, may be the true pandemic in the USA.
Developed by Johns Hopkins, huh? Brave thinks this is a high-risk website.
Are you sure you know who you are sharing your private information with?
Tried male, 18 years old, non smoker, 5’10”, 175 lbs, no health issues.
“Based on the information you have provided, the tool estimates that you have 0.02 (95% CI: 0.02 – 0.02”
My score :
Based on the information you have provided, the tool estimates that you have 0.19 (95% CI: 0.18 – 0.21 ) times the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to the average risk for the US population.
I used the 12901 ZIP from Plattsburg since it’s closest to Québec.
Why have our own scientific researchers not come up with such a tool?