Take a person who is confident in something they know nothing about. We all know them.
18 Replies to “Degrees Of Confidence”
Can anyone tell me what has happened to ‘Bloggingtories’?
Maybe ask Stephen Taylor.
I wonder what degree of confidence Morgan Housel thinks he is at on the drivel he just wrote.
I know what I know … and what I dont know, I tend to shut up about it and let someone else BS me … but of course, All too often they are just “weapons grade stupid”…. and then I tell them..”wow, is that right”..??
“Kewl” and wander off to a different conversation. LOL.
Eg: had a neighbour who swore he played junior hockey with Gretzky, Played St Andrews – scored a 76 & watched Valerie Kharlamov play Hockey 15 yrs after he was killed in a car crash among other stupid rediculous assertations. uhuh… one day just had to tell him to STF already – Enough..!!
After 66 yrs on this earth, My BS antennae are finely tuned instruments, much like those who post here 97% thereof: Unthing – Colonoscopy – eh Cdn notwithstanding….
Take my brother. Please.
Haven’t had a decent convo with him since he went totally Never Trump (all the time, every topic).
Knows everything about everything, etc.
When I try to move the discussion to easier topics, like say our family health, he says that he got a clean checkup on his prostrate gland.
Every time.
Prostrate. ProstRate.
I’d love to just hand him a dictionary with prostate highlighted, and I don’t hate him so much I can’t show up when he’s on his deathbed and say “so, at least you’re dying with a healthy prostrate…”.
But, damn, I’m tempted.
And I’ve told my boss that if she gives me any more stuff to learn, I’ll go from Subject Matter Expertise, to Subject Matter Adequacy, to Subject Matter Mediocrity…
I study my navel,until I have no navel.
I is therefore I was.
So do the levels recycle?
Or does it glitch out at 42?
I guess this idea has little room for a BS detector,this is why we develop this useful little tool.
Expertise is completely unnecessary if the subject is a delusion.
I cannot see the Emperors new clothes,anymore than I can see the Unicorns.
I do not need a degree in physics to recognize a perpetual motion machine.
A scam remains a scam,no matter how you dress it up.
And a thief remains a thief,regardless of what “title” they hold.
I cannot understand “The Science” of Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming.
Because it has never been provided.
So many learned opinions on this “The Science”, but none of these opinionated authoritarians can provide it.
Instead,they play at misdirection,abuse and bullying.
“We defer to the findings of the IPCC, except further inquiry reveals,they have not read the IPCC Reports.
I have read 3 of these damn reports and they are not supported by the summaries they provide as evidence.
Summaries not data.
Data is not available as part of the policy document…
Hence policy based evidence manufacturing.
I now believe our professional parasites have declared war.
On their Host.
“I now believe our professional parasites have declared war.
On their host.”
Perfect!
“I now believe our professional parasites have declared war.
On their Host.”
Exactly! That sums up the prevailing societal Progressive (Marxist) Nihilist anti human attitude of the Deep States that currently have power in most of the western countries, and are using BS in the form of so-called Climate Change to scare the bejeebers out of the people and have their way with them.
I think we have a prime minister who exhibits such false confidence. Proximity to someone with actual experience does not necessarily translate into one’s own expertise.
I know a leftard who believe’s that since his meteorologist friend believes in MMGW, it MUST be true. He can’t understand that his friend’s opinion on global warming is only an opinion and no more valid than anyone else trained in a different field. He is a fine example of someone so far down the leftist rabbit-hole of propaganda that he doesn’t need convincing… he needs deprogramming.
I must note, however, that the fields of meteorology and climatology are uncannily similar in the fact that BOTH of them have now become comedy folklore for their inabilities to accurately predict the future.
Ecclesiastes 12:12-14 KJV
(12) And further, by these, my son, be admonished: of making many books there is no end; and much study is a weariness of the flesh.
(13) Let us hear the conclusion of the whole matter: Fear God, and keep his commandments: for this is the whole duty of man.
(14) For God shall bring every work into judgment, with every secret thing, whether it be good, or whether it be evil.
The more you learn the more you realize, how much you still have to learn.
“Better to be a Warrior in a garden, than a gardener in a war.” Sun Tzu.
Exactly. I was about to write that the more I learn, the more I realize that I have a lot to learn about almost everything.
We all know “know it alls”.
What I find bothersome Ken is that I am losing more knowledge everyday than most seem to be gaining. It is very disturbing.
The more you learn the more you realize, how much you still have to learn.
Nebo was the Babylonian god of education. Babylon meaning confusion.
2 Timothy 3:1-7 KJV
(1) This know also, that in the last days perilous times shall come.
(2) For men shall be lovers of their own selves, covetous, boasters, proud, blasphemers, disobedient to parents, unthankful, unholy,
(3) Without natural affection, trucebreakers, false accusers, incontinent, fierce, despisers of those that are good,
(4) Traitors, heady, highminded, lovers of pleasures more than lovers of God;
(5) Having a form of godliness, but denying the power thereof: from such turn away.
(6) For of this sort are they which creep into houses, and lead captive silly women laden with sins, led away with divers lusts,
(7) Ever learning, and never able to come to the knowledge of the truth.
So where would turdo la doo fit in?
Too stupid and arrogant to realize that he is just stupid and arrogant.
Tis is why I have always mocked and jeered jackass opinion column writers and so called experts on “news” shows. These dipshits offer their ignorant opinions on everything under the sun. There is no way these clowns can have such a deep and wide span of knowledge. They are charlatans, confidence artists and bullshitters. But mostly they are outright liars who are so full of themselves they are farting through their mouths.
That’s an awful lot of words to say ‘Dunning-Kruger Effect’.
Can anyone tell me what has happened to ‘Bloggingtories’?
Maybe ask Stephen Taylor.
I wonder what degree of confidence Morgan Housel thinks he is at on the drivel he just wrote.
I know what I know … and what I dont know, I tend to shut up about it and let someone else BS me … but of course, All too often they are just “weapons grade stupid”…. and then I tell them..”wow, is that right”..??
“Kewl” and wander off to a different conversation. LOL.
Eg: had a neighbour who swore he played junior hockey with Gretzky, Played St Andrews – scored a 76 & watched Valerie Kharlamov play Hockey 15 yrs after he was killed in a car crash among other stupid rediculous assertations. uhuh… one day just had to tell him to STF already – Enough..!!
After 66 yrs on this earth, My BS antennae are finely tuned instruments, much like those who post here 97% thereof: Unthing – Colonoscopy – eh Cdn notwithstanding….
Take my brother. Please.
Haven’t had a decent convo with him since he went totally Never Trump (all the time, every topic).
Knows everything about everything, etc.
When I try to move the discussion to easier topics, like say our family health, he says that he got a clean checkup on his prostrate gland.
Every time.
Prostrate. ProstRate.
I’d love to just hand him a dictionary with prostate highlighted, and I don’t hate him so much I can’t show up when he’s on his deathbed and say “so, at least you’re dying with a healthy prostrate…”.
But, damn, I’m tempted.
And I’ve told my boss that if she gives me any more stuff to learn, I’ll go from Subject Matter Expertise, to Subject Matter Adequacy, to Subject Matter Mediocrity…
I study my navel,until I have no navel.
I is therefore I was.
So do the levels recycle?
Or does it glitch out at 42?
I guess this idea has little room for a BS detector,this is why we develop this useful little tool.
Expertise is completely unnecessary if the subject is a delusion.
I cannot see the Emperors new clothes,anymore than I can see the Unicorns.
I do not need a degree in physics to recognize a perpetual motion machine.
A scam remains a scam,no matter how you dress it up.
And a thief remains a thief,regardless of what “title” they hold.
I cannot understand “The Science” of Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming.
Because it has never been provided.
So many learned opinions on this “The Science”, but none of these opinionated authoritarians can provide it.
Instead,they play at misdirection,abuse and bullying.
“We defer to the findings of the IPCC, except further inquiry reveals,they have not read the IPCC Reports.
I have read 3 of these damn reports and they are not supported by the summaries they provide as evidence.
Summaries not data.
Data is not available as part of the policy document…
Hence policy based evidence manufacturing.
I now believe our professional parasites have declared war.
On their Host.
“I now believe our professional parasites have declared war.
On their host.”
Perfect!
“I now believe our professional parasites have declared war.
On their Host.”
Exactly! That sums up the prevailing societal Progressive (Marxist) Nihilist anti human attitude of the Deep States that currently have power in most of the western countries, and are using BS in the form of so-called Climate Change to scare the bejeebers out of the people and have their way with them.
I think we have a prime minister who exhibits such false confidence. Proximity to someone with actual experience does not necessarily translate into one’s own expertise.
I know a leftard who believe’s that since his meteorologist friend believes in MMGW, it MUST be true. He can’t understand that his friend’s opinion on global warming is only an opinion and no more valid than anyone else trained in a different field. He is a fine example of someone so far down the leftist rabbit-hole of propaganda that he doesn’t need convincing… he needs deprogramming.
I must note, however, that the fields of meteorology and climatology are uncannily similar in the fact that BOTH of them have now become comedy folklore for their inabilities to accurately predict the future.
Ecclesiastes 12:12-14 KJV
(12) And further, by these, my son, be admonished: of making many books there is no end; and much study is a weariness of the flesh.
(13) Let us hear the conclusion of the whole matter: Fear God, and keep his commandments: for this is the whole duty of man.
(14) For God shall bring every work into judgment, with every secret thing, whether it be good, or whether it be evil.
The more you learn the more you realize, how much you still have to learn.
“Better to be a Warrior in a garden, than a gardener in a war.” Sun Tzu.
Exactly. I was about to write that the more I learn, the more I realize that I have a lot to learn about almost everything.
We all know “know it alls”.
What I find bothersome Ken is that I am losing more knowledge everyday than most seem to be gaining. It is very disturbing.
The more you learn the more you realize, how much you still have to learn.
Nebo was the Babylonian god of education. Babylon meaning confusion.
2 Timothy 3:1-7 KJV
(1) This know also, that in the last days perilous times shall come.
(2) For men shall be lovers of their own selves, covetous, boasters, proud, blasphemers, disobedient to parents, unthankful, unholy,
(3) Without natural affection, trucebreakers, false accusers, incontinent, fierce, despisers of those that are good,
(4) Traitors, heady, highminded, lovers of pleasures more than lovers of God;
(5) Having a form of godliness, but denying the power thereof: from such turn away.
(6) For of this sort are they which creep into houses, and lead captive silly women laden with sins, led away with divers lusts,
(7) Ever learning, and never able to come to the knowledge of the truth.
So where would turdo la doo fit in?
Too stupid and arrogant to realize that he is just stupid and arrogant.
Tis is why I have always mocked and jeered jackass opinion column writers and so called experts on “news” shows. These dipshits offer their ignorant opinions on everything under the sun. There is no way these clowns can have such a deep and wide span of knowledge. They are charlatans, confidence artists and bullshitters. But mostly they are outright liars who are so full of themselves they are farting through their mouths.
That’s an awful lot of words to say ‘Dunning-Kruger Effect’.