US Mid-Term Prediction Contest

All 435 seats are being contested in the House, while 35 in the Senate are up for grabs. Current seat distribution:

House (435)
235 Republican
193 Democrat
7 vacant

Senate (35)
24* Democrat
9* Republican
2 Independent

(*corrected, sorry!)

Your mission, should you choose to accept it, is to predict the outcome in both.

To make my job easier, please copy the structure provided above and edit accordingly, ensuring your numbers add up to 435 and 35 respectively.

Tie breaker: Predict the outcome of Menendez[D] vs Hugin[R] in New Jersey.

Winner (or winners) will receive their choice of a book from the SDA Free Book Library.

Related: Mid-term watch list.

Reference: Table of state, territorial, and federal results (Wikipedia)

No chatter on this thread, please. I’ll open a results watch thread later in the day.

69 Replies to “US Mid-Term Prediction Contest”

  1. At what point do elections simply become illegitimate, and you need to invoke an armed struggle to influence your political fortunes?

  2. Democrats 235 Republicans 200 = 435 in House
    Democrats 20 Republicans 15

    So the Democrats sweep both houses.

  3. House: 235 Democrat 200 Republican
    Senate: 23 Democrat 12 Republican

    So the Democrats win both houses.

  4. I reckon if the repubs pick up 3 senate seats they will pick up most of the congresspeoplekinds with those.
    North Dakota + 1 (independent stays)
    Missouri +2
    Indiana +2

    Therefore my answer is
    Senate
    Dem 21
    Rep 12
    Ind 2
    House
    Vacant 4 -> dems 3 -> reps
    Totals
    Reps 241
    Dems 194

  5. House (435)
    245 Republican
    190 Democrat

    Senate (35)
    20 Democrat
    14 Republican
    1 Independent

  6. House (435)
    221 Republican
    214 Democrat

    Senate (35)
    19 Democrat
    15 Republican
    1 Independent

  7. House (435)
    240 Republican
    195 Democrat

    Senate (35)
    17* Democrat
    16* Republican
    2 Independent

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