#probablynothing

14 Replies to “#probablynothing”

1. But it’s going to be worth $40 Billion dollars!

2. 500 shares? In a company that has 500 million shares outstanding? That sort of transaction happens about every tenth of a second in a 35 billion dollar company. The article wasn’t clear as to why this guy’s 500 shares mattered….
   Wait – 35 billion dollar market cap? For Twitter? I didn’t even know they had revenue, let alone a net present value of $35B of profit waiting in the wings. These finance guys – their ways are so much higher than my ways….

3. This about as newsworthy as Joe Schmuck selling out his position of 5 shares of Apple.

4. I think Kate’s point is made in the article. Twitter is unprofitable yet has seen a 182% rise in it’s valuation since the November IPO. When a retail investor like Rueben Kressel recognises the over valuation and sees the market reaction to one negative analyst report stay tuned for the big drop.

5. Why would anybody important want to touch Twitter anyway.. A ocean of nobodies encouraging you to self destruct.. Every ace hole from every special interests group known to man ready to pounce.. Yourbad#Acehole..
   Its all fun for about 5 seconds and then they are offended..
   Letstalk#Inperson..
   So twitter is doomed to be groomed by personal assistants and publicists.. About as much fun as a teen magazine.. If that sort of fluff is your thing then invest, if not then quietly sell..

6. I couldn’t care less why a stock is rising. You have to follow the price action. That being said, the trend is your friend, until it whips out a shank and stabs you 24 times in the chest out in the exercise yard.

7. What was twitter’s revenue last year? $0.00? How is it that the website is worth anything?

8. Cancelled your Twitter account yet, Kate?

9. There is far more to Twitter than the mash of stuff from the collective lowest common denominators. Twitter is an exceptional alerting system for serious users, once you get beyond the phone freaks consuming bandwidth everywhere (but making a few people obscenely rich). Twitter is the most effective publicly accessible utility available for delivering heads-up type messaging to key users. An acquaintance runs a severe weather alerting system in real time processing radar data for tornadic and severe storm indicators. The system is automated – when his computer system fires an alert. in addition to a subscriber email burst, it also delivers a twitter post for instant receipt by followers, as well as to Facebook (unreliable) and to an RSS feed. Twitter is the fastest by far – providing a succinct message and an embedded link for more detail. Quite a number of EMO operators have adopted similar methodologies. Simply, it is highly efficient, and it works. Making Twitter profitable is where it gets problematic all of these “social networks” have only three ways to make money – paid subscription, which nobody wants to do, “click” marketing, which depends on a very high volume of very low valued “tokens”, and identity theft, er, “data mining”, which is Google’s declared business model. The gold is in the later when tied to click marketing. That model, while highly marketable, is also regarded as highly suspicious by most people. Twitter doesn’t have the physical capacity within the delivered content to click market, so its looking at “promoted tweets”, but they are highly annoying an run up against phone company’d bandwidth capacity, which ultimately means caps and ees for texting .

10. The problem isn’t no revenue, it’s even worse than that. There is no way it could ever make money. It’s api is completely open and there is no way to force ads to clients. The fact that the money changers have pushed this pile of crap to such heights is astonishing.

11. ubb, that’d be “caps and fees” and a variety of other early morning typos…

12. Actually, there is – the “promoted tweet” – question will be, like spam, what will be the tolerance level. Some of the answer is market conditioning. High volume traffic, low cost market token – something the big banks pioneered in their computerized banking for a fee service. Pennies a day, times billions and trillions of transactions. The problem for many of these startups, is that they are a morality play for their innovators, initially. Once ethics gets pushed aside, like Google did, they can be a huge cash cow.

13. I think all of you have missed the real irony. It is delicious that a company whose only product is essentially an on-line gossip mill, may see its share valuation nosedive because of gossip spread in that mill. Twitter spreads the seeds of its own destruction.

14. I think you’ll find the “promoted tweet” thing is easily filtered out. Try doing that with google ad words.