33 Replies to “Bracing For Dynastic Change”

  1. This is actually a strange statistic. There shouldn’t normally be such a disparate ratio between the genders – even if the state is limiting families to one child.
    I know of one individual in China, who has been married three times; each time – one child. Each time, a girl. He wants a son. I figure the Hellenic gods are laughing at him.
    As for the comments on the original link – they are coffee-shop opinions. One comment suggested that China would move into fascism, claiming that fascism was ‘halfway’ between socialism and capitalism. No, it’s not and China won’t move into fascism. It will become more capitalist and it will ease up on the one-child per family (no choice)..or…hmmm…will it encourage migration or immigration? Unreal.

  2. 30 Million is less than 2% of China’s Population. The rest of the world has as many more females than males.
    When Australia was part penal colony and Canada was a frontier there were 3 or 4 males for every women.
    Nature has a way of working such things out.
    Sounds like more scaremongering to me.

  3. Kinnda like Edmonton. 43% Female-57% Male.
    A place where even the fat girls are snobs, or think all men nothing but mentaly challenged animals. Who need to be trained.
    Good for nothing, but sperm dontations with the odd wallet thrown in , depending on the flavor of the months bank account. (O:}
    Seriously. It will mean a war for brides.All though it will not be advertised as such. Laugh if you want, but the rape of the Sabine Women by Rome leed to individual rights for Women in the Roman future Empire.

  4. I think there is a solution in the making. Russia is facing a crisis as its men are dying off at a much faster rate than its women. Russia has all the resources China needs, including women!
    Err, A Sino-Russian “merger” so to speak.

  5. ET – “This is actually a strange statistic. There shouldn’t normally be such a disparate ratio between the genders – even if the state is limiting families to one child.”
    Yes, but you’re forgetting the law of unintended consequences; mandating “one child per family” instantly make sex-selection abortions a booming business in China, with most prospective parents choosing a boy over a girl. THAT’S the mechanism at work here.

  6. that China/Russian merger is likely to take the form of WW 5 (or will it be 6 by then?)
    While I know a lot of us joke about the fact that men left to themselves would still be living in caves, do we really believe that large numbers of single men are going to be a problem? The ratio of men to women in some of the most crime ridden sections of America or Europe is not distorted like this. Why aren’t all those women keeping the men in line?
    I find the idea that anyone of either gender needs to be married to be a contributing member of society insulting.

  7. Well let Quebec go. They will be welcomed with open arms by France. After all, France needs a place to dump the “Disenfranchised Youth” That they are having problems with. Car fire anyone?

  8. this sort of ratio is already showing up in the asian communties of vancouver . one of the results of “pro-choice” that the msm doesnt really want to mention

  9. new france solved the problem by importing the “kings daughters” , arranged marriages. I not thinking China is keen on increasing the population by importing any people.

  10. I watched an interview of young women in China. Womens lib is in full stride. Better educated, worldly. Settle down? Not on your life. The sexual revolution has arrived in China and most educated women have decided that they would prefer to live the free life. Get married to look after some young man’s family? Not a chance. The competion is fierce for brides and the better educated are opting to live a little before settling down and when they do, it will to to the man of their choice, not their parents. The times they are a changing!

  11. China officially banned abortions based on the child’s sex since 2005. There’s a new rule that a married couple where each is from a one child home can now have two children.

  12. Well having natural hetero sex in China will be interesting however the fallout from this is illegal….no new chinese can be born unless by licence.

  13. In the late 90’s most of the “Asian Tiger” countries hit an economic wall. After years of amazing growth, corruption finally led to a major setback. (This really affected BC more than the rest of Canada as it does a much greater percentage of its trade with Asia than any other province.)
    China’s growth based on crony capitalism is unsustainable. It will follow the same path as the Asian tigers that preceeded it. I’d invest in democratic India before I would put a dime in China.

  14. It is NOT hard to imagine China as being any worse than it is now.
    The REAL challenge is trying to imagine it getting any better!

  15. Screw with mother nature and you are screwing with disaster. Its not more complicated than that.

  16. Hey, if kids in Canada can have more than one mom then it should be easy for a Chinese family to have two fathers. We can even send over the SOWs to explain the principle.

  17. Martin B. – “China officially banned abortions based on the child’s sex since 2005.”
    And Canada officially prohibited heroin in 1908; that doesn’t mean it’s not available, remember?

  18. “This is actually a strange statistic. There shouldn’t normally be such a disparate ratio between the genders – even if the state is limiting families to one child.”
    It’s not without historical precedent. China had much worse imbalances in the 19th century and the result were two very bloody civil wars.
    The article linked to reads like the author is playing armchair quarterback about a vast country that he isn’t that familiar with. Bruce Gottfred may feel he knows everything he needs to know to predict the future of China but I don’t share his confidence in his crystal ball.

  19. Chinese women have come a long way since the days of foot binding.
    if, IF a chinese girl survives the infanticide committed at the altar of one-family-one-child, her odds or doing well tilt in her favour.
    education, worldiness, economic opportunities from capitalism, and the distinct advantage of holding out for the best marital offer are the ingredients.
    paternal cultural traditions smash head on into technology and policy. the same thing is happening in india where loop holes are found to disclose the results of the ultrasound revealing the gender of the unborn baby. technology smashes at high speed head on into ‘pro-choice’.

  20. I’d be more worried that the Chinese government might decide that having all those nice young men in uniform, with a specific gov approved goal in mind would be preferable to them gettin up to freelance mischief.

  21. ET: “…and it will ease up on the one-child per family”
    Done already in 2005. If a newly married couple each come from single child homes, they are now allowed to have two children.
    Also, the “one child” policy is misnamed. The policy should more correctly be called “two shots at a boy”. In most provinces if the first child is a boy, the family was finished. However, if the first child is a girl, the couple was allowed to try one more time to get a boy.
    China’s population control policy automatically favors a larger male population. It’s only perceived as a problem to the world outside China. To China’s government, the population male/female disparity is by design. The near term philosophy appears to be to overwhelm competition not only with strength from numbers but with gender as well.
    Anyone want to guess how common infantcide or abandoned babies are in rural China when the second child is a girl? The abandoned babies are the lucky ones.

  22. If you want to see what this is like, you can see it in reverse at any canadian university where women outnumber the men.
    Things are not quite normal.

  23. I think it’s 300 million more males by 2020:
    By Wu Nan :: 2007-01-11
    From Reuters:
    China will be home to 300 million more men than women by 2020, state media said on Thursday, warning the gender imbalance, along with an aging population and rapid urbanization, could be destabilizing.
    Hey, maybe another Mongol invasion of the ‘Islamic states’. One can only hope.

  24. Zendo Deb: Perhaps the comparison that you should focus on is in the Middle East where, socially and for all practical purposes, young, and not so young, men have no women available to them.
    Just look at the crowds of militant ‘protestors’ and what do you see? Lord Of The Flies.

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