It’s Probably Nothing

It's Probably Nothing 50 Comments

Update #2

Strong evidence indicating that the Chinese bulk carrier Yi Peng destroyed 2 undersea telecom cables connecting Finland-Germany & Sweden-Lithuania … A Danish Navy vessel is shadowing Yi Peng right now.

And has boarded: Danish Navy has just boarded the Chinese bulk carrier

Bumped: The communications cable between Lithuania and Sweden was also damaged.

A good explainer here.

These extensive, often forgotten networks carry the weight of the global internet, transmitting over 95% of international data traffic. Financial markets, international communications, and military operations depend on their uninterrupted functioning. Yet, they are increasingly at risk due to state actors leveraging advanced maritime assets.

h/t Marc

50 Replies to “It’s Probably Nothing”

  1. Nobody saw any of this coming? There is this thing called NATO, set up to counter one enemy. Satellite, microwave, land lines, or a combination of all three would work. Fiber optic land lines with microwave across water gaps would work like a damn with a bit of redundancy.

    1. Microwave towers have nowhere near the capability of a fibre cable. This is like saying you’d replace a 500 kV power transmission line with an extension cord you bought at Canadian Tire.

    2. NATO. You’re joking right?? You mean there is this thing called the USA. NATO minus the US is a banch of coward cucked nations like Canada with no military worth the name.

  4. Hmmm, seems like there might be a problem out there. To be on the safe side the waters should be closed to through traffic.

  5. Now with Sweden, Finland, Norway, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland all being NATO countries, there is no reason not to make an interconnected network between all of them over both land and sea.

    2. We were told by various cable companies that if while fishing we hooked one of their cables, to dump the gear and call them with the location, and they’d have brand new replacements sent out immediately, no questions asked. Their reasoning was that 20+ grand for a new trawl setup was still far cheaper than having to send out a cable ship to fix a damaged cable after guys had buggered around trying to recover their stuck gear (I know one guy who actually managed to get a cable all the way to the surface from 40-50 fathoms…not sure how he managed that) . Not to mention the lost revenue from down-time.

  7. It could be a careless fishing boat or maybe Russia letting everyone know they have other tools in their armament. If Ukraine starts with deep strikes again and another Toropets size ammunition dump explodes, allegedly because of some indigenous Ukrainian designed drones, and this is followed by more cable breaks then we will have an inkling of what is actually happening. Until then we can only sit back and hope for the best.

  8. Elon will be able to sell a lot of satellite dishes.

    I wonder if he thought to EMP-harden those satellites…

    1. They will be taken out with direct kinetic weaponry. Simple but effective. Satellites are going to start tumbling soon.

      3. That’s a lot of shooting given there are more than 6,000 Starlink satellites in orbit and I expect SpaceX can launch them faster than they can be taken out (not that they would welcome that expense).

  12. Probably someone deciding it needed to reset so they unplugged it, then realized the pizza baking in the oven was about to burn. By the time they finished their lunch, it slipped their mind to plug it back in.

    1. ‘Finländare’ are guessing it is an anchor, but the whole issue is less consequential than the publicity suggests. Yes, it’s the fastest cable from Helsinki to Rostock, and probably an important link yielding low latencies between the gamers of Helsinki and Frankfurt am Main.

      But mostly, it’s just a tedious cable fix.

    1. When New New Polar Bear broke the gas pipeline and a cable at the Baltic sea, that was heard in Norway.

      I guess they’d have a lower profile now.

  19. I sure hope that evil homophobe Putin doesn’t stop “Hot sluts of Ukraine” from broadcasting! What will I have to surf at 3:00am ?

      1. Oh! Sweden only gets “Hot Sluts of Ukraine” directly from the undersea cable coming from Ukraine. Got it … so THAT cable is still all good.

  20. What will it be?
    Option 1: Ha ha, russia stronk, Euros asked for it.
    Option 2: Russia had nothing to do with it, it is NATO propaganda.
    Kremlin bots waiting for their marching orders.

    1. 1+2, always. But also 3) ‘there is a lot of infrastructure here, pity if something happened to it .. now we’ll take Ukraine first, and you only later’

      They have a visible deal of agent power these days at various language zones, but I’ve directly observed English more than others.

  22. Strong evidence indicating that the Chinese bulk carrier Yi Peng destroyed 2 undersea telecom cables connecting Finland-Germany & Sweden-Lithuania

    A Danish Navy vessel is shadowing Yi Peng right now. She’s trying to leave the Baltic Sea

    https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1858853514291691729

    Was there intent? Suppose they’ll have to board the carrier and ask some questions, while at sea, where some rules are different from court’s rule.

    1. What did I say, when this original item was posted yesterday? – what did I say???!!! – or another Chinese merchant ship that ‘forgot’ its stern anchor was still down…

      Am I good, or what? XD

  24. A Chinese bulk carrier. “Chinese bulk” sure sounds like a euphemism, doesn’t it? “Nice business you got here, wouldn’t want to see any Chinese bulk fall on it…”

  26. It’s rather impressive how quickly we identified the cable cutting evil doers even noting the ̶ ̶s̶m̶o̶k̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶g̶u̶n̶ ̶ missing anchor considering we’ve still no idea who blew up the gas pipeline.

    I’ve reached the point where I assume anything the government, any government, says is a lie until and unless proven otherwise. Same the media.

    I do wonder, with game changer Trump approaching D.C., if this cable cut had swamp backing to prolong and enlarge the conflict.

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