Felon vs Marxist: The 2024 US Election Prediction Contest

2024 58 Comments

The long wait is over – your 2024 US Election prediction thread is finally here!

In addition to the Presidency, there are 435 seats in the House to be decided: Republicans hold 221 and Democrats 214. 35 Senate seats are up for grabs, currently held by 21 Democrats and 11 Republicans.

To play, leave your prediction (one per person) in the comments, using the format below. The thread is only for predictions, entries with excessive commentary will be rejected.

Presidency: Trump or Harris
435 House: R vs D
35 Senate: R vs D
Tie Breaker: Presidency popular vote (ie. 51.4% )

Winner of the contest (whenever it’s finally decided) will receive their choice of a copy of Bulletproof or Something Lost, Something Gained. (If there’s no clear winner and the whole mess breaks down into riots and mayhem, then everyone gets the Hillary book).

58 Replies to “Felon vs Marxist: The 2024 US Election Prediction Contest”

  1. Pingback: Felon Vs Marxist: The 2024 US Election Open Thread – small dead animals

  3. Presidency: Trump
    House: R 236 vs D 199
    Senate: 21 vs 14
    Presidency popular vote 55.4%
    Trump has assembled a dream team.

  4. President: Harris
    House: 220 Republican 215 Democrat
    Senate: 16 Republican 19 Democrat
    Popular vote: 48.2% Trump, 51.8% Harris

    Numbers include voter fraud.

    1. Chiming in to predict that this is the winner, you know what you’re talking about. I think the voter fraud is exaggerated though, would probably still only be 53% Harris with no fraud.

  5. President Donald J Trump w 55% of popular vote and carries Penn.
    House 235 R 200 D
    Senate 52 R 48 D
    Governors, 28 R, 22 D … the R gain one in NH

    *and some minor rioting

    1. what youre saying is the Dems faked the thing in their favour, but somehow The Donald still wins. l can live with that. think of the way it plays in media: “TRUMP WINS RIGGED ELECTION” omitting the fact the Dems are the ones rigging things . . .

  9. I think Harris will win just by not being Trump. I hope I am wrong.

    Some voters will think it important that she is female and non white. Half the population will vote for her reflexively because of her identity characteristics.

    Most people are emotional and want to like the candidate they support, with no focus on policies. They see Trump as so obnoxious that they don’t care about policy. Many will buy the “Orange menace threatens democracy” BS so heavily pushed in the media, when in fact US democracy is much more robust than Canada’s whipped voting tyranny of the majority. Others will focus on his having received guilty verdicts, because they’re unfamiliar with how the US Justice system works.

    A Harris presidency is very bad for Canada. Trump wants to end our dairy cartel, reduce taxes and approve our pipelines. Harris will provide cover for future Canadian governments who want to smash the oil and gas industry, tax and spend and obsess about dangerous distractions like climate hysteria and DEI.

  10. President: Trump 312 Electoral votes – carries ALL swing States
    House: 220 (R) 215 (D)
    Senate: 19 (R) 16 (D)
    Popular vote: Trump 55%

  11. Trump
    Senate– 18 deomorat, 14 republican
    house– 211 demorat, 224 republican
    assuming of course that voter fraud is not over the top.

        1. I hope so!!!
          This Canadian Climate Refugee enjoying the Phoenix weather each winter!

          Now if we could just toss out Trud in Ottawa

  14. Old style prediction (Electoral college)
    Trump: 339 Harris:199 (Trump wins 7 BG states plus MN, NH, and VA)

    Have not followed House of Representatives
    Senate R(15) D(19)
    Popular vote Trump 51.5% Harris 48.5%

    Senate comment above needs updating (34 senate seats: 23D[includes 4 In] and 11R)
    These 3 lines may be deleted after updating
    https://www.270towin.com/2024-senate-election/

  19. Trump.

    House – R = 233
    D =202

    Senate – R = 20
    D = 15

    Popular Vote – Trump = 50.3%
    Harris = 46.7%

  20. President: Trump
    House: 219R 216D
    Senate: 18R 17D
    Popular vote: Trump 50.3%, Harris 49.4%, Stein and others just over 0.2%
    Trump will go over the top (270) by Wednesday (after PA is called), AZ will not finish counting for about 5 days from close of polls (but electoral votes will not be needed to call the presidential election with Trump sitting at 276). Final count will be Trump at 287, Harris at 251.

    1. As I expected, sitting at 276 for Trump (with AZ and NV still pending), but my final electoral count looks to be off by 15 (for MI), so the final count will probably be 302 for Trump. I knew it would be close and expected MI would be the most likely state to have some last minute inexplicable count “surge” for Harris, but it looks as if MI will go to Trump. AZ may also be resolved much faster than I thought as well (ultimately still breaking for Trump).

  22. Kamala wins the presidency, not legitimately or fairly but voter fraud and election interference.

    The Deep State and the warmongers wanting to launder money through Ukraine gangsters will never allow Trump to win again

  23. Presidency: Trump
    435 House: 230R vs 205D
    35 Senate: 20R vs 15D
    Tie Breaker: Presidency popular vote (52.1% R)

  24. Trump
    435 House: R (217) vs D (218)
    35 Senate: R (14, so 52 total) vs D (21, so 48 total)
    Tie Breaker: Presidency popular vote (Trump 50.1%)

  26. Trump wins 51 to 49%. Electoral College: 296 to 242
    Republicans re-take the Senate 51-49
    Dems retake the House 222-216
    Complete flip.

  27. The Democrats have privately conceded the presidency to Trump and are focused on stealing the down ballot votes so they can quickly impeach him/imprison him/assasinate him and reclaim power. The silent vote will break overwhelmingly for Trump and the Republicans. A lot will be litaged before the inauguration and Trump will be installed.
    Presidency — Trump
    Senate — Republicans: 66 Democrats: 34
    House — Republicans: 302 Democrats: 133
    Information will subsequently be released showing the Democrats have cheated in every election for the last 60-100 years. Seat holders in both the Senate and House will be removed.
    I believe a second election will be held to then install the rightful president, senators, and house representatives.

  28. Trump wins the legitimate vote hands down. The combined appeal of “felon and Elon” is unstoppable. The machinations and insurrections will render a clear result impossible, it will go to Congress and the state delegations will confirm Trump.

    And then, only the remorseless grinding of destiny. We used to have the best parties. But first, they came for the Communists…

    1. Well now, two out of three sentences in that first paragraph! Not bad. And grateful to accept being wrong in the third.

      Really, Trump and Mark should do a charity single as “Elon and the Felon”. Maybe to fund defences of persecuted Trump supporters? They could rap: “His name is Elon!” “He’s a convicted felon!” “Here’s a clip of Shaun Ryder sayin’ ‘squeezin’ my melon’!” It has potential. Well, perhaps not as you see it here, but…

  29. Presidency: Harris (Trump wins the popular vote, wins the electoral college, but does not become president)
    435 House: 225 Republican vs 215 Democrat (Republicans control the house)
    35 Senate: 14 Republican vs 21 Democrat (Democrats retain control of the senate with the help of independents)
    Presidency popular vote: 59.5% Trump

    I sure hope I’m wrong.

  30. President: Trump
    Senate: Dems 16, Rep 16
    House: Dems 214 Rep 221
    Popular vote: Trump 51.75

    ;

  32. Presidency: Kamala
    435 House: 221 vs 214
    35 Senate: 18 vs 17
    Tie Breaker: Presidency popular vote (ie. 53.2% Trump )

  33. The view from Californica vacation, is as thus.
    Presidency: Trump
    435 House: R 230 vs 205
    35 Senate: R 20 vs D 15
    Tie Breaker: Presidency popular vote 50.3% MAGA%

    But, the Demarxists will lawfate the POTUS results, if they don’t outright mysteriously add 10,000,000 Kamalaladingdong votes overnight

  34. Presidency: Harris
    435 House: 214 vs 221
    35 Senate: 10 vs 22
    Tie Breaker: Presidency popular vote: 50.1%

  35. President: Trump
    House: Republicans 230, Democrats 205
    35 Senate: 16 Republicans, 19 Democrats
    Tie Breaker: Trump 49.2%

  36. Presidency: Trump
    435 House: R 230 vs D 205
    35 Senate: R 16 vs D 19
    Tie Breaker: Presidency popular vote 51.8%

  37. I fear the fix is in…..again.
    I’m more worried that the same will happen in Canada as we shift to electronic voting systems.

  38. Trump wins both popular vote and EC.
    Biden is immediately removed via 25th amendment (or covid hotshot, or…).
    Harris assumes presidency and declares martial law, so Congress is irrelevant.
    Bye-bye USA

    –Bad News Quillan

  40. Prez: Harris
    House: R225 D210
    Senate: 21D 13R
    49.8 Harris (wins w less than 50% popular vote)

  41. What the heck. I’m going with Trump at 307 EC votes, and a two-seat GOP majority in the Senate.

  42. President: Orange Man
    House: 250 Republican 165 Democrat
    Senate: 24 Republican 11 Democrat
    Popular vote: 50.4% Trump, 49.6% Harris

  43. Pres Trump – R 300EC vs. D 238EC
    House – R 226 vs. D 209
    Senate – R 54 vs. D 46
    ( total )
    National PV Trump 50.2%

  44. Presidency: Trump
    435 House: 240 R vs 195 D
    35 Senate: 19 R vs 16 D
    Tie Breaker: Presidency popular vote (huge 50.1 CCCP 49.0)

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