Election 2011: And The Winner Is…

RCGZ! There’s a $50 donation to your charity of choice coming your way, Rob.
“Snagglepuss” also had the CPC with 167 seats, with RCGZ’s higher count for the NDP as tiebreaker.
Of the 88 SDA readers who posted formal seat breakdown predictions, nearly 75% predicted a CPC majority parliament. What did you know that the pollsters and official pundocracy didn’t?

89 Replies to “Election 2011: And The Winner Is…”

  1. Good point Carl,basically what we have is the bloc with a coat of orange paint.It would appear that the Quebecois dropped duceppe because he could not deliver, I fail to see where jack the dipper will do any better and looking at his seat holders,I see a potential for much less, anticipate some great political theatre as the orange slate decomposes.The “velvet touch revolution” has the life expectancy of a used kleenex

  2. From Manitoba:
    Re Sun News & Bell TV
    I’m in central Alberta & I’m getting the same message. WTF
    One of the first things on the CPC’s agenda needs to be the selling off of the CBC. “It’s ours” remember?
    Hippie 5:
    What do you think of Obama’s landslide with 52, 53% of the popular vote? What about this scenario. Party WXY has candidates in every riding & gets 5% of the vote in every result, getting thoroughly rejected in every riding. But you say they should have 15 – 16 seats. Yeah that’s fair. Too bad life isn’t. Plus it’s going to lead to ridings having 2 – 3 representatives and some with none. Yeah that’s fair. Somehow this argument only comes up when the left loses.

  3. Thany you Kate for all your work at sda that helped bring in this cpc victory.
    The old song mockingbird hill comes to mind thismorning……..
    tis a great, great day to wake up in the morning indeed.
    ot. called sun news about pulling their news channel on bell.
    they said they didn’t know why it was pulled.
    called bell, they said sun news tv was no longer available & that i could no longer get it.
    cancelled my bell acc. thismorning…..
    guess bell didn’t like the election result.
    bygeorge

  4. Soooooo hippie….Boob Rae getting only 37% of the vote when Morontarions elected him to destroy the province was a good day for democracy compared to PMSH,s election??? Oh right. As Phantom said,hippies can,t do math,or think for that matter.

  5. The Progressive Left is toast.
    Jack Layton will pay the price of riding the Orange wave to opposition in Quebec.
    Were I Jack Layton, I’d be more weary of my so called ‘friends’ than my enemies.

  6. It’s not so much that we knew more than the media, they knew exactly what we did and more…it’s that we didn’t try and conceal it. I watched the returns on CTV last night while checking Sun on the net and even when the totals climbed above 155, they never mentioned the possibility of a majority, it was like they were avoiding it. Their coverage of the maritimes was consistently pro-liebral, they said Harper had failed here when his seat count went up by 25%…the Canadian MSM is simply in denial that THEY also lost last night, even today it’s Harpers ‘campaign of fear’ that won, not thefact that the Canadian taxpayer doesn’t have any more use for liebrals and the only ones voting for jacko are the ones that never paid taxes in their life..students and low or no income people that haven’t had to write a 4 or 5 figure cheque to the government on April 30th to cover their cheques from the government…small wonder the moonbat students that scream for free tuition today become Conservatives down the road if they ever get a real job and start paying taxes instead of relying on handouts from daddy or the government…as far as I’m concerned, if you don’t pay taxes you shouldn’t have a say in how they’re raised. Call it classism if you want, but I’m tired of footing the bill for somebody else’s pizza and beer without getting any myself and I don’t see why they should be the ones telling me that I have to pay extra to upsize theirs.

  7. Well, I was right about the CPC majority but 7 short, right about Lieberal losses but gave them 6 more than they got, but way out with the Bloc heads and Dippers. I figured Dippers would gain but not so much and who could have thought that the Quebecois were that tired of their separatist dog & pony show?
    Lieberals biggest mistake (besides leadership) was that they were trying to outdo the NDP in bribing Canadians with their own money. One look at the spenders south of the border would convince most folks that it ain’t going to happen.
    I figure NDP supporters are such an entitled crowd they vote based on a dream they know deep down ain’t there. Kind of like lotto tickets; great to dream on, not so good to plan on.

  8. @RGB in Alberta,
    It doesn’t makes sense that Sun News would request Bell to stop broadcasting. There has to be a reason.
    Nothing regarding this at sunnewsnetwork.ca

  9. p.s. What are the odds that the newest resident of Stornoway will be taken to task for his past “medical” indiscretions ? Or, maybe Jacko will renovate a room in the attic into a massage parlour?

  10. My Take:
    Bell Media owns Bell sat.
    Bell Media owns CTV.
    Sun Newsnet is kicking CTV’s ass in the ratings.
    Why carry a competitor that’s beating your butt.
    Not only that, Harper won.
    Result … Pull Sun newsnet.
    I don’t believe Sun wanted off Bell Sat.
    I’m cancelling Bell Sat. And I still won’t go back to CTV.

  11. “What did you know that the pollsters and official pundocracy didn’t?”
    I can’t say how much the ‘pundocracy’ actually knows, but they showed remarkable tenacity in opposing the Conservatives every step of the way. In the early days, when it looked like the Liberals were still going to be the second-largest party, they supported the Liberals; only when it became apparent that the Red Machine was imploding did they start pushing the “Orange Surge” (which as noted by others was in fact confined to Quebec).
    As for the pollsters, I generally don’t like ’em but they had a very difficult job in a churning electoral sea. The late polls IMO were closer than people are giving them credit for. Most late polls showed the Liberals around 19%. They finished with 18.9. Most late polls showed the NDP with 30 to 32%. They finished with 30.6. Similarly, final polls for the Conservatives actually weren’t that far off the actual count.
    What nobody predicted was Quebec. I didn’t think the BQ could evaporate like that, and it appalls me that people can vote for candidates they’ve never heard of. As for the other nine provinces, I overestimated the Libs; I thought they’d hold on to more seats in southern Ontario, and I actually thought the Conservatives would win a few more seats in B.C. than they actually did. (I had the CPC at 160, getting a majority with a late surge in B.C.)

  12. Deep down, average Canadians are intrinsically an optimistic bunch. Contrast that with the pessimistic “someone peed in my cornflakes” outlook of the pundits/ MSM / pollsters etc.
    We saw the good in a majority conservative gov’t.

  13. I’ve been closely following the victories of the whole new slew of NDP MPs from Quebec. Ruth Ellen Brosseau is the most interesting but there are others. For example, Mathieu Ravignat from the Pontiac riding once ran as a communist. Does one really ever shed their communist underpinnings?!

  14. jacko hasn’t yet realized what’s in store for him, I predict that by thie time next year, half his caucus will be calling for his head and the rest will have said so many utterly ridiculous things or demanded such pie-in-the-sky things of a majority government that no longer HAS to do anything to appease them that they won’t be able to run again.
    jacko is a blackmail artist and nothing more, he got $5 billion out of martini in exchange for passing one budget and he tried to pull the same thing with Harper and had his bluff called. he has no power whatsoever and his own people will ensure that he isn’t seen as a ‘government in waiting’.
    The true dipper policies and mindset will be made apparent soon enough and even the mewlings of lizzie’s first and only turn in Parliament won’t distract from that…provided that it isn’t found out that she stacked her riding with advance votes from people that don’t live there or that managed to vote twice..once as a student somewhere else and once as a ‘resident’…sorry, but I have no faith in the ethics of the greenpeace party, not after watching their antics in everything else they’ve ever done, to them the end justifies the means and little things like legalities aren’t things to be considered…it’ll be interesting to see how the vote total in her riding tallies with the population….69000 votes cast, 115,000 population…guess there aren’t many non-voting age kids or ineligible immigrants there and everyone that WAS eligible to vote did..at least once.

  15. I’ve been closely following the victories of the whole new slew of NDP MPs from Quebec. Ruth Ellen Brosseau is the most interesting but there are others. For example, Mathieu Ravignat, from the Pontiac riding once ran as a communist. Does one really ever shed their communist underpinnings?!
    http://mathieuravignat.ndp.ca

  16. ‘Bemused’, you make some truly excellent points! Nothing would make me smile more than to see both Jack Layton & Lizzie May tossed on their own petards over the next 4 years. If it happens over the next 12 months, even better.
    By the way, if your prediction proves out then we can accurately say: “Jack Layton’s Happy Ending turned out to be premature.”
    Sorry, couldn’t resist! 🙂

  17. Here’s the list I sent in my note of congratulations to my re-elected MP this morning:
    End the long gun registry
    Strengthen property rights
    Reform the Senate
    Restore fair representation in the House of Commons
    End the subsidy of political parties
    Repeal section 13.1 of the Canadian Human Rights Act
    I regard the last item as fundamental. Political correctness (the suicide note of western civilization, I think), is nowhere more stridently articulated than in section 13.1. It needs to go.

  18. “Jack Layton’s Happy Ending turned out to be premature.”
    That’s because its all about “the premature Jack Layton.”
    Shaidle made that up btw, I’m just stealing it. 🙂

  19. As it turned out:
    Realists, pragmatists, and cynical bastards 167
    Narco-dependent Party 103
    Walking Dead 34
    Ghosts of Levesque 3
    Shrieking Prophets of Doom 1 (+103 above)
    pending recounts or acts of God

  20. I still haven’t seen a clear answer concerning Jack’s plans to fine tardy/absent MPs. Is he going to give members of his own caucus enough time to get back from vacation before instituting this change???

  21. CBC’s corrupt Terry Milewski at the start of a press conference with Stephen Harper this morning: “Good morning sir. I really won’t make a habit of this but congratulations may be in order ….”
    Raw video

  22. Dr. Dawg, within a lengthy tirade about the injustice of it all is saying (I’m paraphrasing here) @#$!%& democracy. We need lots of demonstrations and strikes to show our displeasure. TO THE BARRICADES !
    That won’t resonate much with real working people who must have voted CPC in large numbers to yield the electoral result but, look for plenty of trouble from the ranks of the public service.

  23. Dr. Dawg, within a lengthy tirade about the injustice of it all is saying (I’m paraphrasing here) @#$!%& democracy. We need lots of demonstrations and strikes to show our displeasure. TO THE BARRICADES !
    That won’t resonate much with real working people who must have voted CPC in large numbers to yield the electoral result but, look for plenty of trouble from the ranks of the public service.
    http://drdawgsblawg.ca

  24. Bemused at 12:58 PM
    Immediately report to your nearest reeducation camp, and bring a shovel.
    The orange comrades will take care of the rest
    Banish the thought such clear headed thinking could spread to the rest of the peasantry!
    Unmeployed commissars is too cruel a notion to contemplate…

  25. Didn’t get a chance to watch the Sun coverage, but it was fun watching Peter Mansbridge all evening going… looks solid, but there’s still a lot in play. Can’t declare it a majority yet….
    The SunNews thing is about Bell not signing a contract to carry SunNews yet, and not paying for the feed on 213, so SunNews withdrew their feed. They want you and me to demand Bell to pay for it, basically.

  26. “What did you know that the pollsters and official pundocracy didn’t?”
    To quote Kathy Shaidle as quoted by you, Kate:
    “The New York Times link
    to me yesterday […] generated
    one-fifth of the traffic
    I normally get from a link
    from Small Dead Animals.”

  27. It seems ideal: CPC majority, crushed LPC, rump BQ, 1 looney GPC, and an NDP opposition with a dying leader left to handle the QC burden and a caucus split between whining French nobodies and Atlantic/BC/ON pinkos.

  28. Re Sun/Bell
    The comment re Bell cutting out the competition makes sense as does Bell requesting payment. Who knows for now.
    The MSM ( some exceptions) tossed everything they could to sway the public against Harper and it didn’t work. I think the majority of Canadians want a balance. No party is perfect and they saw MSM BS for what it was.
    Congrats Mr. Harper.
    Congrats to you as well Mr. Layton. I think politics in Canada will be very interesting over the next few years.

  29. ….That won’t resonate much with real working people who must have voted CPC in large numbers to yield the electoral result but, look for plenty of trouble from the ranks of the public service….
    ummmm…a LOT of public servants have no use for liebrals or the ndp…there are a lot of public sector unions and not every union member is looking for a chance to strike, just looking for a chance to try and make liebral appointed managers smarten up…a slim chance, granted, but it’s what we want.

  30. Carl:
    NDP does not have 5 fewer seats outside PQ
    they have 8 MORE seats outside PQ.
    Vίtruvius makes the same mistake in his new posting. (See the top of this blog)
    Where do you people get your figures from??
    Try:
    http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/results.html
    [ Thanks Allan, I’ll correct my entry. ~Vίtruvius ]

  31. Kate… I sat on the edge of my seat last night watching the see-saw battle between Nettie Wiebe and Kelly Block… I’m tickled to death that Kelly won… two reasons… it’s SO cool that Saskatchewan is the only province that didn’t elect a dipper… and… it would have totally sucked for you, of all people, to be living in the only NDP riding in Saskatchewan…

  32. For the sake of us ignorant Southern Canadians who don’t understand the leanings of your political parties and your multi-party system generally, can you please translate these results into American English?

  33. It’s just more than two parties, like the libertartian party in the US…in 1972 they even managed to get one electoral college vote…up here the difference is that we don’t vote for our ‘president’ directly, the leader of the party getting the most seats is named prime minister, the problem is that with more than two parties, there’s a chance that nobody would get 50% +1 of the seats…and voters moving to a third party can siphon off enough votes from another that a seat they held can now be taken by another party that kept all their voters onside, much like happened Monday…clear as mud ? don’t worry, I’m still trying to figure out the electoral college 😉

  34. POWinCA: the main thing you need to know is that every Canadian party is generally more statist than it’s US counterpart. Well that used to be the case until your Democrats tried to see how socialistic they could make the US. For once, the Canadian Conservative party actually does have some conservative traits.
    The Liberal party is more statist than the Conservatives and has a culture of political patronage and corruption. It also feels that it has a right to govern Canada. Hopefully it will be history once the $2/vote subsidy is eliminated as it can’t raise any money unlike the Conservative party which gets most of their funding from individual Canadians. It’s uniformly hated from Alberta westward due to the national energy program (NEP) which was a direct interference in Alberta’s affairs, it’s pandering to Quebec and the firearms registry.
    The NDP (or new democratic party) is essentially a renamed communist party and their policies are to the left of european communist parties. They want state control of everything and are the most anti-American of the parties. Their primary goal is to create a culture of dependency and crush capitalism. They also appeal to union types and I’ve given up trying to discuss the contradiction in some NDP voters I know who are basically working class rednecks that like guns but vote NDP because it’s “pro worker”. Maybe they haven’t read the NDP platform which would outlaw firearms ownership.
    Then there’s the watermelon party (the call themselves the green party) which are adherents of the church of CAGW and seek to return Canada to the stone age. They are the most statist of all of the parties and many of their members left the NDP which wasn’t statist enough for their tastes.
    As far as the BQ goes, they want Quebec to separate (as does just about every westerner but we haven’t been allowed to vote on the issue) and they are a statist party that believes it’s fine to use any means necessary to prevent the spread of English in Quebec but speaking French is pretty much a prerequisite for snivel service employment at the higher levels and they are strongly in favor of that. The BQ has been wiped out and Quebecers voted for the NDP as their primary long-term strategy has been to threaten to leave Canada unless they’re given large amounts of money. Finally we’re in a situation where we can tell them goodbye and here’s your share of the national debt.
    The current Conservative party is a merger of the western Reform Party which was started by Preston Manning to counter the eastern domination of the west. The “progressive” conservatives were in power when Reform started up and they were eliminated. Reform never made it outside of it’s western powerbase, it morphed into the Canadian Alliance party which didn’t have much more success than Reform and finally the CA joined with the tiny remnant of the “progressive” conservatives to form the Conservative party. This stopped the vote splitting that kept the Lieberals in power and Stephen Harper became prime minister. To put the “progressive” conservatives in perspective, they were to the left of the US Democratic party. Good riddance to those CINO’s.

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