“They pushed us to the limit,” Danielle Smith says in fighting oil and gas emissions cap. Saskatchewan has already started on this path.
Expect similar action from Saskatchewan in the next 10 days. If you remember back in September, Saskatchewan issued its Economic Impact Assessment Tribunal take on this emissions cap, calling it a production cap.
Sask NDP gas tax motion runs out of gas
Bronwyn Eyre: Saskatchewan election post-mortem: Why the Sask Party lost the cities
A former Energy and Resources Minister for four years, Eyre is joining Pipeline Online as a regular contributor, both as a columnist and co-host in an upcoming regular podcast that is rapidly coming together. Watch for Eyre’s continuing contributions on Pipeline Online in the weeks and months ahead.
Also:
Alberta wind power generation falls to less than one per cent capacity, once again (Last Friday, it fell to zero. You read that right. Zero.)
TC Energy CEO sees opportunity in Trump win as company refocuses on natural gas
And, what’s this Bluesky Social all about? In the interest of staking territory, Pipeline Online is now on this new social media at @pipelineonline.bsky.social. If you’re on there, be the first to follow, I guess?
Brian Zinchuk on Evan Bray: Elections, pipelines, million barrels, emissions cap and more. Part of the discussion stems from this:
Also: Energy experts think Donald Trump will make tariff exemptions for Canadian oil
Apparently there’s still money to be made in the oilpatch: Suncor to return all excess cash to shareholders after hitting debt target early
What’s a drilling rig doing southeast of Moose Jaw? Drilling a CO2 sequestration well, naturally
And what are going to use that CO2 for, pray tell? Producing more oil, baby! (Well, not the stuff that’s going into this well, but all the CO2 that’s going to go in the pipeline past it. You’ll have to read the story to understand.)
Canada steadfast on climate plan despite Trump re-election: Guilbeault
Good thing oil companies can make money in spike of Guilbeault.
Suncor Energy earnings rise to $2.02 billion in third quarter
Brian Crossman: Elections, Name Calling and Doing the Right Thing
Federal government faces potential loss if Trans Mountain pipeline sold: PBO
COP29 primer: Canada’s priorities at the global climate talks, and the Trump impact
Running out the clock on the federal oil and gas emissions cap: Saskatchewan energy minister
Brian Zinchuk: Trump won. Let’s build that pipeline, quick!
A remarkable alignment between Trump, the US House and Senate, Danielle Smith, Scott Moe and maybe Pierre Poilievre could make it happen
Also:
Verbatim backgrounder on oil and gas emissions cap
Emissions cap puts methane in spotlight; industry says low-hanging fruit already gone
I was on the road all Monday, so I wasn’t able to dig into this as much as I’d like. Hopefully I’ll be able to do more in the coming days.
Guilbeault’s oil and gas emissions cap press release, verbatim
Reaction to Guilbeault’s emissions cap on oil and gas industry, Part 1
Reaction to Guilbeault’s emissions cap on oil and gas industry, Part 2
Canadian Press
Oil, gas companies told to cut emissions by one-third under planned cap
Oh, and here’s a bonus: the federal government wants to now subsidize radio news as well. Why do I hear the Emperor from the Return of the Jedi cackling in my head?
Federal government’s control of media to grow, now seeking to subsidize radio news
Enbridge in talks about Mainline pipeline expansion as Canadian oil output grows
This is very significant, as the enormous cost overruns (6x over initial budget) of the Trans Mountain Expansion seemed to scare off anyone from ever doing a major pipeline in this country again. But that was the federal government running the show.
Historically, Enbridge built a new mainline pipe about every decade. The shot above was Line 3 replacement in 2017. The previous Alberta clipper was 2008-2009. And this new development is very likely so that Enbridge is ready to go with a new Conservative government in place next year. Thoughts?
Also:
Veren intends on spending 15% of its 2025 capital budget in Saskatchewan
SeaRose floating oilfield vessel en route back to Canada after refurbishment: Cenovus
Trevor Rose Podcast: Scott Saxberg
Sask drilling rig report: Rigs working on oil, potash, helium and lithium
The reality is that to get anywhere close to the oil production numbers Premier Scott Moe would like to see, an increase from 454,000 barrels per day to 600,000, we’d need to double, and likely triple the current number of rigs drilling for oil, which is 32. And even then, that would still be fewer rigs than we had going in 2013.
What a Sask Party win means for energy – seeking to hit 600,000 bpd, and eventually 1 million; nuclear power development, critical minerals.
Does this mean drill, baby, drill? For oil, lithium, and helium – to reach these goals, absolutely.
Also:
For the past decade, Quebec’s political parties have been arguing over who hates oil and Western conservatives the most along with which party can claim bragging rights for being the best at extorting benefits from the rest of Canada. Jim Warren hits it out of the park, again.
No big war, prices drop:
Oil prices fall as reality of weak global demand overtakes risk of wider war in Middle East
Once you cut gas taxes, you’ll never be able to bring them back. Dumb idea if we want to keep roads.
Ontario government moves to extend 5.7 cent gas tax cut to June 2025
Brian Zinchuk: After braying about oil and gas classes, there was nary a peep when tourism and automotive got similar classes
You can’t make this stuff up.
The Saskatchewan Green Party proposes to “Make Green Jobs the future of Saskatchewan’s economy by transitioning away from fossil fuels,” while financing its extensive socialist policy platform by modelling Norway which applies “a whopping 78 percent total tax” on oil and gas revenues.
Notably, it includes five pages discussing the Greens opposition to small modular reactors. And the policy document closes by saying on the last page, “How do we pay for it? The Saskatchewan Green Party is dedicated to building a prosperous future for our province. It is time to raise royalty rates in the oil & gas sector to levels that truly reflect the value of our resources. We would use Norway as an example. Norway has a 51 percent tax on petroleum-related income, on top of the 27 percent income tax. That amounts to a whopping 78 percent total tax. This is put into a fund to benefit all citizens.”
That page does not list any other major revenue source, or indeed any revenue source at all, other than heavily taxing oil and gas, the same oil and gas earlier in the document the party promises to transition away from. If the party does succeed in “transitioning away from fossil fuels,” (Page 17) it offers no other source of revenue on the “How do we pay for it?” page (Page 61).
Jim Warren: Could maximizing Canadian oil production and exports over the medium-term help reduce CO2 emissions for the long-term?
“There is a chasm of disagreement separating climate-concerned policy makers in Ottawa and supporters of the oil and gas sector on the prairies. Each side behaves like they’re playing a zero sum game.”
Also: Investing in oil and gas still important, IEA deputy head tells Calgary crowd
Election 2024: All-of-the-above energy strategy, no changes to royalties: New Democratic Party
This is the third in a series of in-depth interviews with the parties vying for the Saskatchewan election. In it, NDP Energy Critic Aleana Young speaks about the NDP’s all-of-the-above energy strategy.
The greatest threat to nuclear development is not technological or even financial – it’s change in government. This was evident with the Site C Dam in BC, where a new NDP government pumped the brakes, but then ultimately went ahead with it. The NDP in Saskatchewan continue to support nuclear power development, but “we have to get it right.”
As I’ve done with the other parties, I reproduced everything I could find in the party platform related to energy. Well, the terms “oil” “natural gas” “potash” “critical minerals” “SMR” “nuclear” or “electricity” are not referenced within the document. But “healthcare” comes up 35 times.
Friday will be the Buffalo Party. So far, I have not heard from the Greens, PCs or Progressives. Wonder why? Is anyone else writing 3200 word stories on their energy policies?
On a side note, I attended a three hour long Estevan city council/mayor town hall this evening. It took 2 hours and 25 minutes before anyone made any serious comments about coal. That was right before I got my chance to ask about dealing with the impending eventual shut down of coal-fired power generation, but also preparing the city for nuclear power. Amazingly, about half of the 13 people on stage really had no substantive answer on that front, and several had no clue or hadn’t thought of it. You would think that would be the most important issue facing this city – much more important than sidewalks or boulevard flowers (which got more discussion up until that point than coal or nuclear). Especially since the nuclear built out will be the most costly infrastructure project in Saskatchewan history to date. (If I attend a forum like this, you can be damned sure I’m going to ask the toughest questions.)
In Pipeline Online’s quest to ensure we all know EXACTLY what the feds are telling us on energy, I have a series of press releases from this week, which I’ll post over the weekend.
SIMSA 2024: Oil and gas is a “cornerstone of our financial prosperity,” says CAPP CEO Lisa Baiton.
To rectify Canada’s sinking economic status, we need to fix our energy regulatory framework to be timely, predictable and simpler. Along the way, we need to include Indigenous people and their investments.
Those were the messages by Lisa Baiton, president and CEO of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, in her keynote address to the 10th annual Saskatchewan Industrial and Mining Suppliers Association (SIMSA) Energy Forum.
Pipeline Online is attempting to do in-depth interview on energy policy with each of the parties involved in the Saskatchewan 2024 general election. First up: Saskatchewan United Party:
Election 2024: Grow oil production to 500,000 bpd, cut PST by half: Saskatchewan United Party
Trump’s ‘Drill, baby, drill’ could mean a return of US$35 oil
“I believe I’ll be able to get energy down to 50 per cent – 50 – five-oh – of what it is right now within a period of less than a year.” – Donald Trump
If he drops oil prices by half, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Newfoundland and Canada overall will be in a world of hurt.
Wall Street Journal looks, wrongly, at Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline and its impacts. There’s a lot wrong in this video. Can you count the ways?
Weekend Watch: Mike Rowe and Victor Davis Hanson on what’s wrong with society, and there’s a lot Highly recommended.
Environment, energy ministers offer Jagmeet Singh a briefing on carbon pricing. Oh sure, now they tell him about it.
Manitoba government extending gas tax holiday until end of the year Because of course it is. This is the problem with supposed gas tax holidays – you can’t end the holiday.
Indigenous equity ownership saw momentum in 2024, but still more work to do
Top swag of the show: Bravo Target Safety hands out aspirin keychains. With an 18mm culvert in the largest artery of my heart, I grabbed four. Hopefully I’ll never need them.
And just in case you were wondering, Alberta’s power was $0 for almost the entirety of Sept. 27. I’ll write about that next week if I have time.