Your Election Prediction Contest Thread (Bumped With Results)

2019 Federal Election 84 Comments

With the official mourning period drawing to a close, here are the results. The final seat tally (according to Global News):

LPC: 157
CPC: 121
NDP: 24
BQ: 32
GPC: 3
PPC: 0
Independent: 1

By my reckoning, the closest to come to an accurate prediction was “RL”

LPC:155
CPC:115
NDP:36
BQ:25
GPC:4
PPC:2
Independent:1

Congratulations and deepest sympathies, RL! A book will be out shortly.

Original post continues below.

338 seats in the House of Commons
170 seats needed for a majority

You can review the seats held at dissolution here.

To earn your chance at a free book from the SDA Free Book Library, enter your 2019 election seat distribution prediction in the comments, in the following format.

LPC:
CPC:
NDP:
BQ:
GPC:
PPC:
Independent:

Please refrain from making additional commentary (or mucking up the format) — there will be an open thread provided for that. Contest closes Monday morning at 12:01am

84 Replies to “Your Election Prediction Contest Thread (Bumped With Results)”

      1. LPC: 132
        CPC: 132
        NDP: 35
        BQ: 34
        GPC: 3
        PPC: 1
        Independent: 1

        Trudeau remains as Prime Minstrel til economy craters.

    1. OK. thanks for the reminder Kate, only 338:
      LPC: 100
      CPC: 145
      NDP: 59
      BQ: 20
      GPC: 3
      PPC: 9
      Independent: 2

  4. My prediction is that a full slate of Communists will be elected. And Alberta and Sask. Separatism will reach record levels.

    2. There are no Communists in Canada. There are Marxists, Leninists, Marxist-Leninists, Bolsheviks, Mensheviks, Stalinists, Trotskyites, Maoists, Titoists, Castroites and other assorted Refined Gentlemen.

        1. Socialist covers the whole mspectrum of Canadian politics at preent, except for the PPC. Get out and vote PPC tomorrow.

  6. Honestly, in order to prove itself sane, Canada has to spoil every ballot. A 100% turnout, with 99.9% of ballots spoiled by the people who cast them.

    If the largest victory in any riding, is a 10 vote lead, on 30 non spoiled ballots, they have to say something about that.

    Imagine if Trudeau got the seat in Papineau, 100% of ballots were cast, everyone voted, but only 3 ballots were not spoiled…

    The fact that everyone keeps voting for the same parties, the same people, the same promises, is depressing.

  17. Canadians are no longer a cohesive culture so we are all often at cross purposes depending on regions and numbers of wogs. It’s hard to know the mind of many of the immigrant voters, but generally they will vote for the free-stuff gangs of the left. For that reason I am unable to provide a reasoned guess as to how this might shake out. There is the rage and hate factor that clouds the minds of the already dull witted leftists … so logic is not available for this topic.

    If it is close, I expect that the Turdoo gang will bend like pretzels to hold onto power in some form or other. I suspect the power hungry wogs of the green and NDP gulags will go along with whatever they can do to garner even a small amount of control over other peoples lives and money.

    I am praying for Scheer as he is the least of the evil choices we are faced with.

  19. Before Wexit
    LPC 109
    CPC 152
    NDP 35
    BQ 39
    GPC 2
    IND 1
    After Wexit
    LPC 109
    CPC 91
    NDP 33
    BQ 39
    GPC 2

  25. After many ridings recounts the tally below stands the late afternoon of Oct 22. 2019 including the possibility of rigged voting in certain ridings.

    LPC: 96
    CPC: 138
    NDP: 28
    BQ: 26
    GPC: 3
    PPC: 46 – Many Canadians decide to no longer vote LibCons
    Independent: 1

    Wish for a PPC Majority

    1. “PPC majority”…. we can dream!!

      Whatever the outcome, I’m pretty sure it’s gonna stink.
      After Trudeau fails, watch for JWR to take him on in a leadership bid, and win easily.
      She WILL be PM after the next election… take it to the bank.
      If you think Natives were pandered to before, as BTO would say, “you ain’t seen nothin’ yet.”

  27. LPC:155
    CPC:115
    NDP:36
    BQ:25
    GPC:4
    PPC:2
    Independent:1

    It’ll be a minority Liberal Government. No Pipeline. Time for AB to turn off oil to BC and the East. And then start doing all the stuff in Danielles Smith’s commentary in The Calgary Herald on Friday.

  28. LPC: 180
    CPC 110
    Block:7
    NDP:38
    Green: 1
    Independent:2

    Another four years of a Trudeau majority. I’d love to be dead wrong,but……………………

  31. Already voted Max.
    I don’t care what the results are as they are irrelevant to me.
    Western separation is all that matters.

  35. Just for future reference, how will the “smallest” deviation from the actual seat count be calculated?

    Reserving the right to enter until Sunday night.

  42. this has been Scheer’s election to throw away and he has done a great job of handing it to the lieberals. I am so disappointed in the cpc for its lack of conservative policies and actions.

  43. LPC: 153
    CPC: 92
    NDP: 47
    BLOC: 35
    Green: 5
    PPC: 2
    Independent: 4

    I wish it were not so, but the CPC threw a hail Mary pass backwards from their own seven yard line. Still, they kept the likes of you and me out of their party, I guess that was the main objective.

  44. Hey, free book, why not?
    This Kinsella thing is just partisan crack, won’t matter.
    We don’t know what the voter turnout is going to be.
    We don’t know how Indo Canadians are taking Jagmeet.

    So:

    LPC: 106
    CPC: 150
    NDP: 35
    BLOC: 41
    Green: 3
    PPC: 1
    Independent: 2

  48. Liberal Party 132
    Conservative Party 134
    N.D.P. 37
    Bloc Quebecois 32
    Green Party 2
    People’s Party 0
    Independent 1

Proudly powered by WordPress & Skyrocket Themes

MENU

Navigation