Cruz has two two goals.
Stop Trump from getting 1237 before the convention and ensure the delegates for the subsequent votes.
Probably shouldn’t discount Kasich either. It’s not like conventions haven’t a history of third place coming up the middle. (Waves at Alberta)
It will be a fun day of television.
Since economic issues top voter’s concerns, watch for Trump the proven successful businessman to mop the floor with Hillary on that issue.
Apparently, Trump is coming out with a foreign policy statement some time this week.
Squirm, doubters, squirm.
Why does Trump have to contend with the freak Show, a host of Disney characters including Goofy (Cruz), Daffy Duck (Kasich) and Elmer Fudd (Mitt the Twit). The race is over,,,done,, done. The only folks that are crying are the usual piss-ants that find themselves left out…Suck it Up!
Cruz is dead candidate walking, along with Kasich. Even Carl Rove admits if Trump gets 2/3 of California delegates he wins his majority. IMHO, he doesn’t need to do that well, but likely will This is a winner take all state by district and Cruz has the same forlorn hope as he did recently in NY; that he can do well in certain districts.
The only resemblance to NY is Trump is miles ahead, polling around 50% in California, where a simple plurality yields all district seats, unlike NY’s tougher 50% threshold.
He’s also way ahead in Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey and even leads in Indiana, another of Cruz’ latest last stands.
Trump will easily increase his margin by 100+ delegates this Tuesday. Watching Rove and Cruz flop around with Hannity and Fox – zigging and zagging around the question of ignoring primary voters’ wishes and Trump’s inevitability, thus “establishing” their old boy GOP credentials – is tragically funny.
How many must win primaries must Cruz lose before these people admit Trump has won the nomination?
It’s time to line up behind your man. Wipe your eyes and put away the crying towel, it’s go time with Hillary!!
Last gasp?
Clearly you have little understanding of what lies ahead on the primaries or are badly mis-informed or both lance.
It is practically impossible for trump to get to 1237. It’s been clear that was the case after Wisconsin. And it is equally certain that if trump doesn’t win on the first ballot he has no chance of winning on the second or subsequent ballots.
Trump’s “last gasp” is convincing the GOP that he isn’t the a-hole he has been these past several months. His tone has changed dramatically since Wisconsin (putting to death any pretension that he isn’t a politician like all the others) in pursuit of that. But his recent statements on transgender and abortion will likely hurt him in the forthcoming primaries which are all closed.
The challenge for Cruz is and has been for sometime to convince the GOP that he is the best option for the party. One path could be to get the support of Rubio and kasich prior to the convention and this have enough combined delegates to win on the first ballot. After California he will have about a month to pull that off.
What is also increasingly clear is that trump either refuses to spend any of his own money or doesn’t have the money to spend on his campaign. It is no confidence IMO that he still hasn’t released any tax returns.
Please see my comments above. Trump has less than a 10% chance of winning the nomination let alone the general.
Cruz blocking Trump cannot be helpful to Cruz in this campaign and in his career in general. Trump, since he started his campaign, seems to bring the best in people who follow him, but also unmask people who do not as they use the same tactics as the Left.
Cruz blocking Trump cannot be helpful to Cruz in this campaign and in his career in general. Trump, since he started his campaign, seems to bring the best in people who follow him, but also unmask people who do not as they use the same tactics as the Left.
You don’t grasp the big picture here Gord.
The Repub elites clearly have the fix in for their wringer. The base has told them to shove their trained zipper, they want Trump because he he gets chit done. They may or may not be able to force Trump on the party but they cannot force him on the conservative base. If they do the alt-right will stay home on election night and everyone will lose.
Trump is only perceived as an a-hole by other a-holes is the way it looks to me.
“It’s not like conventions haven’t a history of third place coming up the middle. (Waves at Alberta)”
Dion…that was a shocker.
The final GOP decision will be another shocker. I have appreciated what Trump is doing (going after the Washington elite and standing up for ‘middle America’)but I agree with Gord. Just can’t cheer for the guy. Cruz would do better with a message that agrees with Trump.
So by his tactics Cruz has conceded.
He is officially an also ran.
Next he endorses Trump in exchange for Attorney General or Supreme Court appointment.
Guess even Cruz can hear the fat lady singing.
Trump will slaughter Cruz in CA … maybe even with 75% of the vote. Why ? It’s the economy, stupid ! An economy that PROFITS Big-buisness and cheap immigrant labor at the expense of American citizens. And, Cruz can’t expect his Jezez to gather any votes for him here. Sorry dude, you ain’t in Iowa anymore.
Cruz has stolen, cheated and disrespected voters.
I like Trump although he is a bombastic crude SOB. He needs to change the way he presents himself, and the way he keeps repeating phrases becomes annoying. Cruz is much more presidential and his wife is exceptional. Unfortunately Trump’s wife is not a native born American and still has problems with English. If you’ve ever listened to an interview of the Cruz family I’m sure you would be impressed. They are classy, and both mom and dad are extraordinarily intelligent and speak eloquently about issues. I wouldn’t count out Cruz, but maybe the electorate don’t want someone with principles, much like Canadians didn’t like or want Harper who had principles, but instead opted for empty hair. Should be an exciting convention.
Kasich is a dead man walking. He won’t be leader, he’s in it for himself, to get himself a nice, cushy position, as the apparent kingmaker.
A funny thing might happen on the way to Rome, though…….there are other potential kingmakers, Kasich isn’t the only one.
He’s a blue dog Demo, a CINO
What tactics reveal he has conceded? He’s campaigning where he knows he can win. He’s cleaning trumps clock at the grassroots getting delegates that are available on the ground. Trump is treating flyover country just like a democrat.
The math is irrefutable – trump has nil chance of winning on the first ballot and he can’t win on subsequent ballots – do the math your self if you don’t believe me and thousands of others who have.
Next to David Duke Trump has the highest negative
ratings over any other presidential candidate in US history. This means
in a general election against Hillary, who will most likely be the Democrat nominee, he will lose and lose badly.
Far too many people hate Trump and many with good reason.
Why is that so difficult for so many Republicans to understand? If Trump’s
negative poll ratings were all over the place, then one could argue that
they were questionable, But they’re steady and consistent. In fact if anything
they’ve been steadily creeping higher and higher towards the negative.
Out of the Republican contenders Ted Cruz has the the best chance at beating Hillary in a general
election. If the American people overall want a Republican as president,
the the only choice is Cruz. Trump loses such a contest. Of course if
one’s goal is to get Hillary elected then keep going the way you’re
going and support Trump.
Besides if Cruz can keep Trump at least 100 delegates below 1237 by the time
the Cleveland convention rolls around, he has a fairly good chance of winning the nomination
on second ballet. Knock on wood.
I’m sure Trump will run with or without the Republican nomination, especially if he is cheated out of it. They are way better off embracing Trump this time around and worst case they do it over in 4 years. When Trump starts debating the bug-eyed crazy lady he might have a decent chance. I think he actually has the potential to sway voters.
Lance – In order for a candidate to be on the convention ballet that candidate must have won a minimum of eight states as goes the Republican rules. John Kasich has won one. I don’t think he’ll win any more states. I think John Kasich is there as a spoiler for some reason or he’s secretly playing Trumps tag team partner in hopes for a VP spot should Trump win.
There is no way on God’s green Earth that John Kasich will be on that convention ballet unless the Republican committee decides to change the rules for some reason. it has been said that they won’t.
It may also interest many to know that John Kasich’s delegate strategist Charlie Black and Donald Trump’s campaign manager Paul Manafort are business partner’s in a Washington DC lobbying firm.
As I scratch my chin and go Hmmmm.
In Rafael Edward “Ted” Cruz’ case, a candidate for office who tries to win election by trying to STOP another candidate is pure folly.
It is also unbelievable difficult, if not impossible, to do.
I realize that Mr. Cruz is counting on a contested convention, but, as far as I am concerned, he’s trying to herd cats.
Negatives, smegmatives … Cruz is a wooden puppet and an absolutely Un-electable evangelical nut job. Trump will receive FAR more crossover and moderate Democrat votes than Cruz and his Jeezuzz co-pilot. If Cruz is the nominee … you haven’t seen nothing yet … when it comes to negatives. The LGBTQ&@’;€£%#}{~~
If you look at the Map you might notice that Trump has ALL the Southern States & North Eastern (except Maine)….Trump has Republican in play everywhere with the possible exception of MN , CA, OR, Wash.
The Polls are a total MSM fraud…Trump will blow out Hillary regardless if he runs as a Republican or an Independent…
(There is no There There to Trumps negatives)
The best Option (Deal before Cleveland) for Trump is “Little Marco” for VP & his delegates would put Trump over on the First ballet…Marco would help the Ticket with Hispanics & appeal to Bernie’s younger generation. Marco needs the experience for his future ambitions & the GOP gets it’s pecking order updated.
No ones cheating him. Typical crony capitalist he pisses and moans when someone else works the system better than he does.
A rogue campaign is a losing one. And one that would cost him real money. No way he does that.
The rules for the convention have not been set. The eight state rule was unique to the last convention (to keep Paul off the ballot) and there is a high likelyhood it will be dropped this time around.
Naive theory on your part.
Trump does very poorly in most purple states – Wisconsin, Colorado, etc. And he puts a bunch of red states in jeopardy especially down the ticket. NO ONE has ever won the presidency with such sky high negatives.
What I marvel at is how much is being spent to stop Trump (already in the hundreds of millions) by so-called Republican/conservative donors, when the Clinton machine is budgeting to spend (directly and through super PACs) more than $2 billion for the general election campaign alone. Not that money is the sole determinant of who wins, but Obama spent more than McCain and again spent more than Romney. Of course, the fact that Obama’s get out the vote computer program actually worked on election day, while Romney’s crashed tells you all you need to know about why Obama won. But back to 2016 — it makes no sense to me for right-leaning mega-donors to be throwing tons of money to damage their own party’s likely nominee.
Cruz is the likely nominee. Not trump.
Thus it is entirely logical for money to be spent to help Cruz.
But have they removed the 8 state rule? No they have not. So until it is actually removed the rule remains.I don’t care who says what.If rules are put into place and removed when it suits them on a whim,it would not bode well for the Republican party.People would trust them less then they already do.
I saw this fresh overpass with your name on it. I think you’ll love it.
I agree. Cruz is playing the long game. Also Cruz has been going back to earlier ran states to see if he can get delegates to change their candidate positions for a second ballet. Especially these “winner take all” states like Florida. I hear Cruz has been successful in this.
The GOP establishment will destroy their party if they don’t accept Trump, even without a plurality of delegates. For them, Cruz is jut a stick in the spokes of Trump’s wheel.
It doesn’t matter what arcane convention nomination rules they invoke, this is not 1860 and the public are watching. For them to be seen pulling a fast one will repel the voting population.
Who is publishing those numbers and in what manner are any questions asked? These ‘negative numbers” is just another propaganda ploy.
The GOP doesn’t want Cruz either.
Trump currently leads the GOP POTUS polling in EVERY REMAINING STATE IN THE PRIMARIES. His smallest lead currently is Indiana at 5%, and the largest in Delaware, at 37%, with all others above a 10% lead, many over a 20% lead. Additionally he is gaining momentum and support.
When he had his abortion glitch, he got through it an emerged even stronger. It won’t be a smooth ride, but he’ll get it done IMHO.
Trump leads big time in the delegate rich, winner take all states of Pennsylvania(18%), New Jersey (28%) and California (27%). There’s nothing difficult about the math to put him over the top, far from impossible, more like probable. I’ve tracked this and predict he will finish off with a win in California June 7th, with a total of at least 1330 delegates. Nationally Trump is now carrying over 50% of declared support.
The doubtsayers base their “counts” on falling support for Trump with many apparently changed voters, or machinations of delegates and committees in various states, along with faint hopes of Cruz doing well in this or that district in this or that state; then again maybe the sun won’t come up tomorrow.
If Trump is to be stopped, it won’t be in the primaries. If by some miracle Trump does not get a majority of delegates before convention, he will be so close as to be unstoppable. If Trump were to be denied the nomination with 100 delegates short but 6m votes ahead, the GOP will have to destroy itself as a relevant player in the US democracy to stop him.
Why the frig would they do that, other than to save their phony baloney jobs? The GOP establishment seems intent on losing a third election to what should be a hopelessly flawed candidate. They seem determined to snatch defeat from the clutches of victory.
Gord, do the math instead of your wishful thinking; I have – Trump is so far ahead it’s not even close anymore. Indiana will be the latest last stand of Cruz, the only state he has any chance of victory, albeit small. He’s toast everywhere else.
Ironically, once the also-rans figure this out, it may be the Dems who rip themselves apart. The Hillary investigation has reached the point where it may not be possible for her political cover to activate, if the rumours are true and her email illegal peccadillos pale in comparison to the influence peddling of the Clinton Foundation and her double dipping as Sec of State.
It won’t be hard to convince Americans she used her server specifically to prevent disclosure of her double dealings. Even if charges are not preferred the political damage to her, currently unbeknownst to the general voters due to mediocracy cover, should sink her. If she is charged, she will refuse to step aside and an internecine Dem battle royale will take place.
As voters see more of Clinton, she will lose support while Trump completes his trifecta deal with a relentless, cunning and damaging attack on her credibility, with no Candy Crowley to provide cover. In any event, no way Cruz beats Clinton, who will play the victim and head for the washroom to cry over the terribly insulting way she’s being treated, leaving Cruz gobsmacked and pilloried by the Dem media, who have already tried and failed to do that to Trump. It’s a tough challenge, but only Trump can win for the GOP.
The rules committee doesn’t meet for at least six weeks from now (I’m. Not even sure all of the committee members have been selected yet) so no the rules obviously haven’t been written.
And rule setting has been the standard MO for about 200 years so only whiners would claim it is done on a whim.
Cruz is the true Washington establishment outsider but he generally very well liked by the grassroots non-Washington establishment.
You are lousy at math
And you ignore
South Dakota Nebraska Montana Washington Oregon all of which either have no polling or polling that puts Cruz in the lead.
In California every congressional district is a separate race and from what I hear Cruz has many of them already locked up in places like pelosis district.
My numbers have trump getting around 1050 plus or minus 50.
Trump has had a couple good weeks now that he has become a regular politician – no more lying ted – but it is essentially impossible for him to get above 1200.
Gord, I don’t think you keep abreast of the election news very carefully.
“On the Republican side, front-runner Donald Trump offered his biggest campaign loan yet: $11.5 million. That made up the bulk of his $13.8 million in March spending, and brought his total personal campaign investment to about $36 million.”
SO FAR.
As for Cruz, he recently said that he doesn’t care where the money for his campaign comes from; he was set to meet with Wall Street traders and lawyers and big bank donors.
He has gotten more than that in donations 50.6 million.
He’s a fraud he has no money to run in the general and would be cutting deals left and right to raise cash.
Cruz is just being honest about the need to raise cash. Trump lies.
Trump’s ratings.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/trump_favorableunfavorable-5493.html
“Cruz is the likely nominee. Not trump” Gord Tulk
Cruz would be challenged in Court by Trump &,or Hillary. He was born in Canada and ALL the Legal posturing will not prevent him from been scrutinized by the SCOTUS…He will not be on the ballet for President or VP…Two Turds writing an opinion in the Harvard Law Review is a dead Letter. (The same two turds that made Obama valid) NOT Working This Time…
That is the reason Kasich is still running….
We’ll have to wait and see I guess.
Well said. I prefer Trump, if only to shake the grip of the establishment, but have no problem with Cruz. Someone said Kasich is a RHINO and I would agree, same old, same old.
Completely false.
Plenty of stare decicis on this issue.
Like so many other things trump is lying. He complains about the process in co and elsewhere but does nothing. Phony baloney just like his water, steaks, university, net worth and many of his real estate deals
Several court challenges to Cruz’s citizenship have been tossed out already during this campaign.
I agree with your statement, generally. I prefer Cruz, but Trump will do.
I like Cruz more, because I think he is who he says he is and he’ll do what he says he’ll do.
Trump, on the other hand, was a Clinton Crony and Leftist on every issue, a man so full of himself a person couldn’t tell where the bullshit ends and Trump begins.
I’ve been trying to skewer the “Trump-is-America’s-Saviour+a-bag-of-Chips” meme here because I hate Cult Figures and Trump was trying to be long before he decided to run for POTUS.
Cruz, his wife and his father are Washington establishment insiders.
I’m very suspicious of prosperity gospel evangelical Christians.
Trump polls higher than all others. Please let me know what fraud has to be perpetrated in order to prevent him form becoming the nomine? There have been a great many words written about this but none that are accurate.
I used a spreadsheet. It included the latest polling by state primaries. You are in denial, Gord. For your edification with polling into April 2016:
South Dakota-Trump leads by 16% in poll that included all of both parties’ candidates.
Nebraska-Trump by 9%, all candidates/parties.
Montana-Trump by 23%, all candidates/parties.
Washington-not clear yet proportional race anyway; maybe Cruz could have a meeting without need of a primary vote.
Oregon-Trump by 19% all parties/candidates.
California-Trump GOP poll by 27%, polling over 50% in plurality winner take all state, regardless of “Pelosi districts,” for bigger win than NY.
Now Trump is gaining instead of falling back. Think about it: every scenario of Trump losing assumes he loses support, on the hustings, in primary, then in convention. It simply hasn’t happened.
Think with your head instead of knowing in your heart Gord. The establishment temper tantrum will do more than anything to ensure a Hillary presidency, a very dangerous proposition given her performance as SofState.
“He has gotten more than that in donations 50.6 million.”
Link, please.