The Sound Of Settled Science

German Scientists Show Climate Driven By Natural Cycles

The present “stagnation” of global temperature (Fig. 5) is essentially due to the AMO/PDO: the solar de Vries cycle is presently at its maximum. Around this maximum it changes negligibly. The AMO/PDO is presently beyond its maximum, corresponding to the small decrease of global temperature. Its next minimum will be 2035. The temperature can expected to be then similar to the last AMO/PDO minimum of 1940. Due to the de Vries cycle, the global temperature will drop until 2100 to a value corresponding to the “little ice age” of 1870.

21 Replies to “The Sound Of Settled Science”

  1. Please do not tell Gaia. She is in a very fragile state. Her most loyal accolates will desert her, the alms and prayers will dry and up and then, well who knows. Maybe she’ll just off herself in disgust as guidance for her last believers to mimic her.
    David Suzuki must be so sad today. He has devoted so much of his life promoting this scam and other than few million dollars from the CBC, has nothing to show for it except a tarnished reputation and a failed career.

  2. Remind me again why BC is paying a carbon tax and Redford wants to sequester it at great cost. Must be a reading and comprehension problem with these two.

  3. Money-grab.
    The idea that the weather has cycles certainly isn’t new but is largely ignored by those who have an agenda, either ideological or monetary. No one wants to upset the apple cart and/or gravy train.

  4. Now to see how long this all takes to penetrate. I’d say two years for the more
    responsible of the scientific community, five years for the more responsible
    politicians.
    It has always been evident why the IPCC etc. were in such a hurry. Truth loomed.

  5. B.C. charges a carbon tax for the same reason we all go to work; we/they need the money!
    Gordon Campbell was so busy siphoning off BC Hydro revenues to friends in private power corporations, he milked the cow dry.

  6. Heretics! Saint Suzuki would have them burned at the stake if the carbon footprint wasn’t an issue. Perhaps they can be fed to the starving polar bears that refuse to eat clubbed seal.

  7. John, you are being generous and optimistic to both the academic and political circles. There’s so much political capital and invested reputations of scientific bodies in this hokum that a huge number of the proponents are literally going to have to die off before there will be a major change.
    As for the UNFCCC process, that will never die. UN processes never do. They simply continue a zombie-like existence long after they passed from any relevance.
    Remember, the more hollow and self-evidently false a religious doctrine becomes, the more harshly the religious institution clamps down on theological dissent and heresy.

  8. Seeing as it never had anything to do with anything in the first place, I fail to see how introducing one cup of fact into a swamp of greed politics and lies is gonna change a damn thing..
    The debate is over.. Deals have been signed and the lines are cued.. No time to second guess their best guess on a political hunch.. Its time for action so all our less than useful leftists can emote their feelings.. keep the power and wealth they have so richly not deserved.. Save the reputations they have never earned..
    Remember its important that these people remain important.. The children need them.. Bunny rabbits need them.. Bubbles need them..
    I do hope when the next election rolls around you remember to block out any INCONVENIENT TRUTHS (you know the real kind) and vote based on how much you hate people who try and correct you.. Everybody hates a know it all..

  9. This is something that an Election won’t cure. It will only go away if “they” are targeted and a few are wasted. Then they will band together for protection, like the Jones Cult, and do themselves in!
    The Canadian “Suzuki” is the reincarnation of “Toulouse-Lautrec”
    You should all be so proud!

  10. It’s not what I was hoping to hear. It’s what I’ve thought was the case for about 3-4 years but I’d hoped I was wrong. Darn!!! Cold!!! That’s not neat. Oh well, was out looking at my trees and figured I had a lot of years of firewood out there.

  11. We’ve been very fortunate to live thru the warm period of the cycle – might have to pump more CO2 than ever to counter the downswing.

  12. The smart scientists have been saying for a long time that the human contribution to the GHGs might delay the next ice age, at best.

  13. Come on people this artic freeze over of north America is a obvious product of global warming. Any one that knows anything thing about earth science , will know the hotter things become the colder it gets.

  14. Earth Science Reality Check: the natural cycle of global warming is still happening, however the catastrophic warming that AlGore predicted with his little docudrama never happened. This same warming cycle happened about 1000 years ago, and 1000 years before that, and as far back as we can measure.
    Sit back and enjoy the show, it’s just beginning to get interesting.
    I’m looking forward to even longer growing seasons and much warmer winters.
    Regardless of the weather, winters are still warmer than they were in the 40s. Remember that the coldest recorded temperature in North America occurred in Canada on February 3,1947.
    http://www.keno.org/vws/weather_records_2.htm

  15. These poor disillusioned anti-oilsand “environmental activists” deserve our pity. It was so easy for organizations funded by Big Coal and OPEC to take advantage of their naivete and manipulate them to do their ‘dirty work’. I fault our dysfunctional education system for creating so many over-educated kids who lack any real world common sense.

  16. Many many Ontaxians will be very very angry when the colder years coming will be in lock step with their ever rising electric bills, legacy of SS Dalton McSolarwindmeister. Just wait for the more frequent brownouts and power failures. “Citiots” (Urban humanoids) will then pray for global warming to come back.

  17. Hmm – you may be right. Oh my – one can almost compose lyrics about it –
    “How many eagles will the greenies kill,
    How many bats must die;
    How many kids
    Will freeze to death”,
    to be sung to the tune of “Blown in the Wind”.
    Evidently I am not a great poet but I have lots of feeling!

  18. If China was using Canadian oilsand oil instead of coal, they could reduce their toxic pollution levels to those of North American cities and industries. Small scale thorium based nuclear is the only other energy source to replace fossil fuels for the present population of the planet. China is working on that.
    In the short term, building pipelines to get Canadian crude to China will do more good at reducing the GLOBAL levels of toxic pollutants like sulfur, mercury, and cancerous hydrocarbon residues, than anything else we can feasibly do at this time.
    That’s why the governments of China and Canada are working to make it happen.
    If China wants it to happen, it will happen. They’re a 5000 year old civilization with the largest population on the planet.
    It would be really helpful for the whole planet if activists would focus on making sure we have regulations and enforcement in place to ensure it’s done cleanly and safely, instead of wasting their energies trying to stop it.

  19. N60, all true, but there’s no either/or here. We can and should both reduce real pollutants and build pipelines. Remember that pipeline oil mostly ends up as transport fuel whereas the emissions you refer to come largely from coal-fired electrical generation.
    It would indeed be helpful, but the enviros aren’t interested in being helpful. They want to bring industrial civilization down, not make it better. Mo Strong articulated this very clearlin in Rio ’92.
    John Lewis, it’s a hit with me.

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