Margin Of Fraud

A Quantitative Analysis of Decisive Vote Updates in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia on and after Election Night;

In the early hours of November 4th, 2020, Democratic candidate Joe Biden received several major “vote spikes” that substantially — and decisively — improved his electoral position in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. Much skepticism and uncertainty surrounds these “vote spikes.” Critics point to suspicious vote counting practices, extreme differences between the two major candidates’ vote counts, and the timing of the vote updates, among other factors, to cast doubt on the legitimacy of some of these spikes. While data analysis cannot on its own demonstrate fraud or systemic issues, it can point us to statistically anomalous cases that invite further scrutiny.
 
This is one such case: Our analysis finds that a few key vote updates in competitive states were unusually large in size and had an unusually high Biden-to-Trump ratio. We demonstrate the results differ enough from expected results to be cause for concern.
 
[…]
 
In particular, we are able to quantify the extent of compliance with this property and discover that, of the 8,954 vote updates used in the analysis, these four decisive updates were the 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 7th most anomalous updates in the entire data set. Not only does each of these vote updates not follow the generally observed pattern, but the anomalous behavior of these updates is particularly extreme. That is, these vote updates are outliers of the outliers.
 
The four vote updates in question are:
 
An update in Michigan listed as of 6:31AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 141,258 votes for Joe Biden and 5,968 votes for Donald Trump
 
An update in Wisconsin listed as 3:42AM Central Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 143,379 votes for Joe Biden and 25,163 votes for Donald Trump
 
A vote update in Georgia listed at 1:34AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 136,155 votes for Joe Biden and 29,115 votes for Donald Trump
 
An update in Michigan listed as of 3:50AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 54,497 votes for Joe Biden and 4,718 votes for Donald Trump

h/t Petey

43 Replies to “Margin Of Fraud”

  1. I blame Trump’s loss on the lazy and entitled Millenials who constantly complain about not being able to find a job. That’s why we need more foreign workers to replace them, because immigrants are hard working and natural conservatives.

    The Republican Party should be more like John McCain because he understood the value of a dollar and that the native born simply lack the skills to compete in the global marketplace.

      1. Go play your video games, you SJW snowflake.

        It’s unfortunate that so many young people are brainwashed by the communist Chinese. They hate Israel and they don’t respect their elder public servants like John Bolton.

      1. Well said. Based on exit polls, Trump carried the Black and the Latino vote. Which makes all the perfect sense to replace lazy entitled Millenials with immigrants to do the jobs that they can’t do. Lazy Millenials need to learn that no one is entitled to a job.

    1. He didn’t lose. The election was stolen and only the very stupid or lying democrats think otherwise. A thesis is not necessary.

    2. Yeah, right, keep repeating the RINO meme that “immigrants are natural conservatives”. Look at California if you want proof.

      1. Legal ones tend to be. Lawbreakers, not so much.

        The question is, does someone they trust tell them that there is no such thing as a conservative Democrat anymore?

    3. GB
      John McCain because he understood the value of a dollar
      ********************

      Bull. McCain never saw a war he didn’t love, and he never gave any thought of the cost or the lost of human lives for a meaningless war. Like say Libya or Syria. Yeah Iraq and Afgan too.
      He love to play the jerk part, but that was it.

  2. Guess if they like “social justice” voting results, they’re really going to like the Sharia justice when it overtakes.

    1. I think the communist justice will be far worst than sharia ever was. Give Stalin a call, he made muslims look like saints. You may still be able to get a direct line to the evil bastard.

  3. Unfortunately our masters only listen to science when it gives them what they want
    —usually, an excuse to dispossess people they hate or fear and/or a new, more efficient way of murdering them.

  4. The counting stopped election night so we could get the proper result ‘After Midnight’
    Didn’t Eric Clapton have a song?
    After midnight We gonna let it all hang down
    After midnight We gonna chugalug and shout
    Gonna stimulate some action
    We gonna get some satisfaction
    We gonna find out what it is all about
    After midnight
    Soul gonna be peaches & cream
    Gonna cause talk and suspicion
    We gonna give an exhibition etc. etc.

  5. Now they have power. They won’t give it back. We claw out of the hole and they grab the golden ring.
    Think about their temper tantrums when they lost decisively. We fall for it every time, we can’t stand prosperity.
    They own it all, except for the Senate and SCOTUS.
    They’re days away from controlling it all, Pravda and Tass on steroids, with the richest economy in the world to pilfer.
    They’ll pretend to lead; we’ll pretend we’re not paying for it. They’ll borrow our money so we don’t have to; though we wouldn’t.
    That’s the Great Reset. The problem for these boobs is they aren’t great, except at spending and borrowing your money.
    Their vision is a ridiculous reset away from reality to unattainable and unaccountable perfection, the enemy of our goods.
    “Battling” climate change and its covid warmup, gender inequality, along with idiotic notions of income inequality.
    Which the data belies 101. Income redistribution covid style is from small business to big business.
    Seen Walmart’s profits lately? How about the tech oligarchs, who don’t seem to care about their overvalued businesses.
    Remember that wage gap? The poor are poorer but the rich are not less rich, as Thatcher had opined about statism.
    This is public enterprise with its very own economy. Bulletproof, always enough to go around via the peasants.
    The Road to Serfdom is the next off ramp, if Dems continue to prevail and our boy blunder gets away with his plunder.

    1. It’ll be hilarious watching conservatives cry about fiscal responsibility again after sitting on their thumbs for four years,
      while Trump ran up the biggest deficits in history during an already booming economy.

      1. It’s hilarious watching leftists who don’t know what they’re talking about won’t understand accumulated, shall we say progressive debt, continues to burden governments, with Obama doubling the federal debt in his tenure, helped by the neocon warmonger George Bush. We “conservatives” have rejected that top down garbage. You dwell in stereotypes.

        Yes, and Harper added hundred of millions to the debt. No, blunder boy’s daddy’s debt. Don’t BS us with “that was paid off,” unless you can renegotiate your mortgage to zero. No sonny triples his errors, set to destroy what’s left of free enterprise, as the new age leftist crony capitalists swill at the peasants’ trough. You have zero clue what a conservative is.

        Welcome to the New Reset idea of income redistribution.

        From hardworking wage slaves and small business to filthy rich tech oligarchs, who then sprinkle the lucre to their political pawns, who get rich feeding off the carcass of the productive economy.

        Then math is unnecessary for leftists and their first derivative so-called progressive conservatives. You should get out more.

        OK I have to admit, that was fun.

  6. The commiecrats telegraphed this months in advance. Someone said they are so blatant about this what are they hiding..

    1. Exactly. They softened up the public and media when they forecast their playbook, saying …

      “Trump will be in the lead, until the very end when all the Mail-in votes are tallied, and then Biden will overtake him”

      They said this, because they needed a “plausible deniability” for their last minute vote fraud. Their pump and dump of fraudulent ballots, when Trump’s Uuuuge vote numbers began to overwhelm their theft scheme. If the courts do not order this vote to be forensically deconstructed with anal-probe detail … then America will NEVER have another legitimate election … EVER again. I fear the feckless court(s) (SCOTUS included) will simply acquiesce to leftist vote fraud … and claim our “institution” of the vote franchise is just fine. It’s not.

      And the monolith monopolized Tech behemoths need to get some muckraking treatment, as well. The manipulation of this election and the electorate is soul crushing … just like British taxation of the 18th Century. But the ultimate response by American Patriots will be the same. The moral half of America will not allow the outright THEFT of our Freedom and Liberty.

  7. Probabilities or outliers won’t get the paste back in the tube.
    I know that you know that I know you cheated won’t change anything.
    Trump will be looking for some type of immunity from The Old Fool that he’ll keep the bastards off him once he’s a private citizen again.
    If he doesn’t get that then all bets are off.

  8. Sidney Powell sidekick and attorney Lin Wood now telling folks the oft quoted “Kraken” isn’t from the movie “Clash of the Titans” at all but is actually the name of a Department of Defense cyber warfare program used to collect evidence of malevolent actors within the country and elsewhere.
    Hmmmm…imagine that.

    He’s also asking folks if they’d like to know the truth about Bill Gates, Soros, Clinton and John Roberts with respect to Epstein’s flight logs.
    Of course we’ve heard that one before. Put up or shut up Lin.

      1. Yes it is – “Kraken” is referenced quite a few times in different scenarios over the past few years. For me I’m always reminded of a brand of rum I used to drink whenever I hear it. Heavy emphasis on the “used to”.
        Anyways, I think Powell’s “release the kraken” was taken from the movie Clash of the Titans.

        But I get your point.

    1. Excellent! When do we get a heads up from the Thee Bee Thee, because WE are a part of Five Eyes, right? Right?
      I’m constantly amazed how the Bidenettes have him crowned, before the actual Coronation. Reminds me of a movie line I once heard: “Day’s not done, yet”.

  9. Biden got the mail-ins due to Covid.

    His whole campaign was Covid themed and the paranoid Covid types mailed it in.

    Trump voters are old school and didn’t trust the mail-ins. They didn’t fear Covid and voted in person.

    The mail-ins were last counted. Thus the changes at 3am.

    It’s not a conspiracy.

    1. Hundred of thousands of mail in ballots traveled backwards through time and were opened a few days before they were mailed, according to postmarks. Also, were able to be mailed without being folded into an envelope.

  10. On one side is a leader with mutual respect and appreciation with his supporters. They just want to be left alone.

    On the other is a leader, who knows what his supporters think of him, who promises to destroy the other side. This side will use every lever, including doxing opponents and their children, to gain power.

    Which side are you on?

    1. “Trump campaign sued for attempting to disenfranchise Black voters”

      They’re about to learn about this little thing called “discovery’…

        1. This is not going to end well for some people. The Trump forces are upping the ante at every turn, forcing the anti Trumpists to reveal their hands. They are following the Constitution and forcing their opposition into a corner they don’t control. Last stop, the bullet box. The first hint will be the riots start up. Flynn was pardoned today. He’s free and clear now. Pieces are moving on the board. Three weeks to go.

  11. One would either have to be an idiot to believe Biden won or absolutely okay with how he won to believe or pretend to believe it.

  12. Stats can’t prove election fraud according to the Democrats.
    But they can prove “white privilege” and “male dominance in the patriarchy” and “systemic discrimination” “climate change” etc etc etc.

    I wonder if they see the conflict?

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