Science writers at The Economist explore one of the known problems with climate modeling:
Psychologically, people tend to be Bayesian—to the extent of often making false connections. And that risk of false connection is why scientists like Pascal’s version of the world. It appears to be objective. But when models are built, it is almost impossible to avoid including Bayesian-style prior assumptions in them. By failing to acknowledge that, model builders risk making serious mistakes.
The layman-level example they provide shows just how fundamental an issue this is.
Yes John Lewis.
Another interesting take on world climate is in the book ‘Not by Fire, But by Ice”