Back in January, I attended a talk by Peter Zeihan in which he openly mocked the Russian army for losing so much hardware during the initial invasion of the Ukraine that they were forced to ferry men and material to the front in civilian vans. I have no idea where his information came from, but the reality is that collapse of the Russian war effort is about as imminent as an earthquake in Manitoba.
When the conflict began, I sensed that a WWI stalemate would be the likely outcome. Now it’s just a matter of waiting for mass desertions or mutiny among the Ukrainian forces to completely upend the West’s strategy.
Ukraine’s military chief, Gen. Valery Zaluzhny, says in a long essay and interview with the Economist that “just like in the First World War we have reached the level of technology that puts us into a stalemate.”
He acknowledges: “There will most likely be no deep and beautiful breakthrough,” but instead an equilibrium of devastating losses and destruction.
U.S. and European officials have begun quietly talking to the Ukrainian government about what possible peace negotiations with Russia might entail to end the war, according to one current senior U.S. official and one former senior U.S. official familiar with the discussions.
The conversations have included very broad outlines of what Ukraine might need to give up to reach a deal, the officials said. Some of the talks, which officials described as delicate, took place last month during a meeting of representatives from more than 50 nations supporting Ukraine, including NATO members, known as the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, the officials said.
You haven’t sensed anything, you’re just parroting. Russian offensive capability is greatly reduced, that is the collapse Zeihan was talking about and he was right. Had russia had the offensive capability russia (and Pootin fanboys) claimed russia had, Ukraine would no longer exist.
Zaluzhny has been banging the same drum form day 1. Thanks to his (among others) efforts Ukraine is getting the weapons they need to keep defending their country from the orc invasion. Film at 11.
@colonista
Well the good part is that your self proclaimed military expertise either proves correct – or – you’re simply a lying bigot attempting to sell everyone bullsh*t so that they don’t promote peace and an end to the killing.
The good news is that we all have the luxury of waiting it out to see which is true.
Liar I don’t know about, bigot definately.
You must be one of those nuanced people who see two sides to genocide.
I see two sides to how people use that word.
“You must be one of those nuanced people who see two sides to genocide.”
No, he’s just intelligent enough to understand what the word ‘genocide’ actually means, and he doesn’t confuse it with the word ‘war’, nor the day-to-day actions one might expect in such conflict.
@John s – “Liar I don’t know about, bigot definately.”
I go with Bigot. A few examples we have many months of them…..
Colonialista
July 18, 2023 at 3:16 pm
“Ocs, Siberian Mongols, Huns, Gooks, Charlie, Haji, Japs, it is a long tradition that I do not intend to abandon in PCville.”
Here’s Colonistas praise for 14th Waffen-SS Grenadier Division murderer applauded in Canadian Parliament.
Colonialista
September 26, 2023 at 4:28 pm
“So many pearl clutching concerned trolls gathered above they could start an orc centipede. The man deserves credit for killing russians he does not need to be perfect.”
…..”he does not need to be perfect” – uh yea calling him a bigot is being kind.
Both statements are absolutely correct. But they are pretty mild.
Muscovy delenda est (don’t forget the salt).
“14th Waffen-SS Grenadier Division murderer”
Veteran not murderer, there is no evidence that he participated in any murder or war crime.
@cgh
“Russia has indeed exhausted its ability to fight any sort of modern war, if indeed it ever had any such ability”
I though Russia was supposed to invade Europe and take on the whole world after it finished with Ukraine? That’s what everyone said, still are as a matter O’fact.
Actually that is what several russian pundits and politicians were saying and are saying on orc state TV and what BDSM and The Awful Truth aka Kahane Tzedek were/are saying. It is also close to demands Pootin was making half a year before the war. The fact that your bellowed orcs proven inept (as they normally prove) is coincidental. They still need to be neutered. They are still collapsing.
What happened to the reply to my post from cgh?
You’re the strategical genius, why haven’t you figured that out?
I would hazard a guess that you nazi collaborators are finally starting to get kicked, keep going.
Personally I like the fact that you are showing fellow Canadians/ Americans what ugly people live among us. That’s what we citizens need to understand to take action on our governments. But of course private business do have rights as they should.
“Ukraine is getting the weapons they need…”
ROLMFAO
Don’t quote fragments out of context you cheap whore.
Well, aren’t you Mr. Moneybags! I think he’s plenty expensive.
The only reason Ukraine is news today is because the cowardly West didn’t kick pootin’s KGB arse when he invaded The Crimea.
Exactly right. Or earlier when he invaded Georgia.
“The only reason Ukraine is news today is because the cowardly West didn’t kick pootin’s KGB arse when he invaded The Crimea.”
Might have something to do with the fact that ‘the West’ actually fomented the crisis that directly led to that invasion. Or perhaps they just didn’t want to start a war that they had no political stake in with another nuclear power, especially one ruled by someone like Vladimir Putin.
Putin didn’t need to invade Ukraine
joke
Try keeping up, the war started in 2014, and stotlenberg, who ain’t Amish, has said so twice now. stolty is SG of NATO. Hollender X president of France, told the Russian trolls, that the Minsk accord was to give time to arm and train the ukes
Gym
Putin didn’t need to invade Ukraine.
Surely someone like yourself, who professes to be intelligent, can figure out at least a few of his other options?
“Putin didn’t need to invade Ukraine”
And the US didn’t need to orchestrate the overthrow of the democratically elected Ukrainian government. What’s your point?
Fred
The point is quite simple: Putin didn’t need to invade Ukraine.
Surely, someone like yourself, who professes to be intelligent, can come up with a few other options for Putin?
Ok let’s be honest here, the only person who considers Freddie intelligent is Freddie himself.
“Fred
The point is quite simple: Putin didn’t need to invade Ukraine.”
(yes, and water is wet and night is dark…so what?)
And my point still stands: the US didn’t need to PROVOKE that invasion, did they? Yes or no?
(or are you just trolling here?)
“Surely, someone like yourself, who professes to be intelligent, can come up with a few other options for Putin?”
Maybe, but why bother? Putin’s invasion was a clear FU to the west. He could have chosen otherwise, but he was pissed. Not a wise move by the US in retrospect.
I don’t see what his alternative was. I certainly think he showed more restraint than America France or England would have, given the circumstances.
“I don’t see what his alternative was. I certainly think he showed more restraint than America France or England would have, given the circumstances.”
Exactly, John. After the broken promises of NATO moving “not one inch East”, the electoral interference in 2014 and the broken promise of a referendum and cessation of the ethnic cleansing by neo-Nazis in the Donbass, what real choice was he left with? More ‘negotiation’ with proven liars?
Still not a big Putin fan, but the West asked for this.
So at 5 AM on February 24, 2022, when news of the Russian invasion swept around the globe, you thought “Hmmmm, sounds like an imminent stalemate.”
Going to have to see the receipts for that one.
There is the real possibility that history will rhyme and there will be a change of leaders in Russia that results in a major change in the course of the war.
Or maybe the same happens in Ukraine.
Just as there is a real possibility that the US abandons its ally and leaves them to the wolf at their door which bring Ukraine back into the Russian Empire.
Because Ukraine bad/corrupt (and Russia not?)
My money is on the latter.
“My money is on the latter.”
Mine too. It’s starting already, with more western nations cutting funding of the war effort and open revolts by Zelensky’s military commanders. He has to make a move, and quickly.
Neither side willing or able to commit war crimes to win this thing.. Neither side willing to play the “kid gloves” big offensive that will put them in the open and end in defeat.. Face it, neither side has been degraded enough for that..
Nobody is out of anything.. They are BOTH holding back to crush the other sides big offensive.. A war you cant win but you sure could lose.. Political games that has cost 100 000 lives.. Blame?.. take your pick because its just as dysfunctional as the situation..
The MIC has won big time. Everything else is unimportant to the elites.
“The MIC has won big time. Everything else is unimportant to the elites.”
Yes, that’s exactly the case. Most political conflicts can be directly linked to “follow the money”, I find…
@rroe – “there will be a change of leaders in Russia that results in a major change in the course of the war.”
That can happen in the west as well, Trump for example “wants to end the killing”. Change can always go the other direction than expected, there are “hardliners” beyond what people think as simply “Putin” in and around the Kremlin as well.
collapse of the Russian war effort is about as imminent as an earthquake in Manitoba.
There are a few scenarios where the Russian army could collapse. One is an organized uprising among the Russian troops, similar to the Wagner Group. Another is the death or overthrow of Putin.
The first doesn’t seem likely, but who knows how long Putin will stay around? Both have better odds than an earthquake in Manitoba.
From what I can tell, Putin is very popular in Russia.
“From what I can tell, Putin is very popular in Russia.”
He is. Seems counter-intuitive, but you have to understand the Russian mindset as shaped by their history.
Bingo.
“Seems counter-intuitive, but you have to understand the Russian mindset as shaped by their history.”
That is accidentally very astute of you. Orcs have been whipped into submission for countless generations. They have never been free. When communism fell they did not take advantage of freedom. While every civilized country around them rejoiced, orcs lamented that none fears them anymore. That is why survivors of Bucha massacre for example, all recall how orcs were genuinely offended that regular Ukrainians had it so well. “Who let you live so well?” was the common expression of disbelief and hatred for those who had it better than orcs could ever dream of having.
Russians are a nation of mongrels, of mental slaves, cynical, fatalistic and vicious. They have never free been and their biggest high is when they get to subjugate others. Here is a perfect russian: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8B0Tw9iVpjE viscious, sadistic yet always ready to lick the boot of his master.
Muscovy delenda est.
“The first doesn’t seem likely, but who knows how long Putin will stay around? Both have better odds than an earthquake in Manitoba.”
Yes, but neither is as likely as Zelensky being forced out.
If there are honest historians in the future, they will report that the conflict in Ukraine (whatever Putin chooses to call it, a war of invasion) was a long drawn-out affair (if not a stalemate) that was of benefit only to a very few people in elites of both western nations and Russia. And that always causes me to wonder if Putin and his supposed foes in NATO countries are not somehow in collusion behind the scenes. Putin does have the same WEF background and is essentially a globalist type socialist, even if he has chosen to leave the fold (over the globo-homo agenda and interference of the Soros-driven agenda).
I pray this conflict would end in a way that would allow a vast majority of territory to stay with Ukraine and civilians on both sides to return to a peaceful existence, but who in the powers that be wants that when cash is rolling in from dividends of corporations supplying war machines on both sides?
The carnage of World War One (Great War, great for a few anyway) led working class people to conclude that rich elites were using them to make fortunes, and it affected political reality for all of the 20th century. This Ukraine business will have a similar effect, even though globalists who are socialists are the only ones to benefit. Logically, the world around us should be driving people in large numbers to conservative and especially small-government-conservative political options, but instead it is creating fake crises for socialists to “solve” or to use the correct term, address … and the address does not really exist so people never get delivery.
This war is a waste of human lives. Thousands die for nothing. Armchair generals salivate over video of folks getting killed. Pundits use chess terms like stalemate. Politicians talk about evil and freedom. None of the above fight, or die or sacrifice their loved ones. They will be sure to attend remembrance day ceremonies though.
This is a war about war for profit, and politics in the US. History has shown that when the wind shifts in US politics, the war will end and the Ukraine, and it’s lost generations will be forgotten .
@John s
+++Bingo, well said.
John S -Yours is the most sensible comment . Wars only end in defeat of one side or negotiation ( which could be the result of stalemate) . Trump could negotiate an end ,but it is clear to me he will not be allowed to be President. Far to many mostly young people pay the price and there would be a lot more hesitation if the leaders were first in line. I dare say the leaders we have wouldn’t take the job.
“Thousands die for nothing.”
No, they die defending the freedom of their families, their country, their way of life from the Siberian Mongol horde that wants them subjugated.
And yes, every time an orc is made good, Baby Jesus smiles.
“No, they die defending the freedom of their families….”
Not you of course, you just help them die as best you can.
Yeah, that’s just nonsense talk. I know you are trying t provoke with you or talk but forget, I have been through this with you before.
Your talk of wars for freedom is BS propaganda straight from our war mongering neighbours to the south. It’s a cowards refrain, uttered by people who will not fight to get young brave men to kill and die for a fake cause.
There is no freedom side in this fight . There is no possible victory scenario either, that was lost under the pile of bodies created by this abomination of a fake war.
Wars going from wars of maneuvering to entrenched stalemates is almost inevitable if one side is not victorious.
Look at WW1. Germany attacked and there were big calvary maneuvers, etc. then it ended up in brutal wasteful trench warfare with thousands of casualties in futile frontal attacks.
Look at Korea. The South was pushed into the Pusan Perimeter and almost into the sea. Then we fought all the way to the Yalu, and then the Chinese pushed back and captured Seoul. The last year of the war was trnch warfare and artillery battles.
Ukraine has been trench warfare and artillery battles since January 2023. They are very costly in terms of casualties when you attack prepared defenses.
Ukraine has a lot less people and is likely to run out of soldiers before Russia.
Who cares. Not one penny more. Not our problem.
“Who cares. Not one penny more. Not our problem.”
It shouldn’t be, should it? The Europeans should be dealing with this….and probably would be if the US hadn’t started the whole conflict. What a waste of time, money and lives.
Let’s not forget that when this is over, it’s not over.
The west and especially Europe will be dealing with refugee’s and black-market weapons on the streets for years or decades to come once the actual dust settles.
There will be hundreds of thousands of amputees and disabled poor people wandering eastern Europe with allot of grudges to settle that weren’t there before. Drugs & crime like a cancer.
The longer it goes on the worse it’ll get.
I know what you would’ve said when Hitler invaded Sudetenland in 1938.
“I know what you would’ve said when Hitler invaded Sudetenland in 1938.”
Not even remotely close to being the same thing. Nowhere near it.
(now back to the kiddie table with you…the adults are trying to have a serious conversation, okay?…)
(now back to the kiddie table with you…the adults are trying to have a serious conversation, okay?…)
It is supper cute when you say it while drooling on your bib and banging the sippy cup against your highchair.
“It is supper cute when you say it while drooling on your bib and banging the sippy cup against your highchair.”
You’re almost as precious as Allan himself. Yes, it’s “supper” cute when I do that.
(pro tip: proofread your insults before you post them, loser…)
Is it Godwin’s law? I am too lazy to google it. Not as lazy as your argument though.
On a serious note, maybe, just maybe it’s time (after almost 80 years) that we stopping looking at WW2 as the holy grail of 20:20 lost causes.
Peter Zeihan seems to be a mouthpiece for the usual big government propaganda in the West. Does he disagree with any of the mainstream claptrap?
Spook. Fed.
POS.
I regarded Peter Zeihan as just another blowhard pseudo-expert grifting by predicting the imminent fall of Russia/China. Then I learned from somebody who really loathes him:
https://twitter.com/Michael_Yon/status/1716488494531465299
“ Watch — as 5x Jab-victim and victimizer
@PeterZeihan
continues to push the jab…while actively sick. Zeihan is an actress promoting Open Borders, Ukraine war, that US borders are completely secure, and claims there is no chance of major players piling into Israel/Gaza war — even after they already have. Those who serve up Peter Zeihan cannot be trusted to see through even the thinnest deceptions.”
I have mixed feelings. I had a scientist friend in Crimea, who has since flee the area because of the Ukrainans not the Russians. He described to me long before the Russian invasion how bad it was to be an ethnic Russian in Zelensky’s Ukraine under the Azov Nazis. Now I think Putin is brutal criminal murderer. But I also think Zelensky is too. Historically this big chunk of mostly Russian land with mostly ethnic Russians was grafted onto the Ukraine in past war settlements and the treatment they got from the Ukrainian majority was not exactly loving and brotherly. Divide up the place and make peace, otherwise a pox on both their houses.
Yeah. So do i. mixed feelings. I’ve decided those feelings are let them fight it out.
F’em.
Exactly
The dancing clown should sell his various properties and donate it to the UKR cause today. It’s only fair. Then pick up a rifle and head to the front to support what troops remain.
bverwey
When the initial Russian offensive failed, I was certain that a WWI style attritional stalemate would soon follow. In that, I was correct. For the last year or so, the front lines have been effectively static, and the casualties damn close to apocalyptic. It is a situation that can an will continue for as long as both sides have soldiers to lose. And then the side that runs out loses the war. Given the vast population disparity between Russia and the Ukraine, we all know who is going to run out of soldiers first, and it won’t be Russia.
The only question is, how much longer can this go on before the Ukrainians give up?
“how much longer can this go on before the Ukrainians give up?”
1. We stop feeding them money & weapons.
2. To the last Ukrainian.
3. Zelensky & friends bolt for the door with the loot.
4. US/ NATO end up sending boots on the ground, potentially Russia then nukes.
Those of us with any sense have been suggesting a negotiated peace is the only logical solution. But the Lindsay Grahams of this world want to fight to the last Ukrainian. I wonder why. Oh, right! Follow the money.
Thomas
And when Putin sent a letter to the USA dep. of State, they just ignored him. When Putin held back and didn’t flatten Kyiv and wanted to negotiate, Boris and O’Butthole (lets be honest with ourselves, O’Butthole is running the WH, not o’biden) stopped that. So, the USA and Britten should be held accountable for all these needless deaths. And the short freak, the Z man should also be held accountable for not ending this mess. As to stalemate , only in the minds and dreams of the uninform ignoranties and BULLSHITTERS. Russia is coming on stream with a new and relatively cheap killer drone, that is very effective. Russia is producing them at about 30k/monthly.
Russia is in the winning position because the battle lines are in Ukraine. If things go bad they retreat to the old borders. The nuke threat will be levied then. Ukraine has lost half of it’s population. Those that could leave did. Infrastructure is in shambles. No one will be coming back. Russia is selling crude oil to India that refines it then sells it to the USA. There is way more going on over there that they don’t let us know.
There are great parallels between the Athenian Delian League and the US’s NATO. Russia is in the winning position because the globalists became arrogant and greedy.
Do the Russian-occupied regions want to return to Ukraine?
if the answer is no, and it has always seemed that way, foreign support for Ukraine is absurd and the Ukrainian government has destroyed its country and people out of madness, greed or megalomania.
27% of Ukrainians were/are Russians. And in the West, they are Poles and Rumanians and Hungarians.
In January 2025 President Trump will return and will be far too busy cleaning house Stateside to bother with “Ukraine” even if he cared to. Zelensky has 18 months before the Russians drive him from Kiev, his own generals overthrow him and sue for peace on Putin’s terms, or he commits suicide in expectation of dying in a Russian prison, because the Israelis laughed at him when he asked for asylum. Such is the fate of Jewish false Messiahs.
“Palestine” is not a country, as neither is “Ukraine.” They are rebel provinces of Israel and Russia whose leaders are backed by enemies of the Jewish and Russian peoples.
If the people controlling Joe Biden were serious about ending both wars, they could do it tomorrow. Recognize Jewish sovereignty throughout the land of Israel and Russian sovereignty in all the Russias, and stop interfering in Jerusalem’s and Moscow’s attempts to restore Jewish and Russian law in their territory. Within weeks “Palestinian” and “Ukrainian” resistance would collapse, with any rebel foot soldier who values his life surrendering to government forces or fleeing towards western Europe, or taking to the Mediterranean Sea.
Your niece at university would be inconsolable for a few days or weeks, as would the lisping queer who keeps body and soul together as an adjunct teaching her and other gullible teenagers sociology. Then she’ll find something else to patronize her elders about, and dodge questions about if she ever plans to move out, never mind find a husband.
The “First Nations” are perfect. Nobody in a position to do anything about that problem has any intention of properly dealing with it.
You know, a key part of how the American West was won was by putting down rebellions by unruly savages who threatened the lives of Americans. I shudder to think what North America would look like today if Russia and Israel were sending the Indians money for rockets to shell New York, Chicago and Los Angeles—or Toronto.
President Trump won’t clean house. He had four years to clean house and didn’t.
Note: in 2024 I’ll vote Trump.
Why? Cause Trump will be better than Biden.
But Trump won’t clean house.
I think he will be an avenging angel. He was naive and deceived the first time; he is no longer. First act will be the firing of all the “intelligence” chiefs, heads of the DND and FBI. Bye-bye Nuland. Assuming he is not assassinated beforehand. I pray God will look after him until Jan 6 2025, and after. The world needs Trump!
Robert
“He was naive “, and trusting,but he knows better now.
But that dickweed posting before may never know better, the antisemitic POS.
I believe one factor that is totally being underestimated is the lengths the cabal and there friends in Washington are willing to go to in order to maintain control. That may well include starting a war ,martial law , or civil war. We know what they have done and are doing, we have no idea how far they will go!
Well if Trump can’t then none of the other candidates will for certain.
The best thing going for Trump is that he’s had practice and knows his way around much better than he did with his first 4 years. I’m betting that he’s pissed and determined now, hopefully with a plan to clean house in the next 4.
“The best thing going for Trump is that he’s had practice and knows his way around much better than he did with his first 4 years. I’m betting that he’s pissed and determined now, hopefully with a plan to clean house in the next 4.”
Well said, Paul. That’s my hope as well.
Trump won’t clean house? Might want to rethink that one.
Putin would not kill Zelensky, he’s far to subtle for that. He will allow him to live out his life in Ignomy, which is the major city on the Island of Shame.
“Putin would not kill Zelensky”
I agree 100% not now, once the dust settles though it’ll be well understood that Zelensky has few friends. Just say’n maybe yea, maybe no.
“I agree 100% not now, once the dust settles though it’ll be well understood that Zelensky has few friends. ”
He can buy as many friends as he wants, with all the millions he has stolen.
I suppose it’s not certain that Putin might have Zelensky shot.
Bibi might insist on Israel’s having the privilege of sending Zelensky to join Eichmann in hell.
LOL, this is about as likely to happen as you getting it up.
Hillary on the other hand……
“Palestine” is not a country, as neither is “Ukraine.” They are rebel provinces of Israel and Russia whose leaders are backed by enemies of the Jewish and Russian peoples.
What kind of revisionist history is this? Are you not aware of the Belovezha Accords? Budapest memorandum? Here you are making grand statements and you aren’t even aware of history.
Ukraine does not belong to Russia.
Man the commentary here has really gone downhill. Seems to have started in 2016 sometime.
I’d say an Earthquake in Manitoba is more likely than a Tsunami in Germany, yet the German government has shut down all nuclear power because of that risk. Idiots.
The realization that Russia is not going to lose this war is not exactly news. Some fairly credible people predicted that 6 months after the conflict began. For those just catching up now to this reality, some research into how “color revolutions” work may assist in understanding what happened .
Zelensky has destroyed his country, perhaps for his own ego. Putin will be the least of his worries.
2023 isn’t even over and we have the dumbest comment of the year.
This war is 100% on Putin. You are absolutely delusional if you think otherwise
We have that winner now, anyway. Congrats Allan.
“We have that winner now, anyway. Congrats Allan.”
He’s in a category of his own, for sure.
Is there a sense within the US Democrats that they need to actually see if they can end this war before next year’s primary season and federal election?
Their worst case scenario would be Trump being re-elected and putting together an end to the war in the last week of January 2026
Keep up the gab folks. The Russian war with the Ukraine will end when Russia wants it to end.
So what you’re saying is we have to make it painful enough for Russia that they cry uncle.
“So what you’re saying is we have to make it painful enough for Russia that they cry uncle.”
I’ve always been curious, Allan…what color IS the sky in your world?
No, what most of them are saying is, “you’re not killing enough kids! More dead kids, dammit!”
“Keep up the gab folks. The Russian war with the Ukraine will end when Russia wants it to end.”
Truer words never spoken.
Purported to be a Russian anti-tank missile attack on Ukrainian targets.
Changing technology seems to turn tanks into targets.
https://media.gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/152/102/164/playable/aea1802961612fb6.mp4
“Now it’s just a matter of waiting for mass desertions or mutiny among the Ukrainian forces”
I have no idea where this comment comes from. Ukrainians are fighting for their country and freedom, what are the Russians fighting for?
We’ve already seen mass desertions and Russians who want to fight on Ukraines side. We’ve also seen pilots take equipment over to Ukraine and desert.
Then you have Russia still making the same mistakes over and over again. Around Zaprozhzhia Ukraine still managed 1:1 losses while gaining ground. Russia still seems to be fine with 3:1 or 4:1 losses on the offensive. Around Avdviivka its even higher.
What evidence do you have that Ukraine would capitulate first? I don’t see it.
– What evidence do you have that Ukraine would capitulate first? I don’t see it.
It won’t be a question of Ukraine capitulating, they’ll carry on as long as the West supplies them with arms.
It’ll be down to Washington or Moscow capitulating. If NBC News is reporting on behind the scenes “peace” pressure from the US government, it’s probably because they’re being briefed on it by that government. On the face of it it would seem that Washington is about to throw in the towel. It could just be a factional thing (undermining Biden to swap him out or something) but it doesn’t look good.
This was Putin’s gamble all along, of course; that the Western democracies are weak and short-termist. It’s never a bad bet. To be fair they’ve lasted longer than I thought they would.
But I thought western aid wouldn’t make any difference, Ukraine would fall within weeks?
It’s so hard to keep up with these ever changing delusions.
“But I thought western aid wouldn’t make any difference, Ukraine would fall within weeks?
It’s so hard to keep up with these ever changing delusions.”
Who here said that?
Might not want to use the earth quake frequency of the New York City area as a measure. Ex see revised structural and geologic estimates for the area.
Funny story. In ‘44. Folks were asleep in their beds. Rattler came past the beds shook and voila.
Site is thick deposit of glacial till over bedrock. So felt quakes are not a proof. But recent studies indicate Manhattan and parts of Queens are subjected to stressed rock. You could look it up in words a Yankee.
It is impossible to get any real sense of Ukraine’s situation from the MSM. One has to dig far beneath the scenes to get any idea of what’s going on. But the goals of the SMO were made clear at the start, and any review of the alternate press would confirm these results:
* Liberation of the Donbas republics – done, more or less.
* Demilitarization of Ukraine – in process, and precisely why Russia has acted as it has. A quick victory would have left the Ukraine army more or less intact for another go. Dragging it out ensures that Ukraine’s army will be devastated. Note that many observers suggest the casualty rate is 7:1, with Ukraine on the wrong end of that metric.
* Denazification of Ukraine – on going, but difficult to say from our vantage point how successfully it is working
Russia’s more than happy to continue its slo-mo grinding of Ukraine’s armed forces away. As Zaluhny noted in the Economist, the information war of drones, radar, etc. has taken away almost all the element of surprise. Those expecting big breakouts have been watching too many WWII movies. That era is gone.
Please provide me the exact details – definition of Ukrainian nazism which requires such “fumigation”, demographic and numbers statistics, positions of power of “Ukrainian Nazis” within the administration, examples of Nazi-fascist behaviours that require a complete DE-Nazification. Oh, and provide some backgound about whether the prevalence of such “Ukrainian Nazis” is significantly greater than many other nations in the West and on the earth.
I’m so sick and tired of this trope. The idea that Ukraine is full of Nazis that are ready to continue Hitler’s policies is absurd.
Check the safety of Jews and other marginalized groups in Ukraine versus Russia and any of the Russian Federation. Putin and other Russians have repeated that if Ukraine will not be Russian then it will be for no one. Sure sounds pretty similar to Palestinian and other imperialist but truly insane rantings like a Hitler than anything any right of centre Ukrainian has said.
Further to the update about stronger Western nations quietly (??) nudging Zelensky to give in and mutinies: I would put on the table, sure, immediate acceptance of Ukraine into NATO currently held areas under Ukraine control and any possible boundaries of Ukraine set by the deal. Withdrawl of ANY Russian offensive forces in the disputed areas including Crimea immediately and only defensive and administrative forces to be left in place. Administration and oversight by the UN and the Security Council of all civil responsibilities in the disputed areas. After a period of de-escalation and re-build of the devastated lands the Russians hold, a time-line for those areas to self-determine.