Atlantic Hurricane Trends and Mortality Updated
The title above is from the once respected Daily Telegraph in the UK. This post updates the one earlier this week to take account of information gathered through the high quality commentary.
The frequency of Atlantic hurricanes making landfall has not increased since 1880. The reported increase in the frequency of all hurricanes can be explained by under-recording in the pre-flight, pre-satellite era. The accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index in the North Atlantic has been flat since 1950. Changes in ACE with time may be associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and clearly has nothing to do with CO2 emissions. The maximum intensity of hurricanes has not increased with time. Nor has the normalised cost of hurricane damage increased in the USA.
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