Category: Drill, Baby, Drill

Reject Net Zero by 2050, says Sask United

Nadine Wilson. Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan

 

Several commenters on SDA frequently point out if you accept the premise of your opponent’s argument, you’ve already lost. Looks like that’s what the Saskatchewan United Party is saying here.

Saskatchewan United Party calls on Sask Party government to reject Net Zero by 2050 policy. Leader Nadine Wilson says the Sask Party government seeks to shut down coal and natural gas for wind and solar, gets punted from assembly for calling government liars.

NDP calls for break on fuel tax, finance minister says it would be temporary

Wind peters out in Alberta, yet again, on Wednesday

Op-Ed: Kaase Gbakon: A (Hungry?) Tiger in Your Tank: Part 2

 

A plan to save coal, power generation, and the oil industry in SE Sask

Boundary Dam Power Station

What if there was a way to keep coal mining jobs in Saskatchewan, continue to produce low-cost electrical power, and extend the production of a substantial portion of Saskatchewan’s oilfields not by decades, but by generations? And in doing so, we could still dramatically reduce carbon dioxide emissions, and maybe save some money by reducing our nuclear rollout?

Recent developments from Whitecap Resources showing using CO2 in the Frobisher formation led to initial results of 5x improved production. Not 5%, or 50%, but 5x. That’s 500%. I’m not saying it’ll stay anywhere close to that, but we should be taking a very serious look at this development, especially since most new drilling in southeast Saskatchewan is focused on the Frobisher, part of the Mississippian. While the Bakken was a flash in the pan, the Mississippian has been the mainstay of SE Sask oil production for generations. And this is a generational opportunity, but we will let it slip through our fingers if we shut down our coal-fired power plants.

This is one of the most significant opinion pieces I’ve ever done with regards to energy. It basically puts it all together.

 

Y2Kyoto: State Of Anorexia Envirosa

Bloomberg;

Using crops to make diesel involves an inherent trade-off between the fuel’s climate-friendly benefits and preserving enough supplies to keep food prices in check.

Finding the balance can be tricky. That’s the challenge facing California as it debates a potential revamp of the Low Carbon Fuel Standard.

The frenzy to cash in on credits for lower emissions has triggered a surge in renewable diesel, with state supplies reaching records every quarter since 2020.

The escalation has led environmentalists to call for a limit on crop-based fuels, arguing it’s necessary to ensure the program doesn’t worsen hunger. The biofuel is often made from soybean oil, a staple for cooking.

“California is diverting soybean oil from food markets into its fuel market, and that’s surprising and troubling,” said Jeremy Martin, a senior scientist for the Union of Concerned Scientists who studies the impacts of fuel policy.

And there’s a weird domino effect of using soy oil to make renewable diesel, which some critics say blunts the climate benefits.

As more soy oil goes into diesel, demand climbs for palm oil, a controversial commodity. The European Union wants to phase out its use in fuel production to curb deforestation.

California’s regulatory board recently postponed a March 21 hearing on the fuel standard.

There is No Strong Business Case for Canadian LNG

Bloomberg;

Qatar is unwavering in its view that the world isn’t investing enough in natural gas. And the tiny Middle Eastern nation is trying to fix that.

State-owned QatarEnergy said Sunday it will develop a 16 million-ton-a-year LNG export project by the end of the decade. That’s on top of its previously announced record-breaking expansion plans.

Altogether, the Gulf state will boost shipments of liquefied natural gas by more than 80% by 2030.

The move illustrates the nation’s conviction that demand for gas, especially in Asia, will continue rising even as the world shifts to renewables. That’s at odds with organizations such as the International Energy Agency, which sees global consumption peaking this decade.

Should Saskatchewan again have a sovereign wealth fund?

With Alberta going all-in on its sovereign wealth fund (posted yesterday), should Saskatchewan take another look at one of its own? We had one, but it didn’t last long, and turned into something of a slush fund for Crown corporations, apparently. I dug up this discussion paper that was written by U of R professor Stuart Wilson which is actually pretty good. I republished the entire paper, with his permission, on Pipeline Online.

Perhaps ironically, Norway’s massive sovereign wealth fund was originally modelled on Alberta’s. And that fund is now worth US$1.42 trillion dollars (with a “t”). (Norway has less oil than Alberta).

Y2Kyoto: Schadenfrozen

Schnell! Schnell! Zey must build more wind farms!

Amid the flickering of flares and torches, many of the 1,600 people losing their jobs stood stone-faced as the glowing metal of the plant’s last product — a steel pipe — was smoothed to a perfect cylinder on a rolling mill. The ceremony ended a 124-year run that began in the heyday of German industrialization and weathered two world wars, but couldn’t survive the aftermath of the energy crisis. […]

The underpinnings of Germany’s industrial machine have fallen like dominoes. The US is drifting away from Europe and is seeking to compete with its transatlantic allies for climate investment. China is becoming a bigger rival and is no longer an insatiable buyer of German goods. The final blow for some heavy manufacturers was the end of huge volumes of cheap Russian natural gas.

Enjoy the decline.

Lithium rights – making sure we all make money

Prairie Lithium drilled the first targeted lithium well in Saskatchewan. Photo by Brian Zinchuk

 

A few years ago I realized that there was serious potential for a big conflict between various rights holders of oil, gas, helium, lithium and geothermal. So I started asking hard questions about it. Last year, the Ministry of Energy and Resources got many of the players in a big room with a pile of staff from various ministries to try to sort it all out. This story is a follow up to that process. Note there seems to have been some movement on the helium front last fall which I was not aware of. It will likely end up as a separate story soon.

Also, apparently the royalty for lithium is pegged at 3 per cent.

Lithium in SK Part 25: Primacy of rights, revisited

A lot more news to come on the lithium front. Keep your eyes peeled.

Lithium in Saskatchewan – getting closer to commercialization

Enough of this writing about wind and solar collapsing! Time to get back to some energy stories!

Lithium in SK, Part 24: Hub City Lithium releases preliminary economic assessment for Viewfield project. If it works out, after-tax payout projected in 2.4 years.

Prairie Lithium had some announcements this month and I hope to catch up with them shortly. They released a similar sort of thing. Grounded Lithium had a similar release last summer. That means three players are getting closer to commercialization. As I keep saying, this could be the cusp of a multi-billion dollar industry for Saskatchewan. I sure hope so.

Whatever you think of electric vehicles, someone’s going to make money making those batteries. So we might as well put some of that money in our pockets in Saskatchewan.

And on that front, Ford cut a shift from its F-150 Lightning plant. I sent Ford a long list of questions about how Lightnings perform in -35 C. Let’s see if they respond. What do you think?

There’s No Business Case For LNG Exports

Bloomberg;

A huge wave of liquefied natural gas is about to flood a world that’s supposed to be transitioning away from fossil fuels.

More than $235 billion has been plowed into the next slate of projects for the super-chilled fuel since 2019. The first of those plants will come online later this year, and a further $55 billion may be invested through 2025, Rystad Energy forecasts show.

That will help drive an historic 70% jump in LNG export capacity by the end of the decade, according to Baker Hughes.

The industry is essentially betting the world will need a lot more of the fuel as Europe rushes to replace piped Russian gas and Asia — particularly China — shifts away from coal.

Just today, US producer Chesapeake Energy Corp. agreed to snap up a key rival, capitalizing on demand for shipments from the Gulf Coast.

Massive export projects from the US to Qatar will cement LNG in the global energy mix for decades, especially with some purchasing contracts going into the 2050s — beyond targets set by many nations to become carbon-neutral.

Related: It’s not an easy time to be a politician.

Shell doubles down on Canadian LNG supply

Shell is betting heavily on Canadian LNG. Not only is it the lead partner in LNG Canada, it just agreed to buy 1/6 of the offtake from its competitor up the coast.

Shell signs offtake agreement to buy LNG from second BC project

And for a REAL deep dive into carbon tax analysis, a Prince Albert, SK, based economist allowed Pipeline Online to reprint this in-depth report on how the carbon tax affects his SaskPower and SaskEnergy power and natural gas bills. It was originally posted on LinkedIn.

Op-Ed: Kaase Gbakon: My Carbon Tax and I

Seven days in a row, wind went to zero in Saskatchewan

Assembly of a wind turbine near Assiniboia, SK, on Jan. 7, 2021. Photo by Brian Zinchuk

UPDATED: For seven days in a row, SaskPower saw wind generation hit zero for part of the day

The story originally said five days. SaskPower got back to me and noted the streak continued Jan. 7 and 8 as well. So that’s a whole week with wind flatlining. Total, complete flatline for part of the day, each day. How do you power the hospital my wife is an ER nurse at with zero power? Inquiring minds would like to know?

Also:

Weaker oil prices should bring some relief to consumers in 2024: Analysts

and

Quick Dick McDick: Saskatchewan Winterfront Regulation

Bonus points for Quick Dick’s instruction on how to use the box from a Pilsner 2-4 for a winterfront. Nothing says Saskatchewan like a Pil box on your pickup

Alberta’s wind power sputtered to next to nothing Sunday night, again

Wind turbines near Pincher Creek, Alberta. Photo by Brian Zinchuk

It’s starting to get cold out. The sun was down and Alberta’s wind power generation fell to next to nothing last night – less than half a per cent capacity.

Meanwhile in Saskatchewan, we’ve had several days of minimal wind power generation.

In other news, they’ve started to bring in floating accommodations for the staff to build the Woodfibre LNG facility.

And Precision Drilling meets debt reduction goal, on track to repay $500 million by 2025. 

We Don’t Need No Flaming Sparky Cars

Via Bjorn Lomberg (Facebook)Just 6 months ago, the International Energy Agency predicted that rapid replacement with electric cars would mean gasoline demand peaked in 2019. Climate political correctness = bad predictions;

After fueling the 20th century automobile culture that reshaped cities and defined modern travel, gasoline was supposed to begin its long goodbye this year. It didn’t.

Sure, Tesla Inc. and its rivals sold more electric vehicles in 2023 than ever before, reducing fossil fuel demand. In the moneyed suburbs of London, New York and Beijing, EV cars are a common sight. From that narrow perspective, it looks like the world has already started ”transitioning away from fossil fuels,” as agreed at the recent COP28 climate talks. But it’s a mirage.

Oil windfall in New Mexico, carbon tax farmer revolt in Germany

It wasn’t that long ago North Dakota was the second-largest oil producing state. New Mexico has since eclipsed them, and the money is rolling in. What to do, what to do? (Gee, what could we do with more oil production?

Meanwhile, German farmers aren’t taking too kindly to carbon taxes on diesel. But how are they supposed to save the planet and feed the people, too?

Wind power zeros out on Jan. 2 in Saskatchewan. As in nothing. Zip. Nada.

Final assembly of a wind turbine near Assiniboia, Sask., on Jan. 7, 2021. Photo by Brian Zinchuk

Wind power flatlined in Saskatchewan on Jan. 2, after days of strong winds. Flatlined, as in zero power, at night, so no solar, either.

Zero reliability, this wind thing. And I had to start wearing my parka this week, too.

Put our trust in wind, and we’ll all freeze. In the dark.

Also, switching to third person:

Pipeline Online editor and owner Brian Zinchuk is back on the air with CJME/CKOM’s Evan Bray Show. He was on the air for a full hour on Wednesday, Jan. 3. Here’s the podcast of that appearance, including responses to several calls. One was on whether or not the Trans Mountain Expansion will ever be finished. (With the ads and news breaks removed, it’s only 35 minutes).

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