36 Replies to “Dorian”

  1. At this point it doesn’t look as powerful as Juan in 2003, and the angle of approach is not that different from the coastline — this usually means that anywhere west of landfall will just get heavy rain and wind gusts to about 110 km/hr. Places near and to the east of landfall could get a brief period of 140 km/hr gusts. However, at the moment the predicted landfall is almost in southeast Cape Breton so that may spare most of NS residents from anything damaging. Southwest Newfoundland could also see some very strong gusts, but that is an area that gets them frequently meaning everything is built to withstand gusts well into the cat-1 range.

  2. Uh … didn’t the models also show Dorian slicing across Florida? … less than one week ago? Please convince me that the “new” models are any more accurate.

    Prepare for the worst, but put every bit of information into perspective … esp. information driven by ideologues with axes to grind … with crises to exploit.

    1. Ken, here’s the head fake…
      Michael was so well behaved…stayed on the track in the center of the cone from day one….and went exactly where they predicted
      …then Dorian comes along…and shows their predictions of Michael was a fluke…Dorian was all over the place

      …and every time Dorian changed….people believed it…thinking they knew what they were talking about

      and yes, on Wed they had Dorian going into Alabama

  3. Im guessing there is a certain PMO watching this storm and waiting to call the election to frame it around climate change.
    Never let a crisis go to waste, eh?
    One more reason why I want this one to head out to sea.

  4. Thanks. My wife and a church lady friend are driving out to our fishing cabin on the Mirimachi, to watch over the cabin during the storm, while I watch over our bungalow and the dog here in Fredericton. (In truth Michele and her friend want to experience a storm out in the country). The cabin has a reinforced tin roof, so it should not be too bad. Also, the current track has the storm going through Nova Scotia and PEI, though that could change.

  5. Zombie hurricane.

    “Look, it’s over there!”
    Eats sandwich…
    “Look, I think it’s closer!”

    P.S I know it hit Bahamas hard so save the righteous indignation.

    1. We hear you Kevin. The west’s oil & gas sector has faced 5 years of damaging winds laying waste to our economic prospects and with the exception of Rex Murphy we haven’t heard much sympathy from the east.

    2. I’m with Kevin and nold lays out my feelings accurately.
      Dorian is an act of nature, what the eastern bastids have done to my province on purpose is an act of evil.

    3. It is, in fact, laughably easy for Canadians and Americans living in coastal cities to be spared the impact of hurricanes.

      All they have to do is move to flyover country and get a job growing or mining or drilling for things industrial civilization relies on.

  7. I’d like to witness the storm surge being coincident with the tidal bore at the Bay of Fundy. I’ll bet that would be a sight to behold!

    1. Ah yes! The Bay of Fundy! I haven’t heard about that spot since HS science class. Thankfully, I learned about it lonnnnng before Global Warming (and Socialist Democrat candidates) … So I learned it’s EXTREME tide swings were an anomaly of NATURE, and had nothing to do with driving your Ford F150

    2. coincident with the tidal bore at the Bay of Fundy

      Prinz Dummkopf’s at the Bay of Fundy?

  8. Dear Canadians, we apologize for the hurricane, which is Trump’s fault. Because climate change. And Trump.

    Sincerely, America

  9. Turdeau offered $500,000 in aid to the Bahamas. Why the insult? Why not $100 million. The place is destroyed. We know he hates Western Canadians. Does he hate black people too?

    1. The last I heard, the Bahamas aren’t part of Canada, nor do they have any Liberal seats, so there’s no one there whose votes he can buy.

      1. But Haiti is? We give them tens of millions annually plus billions to African and Asian shitholes whose only disaster is the people’s lack of ambition.

    2. “Turdeau offered $500,000 in aid to the Bahamas. Why the insult? Why not $100 million. ”

      Priorities. Khadr and our press come first.

  10. Since the dims took such pleasure in wishing a Dorian visit to Trump’s Mar Lago, some patriots have responded in kind. I hope Dorian hits Barry and buffarilla’s new place on the New England sea shore. And washes it out to Puerto Rico.

  11. something of this immediacy and grade, well, ya think the climate models could be sped up and give us a heads up?

  13. This being a golden opportunity to hector and lie about how Justin and his liberals ‘Failed’ the easterners in this weather emergency. They sure as heck have done it to Harper.

    The narrative needs to start now and continual hammering till they sweep up the last twig.

  14. I look forward to hearing Kim Campbell’s apology to the people of Atlantic Canada for praying for a destructive hurricane to hit inhabited areas.

    Moral: if you want God to humble you, start giving Him orders.

  15. I have family in NB, NS, Cape Breton and Newfoundland. They will look out the window and wonder just what all the fuss is about.

    1. Tell them, if you like.

      Some jackasses in Toronto want to make Donald Trump look bad so we’ll all vote for Justin next month. City folk who don’t have any problems, don’t know when they’re well off, don’t have a clue what life is like in the real world and wouldn’t know real wind and rain if it punched them in the face.

  16. This is just karmic justice. The hurricane decided to hit Canada and not Florida after Kim Campbell wished it would hit Florida, Mar a Lago specifically.
    Right now it’s looking like a direct hurricane hit on Halifax.

  18. “Hunker down, eastern friends”

    I don’t have a lot of friends in eastern Canada. Too many of them are transfer payment blood suckers and / or environmentalist-leftist nutjobs.

    I hope the storm sinks every single tanker carrying foreign oil into eastern Canada and that the bastards freeze in the dark while starving in their stalled cars.

  19. The tracking now will be more reliable than when the Florida landfall was being shown as possible (among other tracks at the time, it has to be said). The reason for the increased reliability is that (as Ryan mentioned in his tweet) the storm is becoming extra-tropical, just a normal low, and these tend to integrate into the circulation with less uncertainty. Not saying this will be a perfectly tracked event but at the present time the centre of the low is most likely to come inland over eastern Nova Scotia, between Halifax and Cape Breton, and track up just to the east of PEI into the northeast Gulf of St Lawrence.

    Anything to the west of that track will get northeast winds and heavy rain, so that includes Fundy and western NS, as well as all of NB and PEI. To the east of the track winds will veer around from easterly to southerly then eventually westerly, and in some cases these will be stronger than any of the northeast winds.

    This won’t fizzle out to nothing, it will be a fairly intense storm, but I expect damage will be relatively minimal, probably day-long power outage and tree limbs down type damage, not roofs coming off buildings although that could happen right around the landfall site if that happens to be anywhere near a town (chances are about one in ten of that given the sparse nature of eastern NS population).

    If Justin or anyone else tries to market this as “climate change” that is pure bunk, the fact of the matter is that post-tropical storm events in eastern Canada have been happening about once every four or five years for all of the time we have been around to take notes and probably long before that as well.

    The storm is currently crossing 70W long about 200 miles south of Nantucket and should be about 50 miles south of Halifax by noon Saturday (ADT) making a landfall in the afternoon or early evening local time. For Halifax I would expect about 50-75 mm of rain, and winds peaking at 120 km/hr. Some parts of eastern PEI may get more rain than that.

  20. I sailed on oil tankers in the Gulf of St Lawrence in the early 70’s. It’s “normal” for big stuff to blow during hurricane season, most were intense storms of 60-70 mph winds. We sailed. Polish boats sailed, east coast draggers sailed, every body sailed and worked. Bfd!

    As a tanker, we sat rather low in the H2O, with main deck barely visible and usually rolling while water, stuck in the channels set for Canso to PEI, or better yet the “reflective” crap off north shore Quebec, Nova Scotia, PEI and Newfoundland. “Gulf weather. If you didn’t have “sea legs” by then, you were a sorry mess for most of the fall sailing season. Up in the wheelhouse, I used the deck stirrups to “attend” the wheel, with one foot propped in a wildly swinging environment. You timed the climb to the wheelhouse for when the bow was aimed down in a trough, or it was like climbing Mt Everest. Trick for the wise: stick your life jacket under one corner of the bunk while sleeping, or end up on the deck on the wilder rolls.

    You marked the radar and tracked the trawlers, because they would disappear in the troughs for minutes at a time. Thirty foot waves/troughs can hide a lot of boat out there and most when we did see them were perched, bow and stern completely out of the water. We were bigger, but stern and bow would be “airborne” commonly, with the stern vibrating clear of the water. We rated a “storm” by how high the foot prints went up wheelhouse bulkhead. With 30 degree rolls there was a lot of swing in the wheel house, 50 feet from the waterline.

  21. Have friends in western NS nearly on Bay of Fundy.

    Big winds and rain right now with the power out already, with the worst still yet come.

    They are looking out their windows and there is definitely something to see, such as high winds and storm surges.

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