Author: Brian Zinchuk

Reactors by the dozen

Their German neighbours may have shut down their last nuclear reactors in 2023, but Poland is ALL IN when it comes to nuclear power. They’re building large reactors, small reactors, maybe even some micro (not sure on the last one). But they are going to be building 24 small modular reactors of the same design SaskPower has chosen. And that number might go up. I’ve seen references to as many as 70 BWRX-300s for Poland. One thing is clear – the manuals will be written in Polish before English, it seems. Meanwhile, Saskatchewan will not formally decide to go ahead or not until 2029. I’m not sure where they’re going to get their reactor fuel from, but they’ll be damned if they buy a pound from Russia. That puts Saskatchewan uranium in good stead for the possible supply – and with the numerous large reactors planned for Poland, plus all the SMRs, that’s a good, new, long-term market for us.

Lithium, helium, and conclusion of Moe interview

Scott Moe.

Saskatchewan’s Year in Energy: Premier Scott Moe, 2023: Part 4: Lithium, Helium, Conclusion

In the last year, two lithium companies are working on pilot projects for lithium commercialization. North American Helium increased its number of helium processing facilities from three to seven. Royal Helium, having just completed its first helium processing site in Alberta, may develop its Climax, Saskatchewan properties next.

Podcast Day, not Boxing Day

There are some days I think I’m kinda smart. But you get into a room, virtual or otherwise, with an Adam Waterman or a few others, and you realize how dumb you really are. Here’s what I mean.

Patchwork Podcast: Year-end roundup with Adam Waterman, Brian Zinchuk, Tracy Klotz and Kurt Price

If you don’t regularly watch Peter Zeihan, you should. He posted this on Christmas Day.

Peter Zeihan: Canada, After America

Our next war, this time in our hemisphere, has all the echoes of Iraq/Kuwait 1990-91

Weekend Watch: Why Venezuela is Preparing to Conquer Guyana

This video from YouTube channel RealLifeLore is the best explanation yet for why Venezuela is preparing to Conquer Guyana.

What’s really interesting are the North Dakota and Alberta/Canadian connections. As Venezuelan heavy crude production soared, US Gulf Coast refineries tooled up to handle it. But as their government essentially destroyed their economy, combined with US sanctions, the Canadian oilsands, and maybe, too, the Lloydminster region, benefitted by replacing that oil with our own..

Yesterday was the anniversary of one of the truck convoys that started it all

Five years ago today, 427 trucks rolled through Estevan, protesting Trudeau’s energy policies

 

Five years ago on Dec. 22, 427 semis, service rigs, bed trucks, crew trucks, pickups and everything in between showed up on a spur-of-the-moment to protest the energy policies of the Canadian federal Liberal government. It took less than 48 hours, from the time the decision was made to go ahead with a truck convoy protest in Estevan, until the first truck rolled out of Bert Baxter Transport’s yard.

Clean Electricity Regulations and nuclear power: Moe

Scott Moe.

Saskatchewan’s Year in Energy: Premier Scott Moe, 2023: Part 3: Clean Electricity Regulations and Nuclear Power

Clean Electricity Regulations proposed by the federal government mean to totally change our nation and its economy. And nuclear power is really the only option Saskatchewan has for large-scale, baseload power that does not emit greenhouse gasses.

Part 3 discusses the Clean Electricity Regulations and their impact, and widespread adoption of nuclear power

50 ways to leave your lover…

It wasn’t that long ago, Crescent Point was pouring nearly all its capital budget into Saskatchewan, often employing over 20 drilling rigs in this province alone, and one in Alberta. My, how times have changed.

Its revised five year plan doesn’t even mention Saskatchewan by name.

The company has historically shown a pattern before it sells off an asset. It stops all drilling in that area months before a sale is announced. When I took Saskatchewan’s Minister of Energy for a tour west of Estevan, there wasn’t one rig drilling west of Estevan all the way to the Shaunavon area. When the photo above was taken in February, 2018, the company was running about 10 rigs in one township alone west of Estevan.

This is a key reason why I asked some hard questions of Premier Scott Moe about the lack of drilling activity in Part 2 of my year end interview with him (posted yesterday)

EDIT: Noting the lack of comments, let me provide some context: An enormous portion of Saskatchewan’s prosperity over the last 15 years, including its transition from a have-not to a have province, could be contributed to Crescent Point’s actions from 2007-2020. In 2008, they spent about a billion on land sales alone, then many, many more billions in the subsequent years developing that land through intense drilling efforts. For a while around 2012-ish they were Saskatchewan’s largest oil producer. Through a series of something like 30 mergers and acquisitions, the company built up a huge land base in this province, principally in southeast Saskatchewan. For several years, they were the top drilling oil producer in all of Canada, often employing more rigs than No. 2 and 3 combined. And usually all but one of those rigs were working in this province. 

Now that is dramatically diminished. They’re milking Saskatchewan but spending substantially less here. I won’t say minimal, but it is a huge, huge, difference. So when they’ve found a new lover, as it were, in Alberta’s Duvernay and Montney plays, that might be good for them, but not so much for us left out here in the frozen barren wasteland of southeast Saskatchewan.

Get it now?  

 

 

 

Did we just miss out on a mini oil boom? Sure looks like it

The old bumper sticker used to say something like, “Lord, please grant me another oil boom, and I promise not to piss it away this time.”

Well, oil prices were up in 2023, but oil drilling in Saskatchewan certainly didn’t reflect that. So Pipeline Online asked Premier Scott Moe what Saskatchewan is going to do about it.

Saskatchewan’s Year in Energy: Premier Scott Moe, 2023: Part 2 Oil Drilling, or Lack Thereof

Across the border to the west, The last coal-fired power station in Alberta will soon be out of coal. A few weeks ago, a notice posted to the the Alberta Electric System Operator website provided an update on its conversion to natural gas.

The end of coal-fired power in Alberta is nigh

Also, from Canadian Press:

Regulator denied Trans Mountain variance request due to pipeline safety concerns

And this one is a doozy. This is the Liberal government trying to cement into place carbon pricing so that even if the government changes, nothing can be done about it.

Feds sign first carbon contract for difference with Calgary-based Entropy

 

Saskatchewan’s Year in Energy: Premier Scott Moe, 2023: Part 1, Fighting the Feds

Scott Moe.

Energy, and the “energy transition” being forced upon Canadians by the federal government, is becoming the dominant story, affecting all our lives and everything we do. In his year-end interview with Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe, Pipeline Online dives deep into the biggest energy issues of the past year.

This is Part 1: Fighting the Feds.

Part 2 will focus on addressing low oil drilling activity, despite decent oil prices.

Part 3 discusses the Clean Electricity Regulations and their impact, and widespread adoption of nuclear power.

Part 4 talks about lithium and helium development, and ends with Christmas greetings.

Ministry of Truth (Environment) pronounces EVs work in the cold, so we all have to buy them

Editor’s Note: In Pipeline Online’s continuing mission to allow the people of Saskatchewan know precisely what their federal government is telling them on climate change initiatives, here’s Minister of Environment and Climate Change Steven Guilbeault’s press release of Dec. 19, explaining how the federal government will move to outlaw the sale of gas and diesel light vehicles in 11 years and 13 days. This press release has quotes from no less than five federal ministers and one parliamentary secretary.

New Electric Vehicle Availability Standard will give Canadians better access to more affordable cars and cleaner air, says Guilbeault

And here’s the verbatim backgrounder:

Canada’s Electric Vehicle Availability Standard (regulated targets for zero-emission vehicles) backgrounder, verbatim. Did you know EVs now work when it’s really cold? That’s what the feds say! Must be true!

Enbridge sells one of its babies

Enbridge sells Alliance Pipeline, Aux Sable to Pembina Pipeline

This is part of a continuing trend of Enbridge selling assets to enhance its American expansion.

I worked on almost every dirt-moving crew on the construction of the Alliance Pipeline, from 35 C below to 30 C above. I started on road bores, special projects, ditch, tie-ins, did a bit of backfill and eventually final cleanup. I started work three weeks after my wedding, and out of the 12 guys on my road bore crew bus, I was the only one married once.

Guilbeault thinks he’s getting his wish. Is he?

Steven Guilbeault. X/@s_guilbeault

 

“We reached a historic consensus to move away from fossil fuels in energy systems,” Guilbeault’s statement on the conclusion of COP28, verbatim.

And the Canadian Press version:

Guilbeault hails ‘monumental’ COP28 deal, others warn of ‘dangerous distractions’

Also:

COP28 Agreement Signals “Beginning of the End” of the Fossil Fuel Era: the verbatim press release

And the conclusion from yesterday’s op-ed:

Op-Ed: Deidra Garyk: The Impact of ESG on the Energy Sector, Part 2

 

Hans Gruber or Steven Guilbeault? Can you see the difference?

And since it’s the Christmas season, and Die Hard IS a Christmas movie, here’s a little Hans Gruber. Notice any resemblance to anyone? And if you don’t think Die Hard is a Christmas movie, fight me! Yippee Kai Yay, …

 

Wet’suwet’en protests, deep dive into ESG, Part 1

Like or hate it, believe it’s a passing fad or the wave of the future. #ESG came out of nowhere about four years ago and now is at the forefront of concern for almost every larger business in the energy sector, and beyond. This Op-Ed by Deidra Garyk studies the Impact of ESG on the Energy Sector, Part 1. Watch for Part 2 tomorrow.

And along those lines, the Coastal GasLink project was an ESG nightmare, with protests across the country. This Canadian Press story says Police violated protesters’ rights in Wet’suwet’en pipeline blockades, Amnesty says

Also, oil prices are plummeting. This is not good, here, there or, apparently, in New Mexico

No. 2 oil-producing US state braces for possible end to income bonanza in New Mexico

COP28: Canadian gov’t focused on shutting down oil and gas while Saskatchewan was speaking for it

Feds “focused on targeting the shutdown of a complete industry, regardless of whether they’re going to meet their emissions targets or not,” says Saskatchewan Premier Moe in Dubai

Pipeline Online speaks with Premier Scott Moe at conclusion of Dubai COP28 trip. (Another reporter asked questions, too, like do you believe the planet is warming…?

Emissions cap coming

So says the feds. Because of course it is. Thanks, Guilbeault and Wilkinson.

Oh, and the country with the largest oil reserves in the world is a failing state because of two decades of socialism. So what are they going to do? Invade their neighbour, to grab more oil. We don’t get a lot of nation-state wars and invasions in this hemisphere, but we might see one with days.

Guyana’s president says his country is preparing to defend itself from Venezuela over disputed area

And for something completely different,

Brian Zinchuk: This year will be the 38nd anniversary of me not getting the G.I. Joe aircraft carrier for Christmas

(Yes, I know the graphic says 32nd year. It was originally published 6 years ago, and as updated, as it still applies today. No aircraft carrier for me, or likely you, either. But you know you wanted one.)

Federal and Nova Scotia governments kill offshore petroleum project in name of ‘clean energy’

Sable Island gas project, now gone.

Federal and Nova Scotia governments kill offshore petroleum project in name of “clean energy”. No more gas development. Don’t even try. But wind? You betcha.

And here’s an analysis of why. It has a lot to do with the fact Nova Scotia can still pay for its hospitals with natural gas money, just natural gas produced in Alberta and Saskatchewan. And it has more to do with Guilbeault announcing a defacto production cap by banning venting and flaring.

Brian Zinchuk: Nova Scotia and federal government put final bullet in the head of still-twitching offshore gas play

And along the topic of the undead, the federal regulator still isn’t done with stretching out the Trans Mountain Expansion pipeline. What’s another $200 million per month delay?

As a side note, two years ago I ran into the consultant whose job it was to shut down, abandon and clean up this project. He was the company man looking after the drilling of the first lithium well in Canada, near Torquay, Saskatchewan. I never got around to writing a story about it, dammit. Not enough hours in the day.

And if anyone feels like asking CJME/CKOM why Zinchuk isn’t scheduled to do his regular energy spot the first Wednesday of the month, as he did with Gormley:

Text

1-877-332-8255

 

https://www.cjme.com/

https://www.ckom.com/

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