To prevent spam in the unlikely event your site ever gets hacked, I don't use my real email address so I'm not eligible to win... and that's fine.

I suck at election prediction anyway (I'm usually overly optimistic); I'm sure the actual winner's charity will be great.

With those confidence-inspiring words out of the way, here are my seat predictions:

Liberal — 112
Conservative — 115
NDP — 42
Bloc Treason — 38
Green — Ha ha!
Independent — 1

Conservatives - 165
Liberal - 62
NDP 46
Bloc 35

47
141
0
78
41
1

Kate, can you post any links to sites that may give us easytern results when the polls close.I hate waiting until 9 or 10 oclock to find out.

Thanks

Horny Toad

B.Q. - 44
Conservatives - 163
Green - 0
Libs - 68
NDP - 32
Ind. - 1

Oh, I didn't do it in alphabetical order. My bad. I'll repost:

Bloc Treason — 38
Conservative — 115
Green — Ha ha!
Liberal — 112
NDP — 42
Other/Independent — 1

BQ - 34
Conservatives - 171
Liberals - 73
NDP - 29
Ind - 1

BQ - 45
Conservatives - 150
Green - 0
Liberal - 73
NDP - 38
Other/Independent - 2

BQ - 49
Conservatives - 157
Green -
Liberal - 69
NDP - 33
Other/Independent -

bloc - 39
cons - 120
greens - nada
liberals - 104
ndp - 44
other - 1

BQ - 47
Conservatives - 142
Green - 0
Liberal - 82
NDP - 37
Other/Independent - 1

I'll say what I want instead of saying what will happen. My crystal ball is at the repair shop.

BQ treason party =8 (parts of Montreal are irretrievable)

Conservative- whatever is left over from the clown parties.

Green- 1 Just to torture them.

Liberals = 0 because nobody is dumb enough to vote for them, and because they deserve it.

NDP- 2 (parts of Hamilton are irretrievable)

Independent = 1, that one being Gary McHale in Caledonia because I can't justify letting Dianne Finley have it, even though she is CPC. And that's considering I think McHale's a nutter.

In the unlikely even I win, my donation goes to the SDA defense fund.

BQ - 40
Conservatives - 160
Green - 0
Liberal - 66
NDP - 42
Other/Independent - 0

Conservative - 152
Liberals - 88
Bloc - 39
NDP - 28
Ind - 1
Green - 0

For clarity I'll repost:

Shamrock sez:

BQ - 47
Conservatives - 141
Green - 0
Liberal - 78
NDP - 41
Other/Independent - 1

I predict that Lizzy May will put her seat up for grabs.

I predict that the voter turnout will be the lowest, as a % of the population, in this country's history

and I predict that the Green Party will NOT win a single seat

as for Dion, he can go back to teaching communism at a community college somewhere because his political career is over

Harper will win another minority

and Layton's group of misfits will form the official opposition

BQ - 75
CPC - 74
LIB - 74
NDP - 74
GRN - 11

The MTV Party is going to lose it's V and continue as the MT Party.

BQ - 53

Cons - 175

Green - 0

NDP - 22

Libs - 56

Ind - 2

Conservative Majority - 39.3 % popular vote

BQ 53
Conservatives 142
Green 0
Liberal 79
NDP 33
Other/Independent 1

Bloc Treason - 46
Conservative - 160
Green - 0
Ind - 1
Liberals - 68
NDP - 33
Williams, DannyDollar - 0

BQ: 40
Conservative: 145
Lieberals:85
NDP (aka Communist party of canada):38
Greens: 0000000
Other: 0

BQ 45
Con 161
Green 1
Lib 67
NDP 33
Other/Ind 1

Cons, 39%

BQ: 44
Cons: 140
Greens: 0
Libs: 88
NDP:35
Independent: 1

Wow... some very, very optimistic predictions there.

CONSERV >> 140
LIBERAL >> 83
NDP >> 36
BLOC >> 47
GREEN >> 0
IND >> 2

Conservatives: 37%

BQ: 40
Conservatives: 148
Green: 0
Liberal: 75
NDP: 50
Other/Independent: 1

BQ...............35
Conservatives...154
Green.............0
Liberal..........86
NDP..............33
Other/Independent.0

Con - 138 (36%)
Lib - 90
NDP - 40
BQ - 37
GRN - 1
IND - 2

BQ 50
Conservatives 142
Green 0
Liberal 81
NDP 34
Other/Independent 1

BQ- 53
Conservative- 129
Green- 0
Liberal- 91
NDP- 34
Ind.- 1

BQ - 50

Cons - 140

Green - 0

Libs - 82

NDP - 34

Ind - 2

Conservative Minority - 36.5 % popular vote

BQ: 39
Cons: 155
Green: 0
Lib: 66
NDP: 47
Other: 1

Conservative majority: 37.9 popular vote.

Sorry to be so Dionish, Kate, but are do overs allowed? I can't believe I increased NDP seats by 12 from last time. It should have been five max.

BQ 42
Conservatives 144
Green 0
Liberal 80
NDP 41
Other/Independent 1

Popular vote: Tory minority (34.8%)

BQ- 53
Conservative- 123 (35%)
Green- 0
Liberal- 94
NDP- 38
Ind.- 0

I hope I am totally off, and some of the wildly optimistic things I see above are true.

All in all, a disappointing campaign. I thought there was a real shot at the majority.

BQ 40
Conservative 143
Green 0
Liberal 81
NDP 43
Ind. 1

Conservative Minority - 36.1 % popular vote

BQ - 50 - 9%
Con - 142 - 36.5%
GRN - 0 - 9%
Lib - 76 - 25.5%
NDP - 38 - 19%
IND - 2 - 1%

If I win send the money to the Ezra Levant Defence Fund.

Before I answer, is the Human Fund a valid charity choice, Kate?

Conservatives - 140
Liberals - 83
NDP - 37
Blocheads - 48
Greens - 1
Independent - 1

Tories will get 36.5% of the popular vote.

B 50
C 158
G 0
L 55
N 44
I 1

37.8 %

I'm always wrong; I've yet to win the lottery, so:

Bloc 39
CPC 137
Green 0
Lib 86
NDP 45
Other 1

CPC Percentage: 36%
Reasons for above numbers? Absolutely none.

BQ: 43
Cons: 155
Greens: 0
Libs: 80
NDP:33
Independent: 0

BQ - 35
Con. - 157
Green - 0
Liberal - 88
NDP - 28
Other - 0

Conservatives - 38.1%

Conservatives 162
BQ 22
NDP 57
Liberal 63
Independant 2
Greens 2

Conservative majority with 39.2 percent of popular vote. If I win the $$ go directly into the SDA freedom defense fund.

Bloc-Heads 41
Conservatives 159
Greenies 0
Independents 2
Liars 74
New Commie Party 36

Popular Vote - 38.9 %

My two Independents are the radio DJ in quebec and Casey in Nova Scotia

BQ - 52
Con - 124
Gr - 0
Lib - 88
NDP - 43
Ind - 1

Do floor crossers immediatley after the election is over count? ;)

Liberal — 69
Conservative — 151
NDP — 35
Bloc — 52
Green - 0
Independent — 1

B.Q. - 45
Conservatives - 140
Green - 0
Libs - 82
NDP - 41
Ind. - 0

CPC 35.1%

Cons-135
Libs-71
Bloc-50
NDP-50
Ind-1
Green-1

Childrens Make a Wish. Have a great Thanksgiving Day.

BQ - 41
Conservatives - 143
Green - 0
Liberal - 92
NDP - 32
Other/Independent - 0

Conservatives 38.3 %

When you have to break done the numbers it becomes apparent why it is so difficult to form a majority with so many parties competing for votes.

Con 156
Liberal 80
Bloc 39
NDP 33
Green 0

BQ - 41
Conservatives - 143
Green - 0
Liberal - 92
NDP - 32
Other/Independent - 0

Conservatives 38.3 %

When you have to break down the numbers it becomes apparent why it is so difficult to form a majority with so many parties competing for votes.

BQ 41
Con 160
Green 1
Lib 65
NDP 40
Other/Ind 1

Percentage voting 38%

Should I win, the money goes to the SDA Defense fund.

Happy Thanksgiving all SDA readers/posters. May we have even more to be thankful for tomorrow night.

BQ 41
Con 160
Green 1
Lib 65
NDP 40
Other/Ind 1

Percentage voting 38%

Should I win, the money goes to the SDA Defense fund.

Happy Thanksgiving all SDA readers/posters. May we have even more to be thankful for tomorrow night.

BQ - 53
CPC - 139
Green - 0
LPC - 81
NDP - 34
Other -1

CPC minority victory with 37% of popular vote.

Conservatives - 126
Liberals - 93
NDP - 36
Bloc - 51
Green - 0
Independents - 2

Conservatives will garner 35.5% of the vote.

bq 52
cons 138
greens 0
libs 82
ndp 34
other/ind 2
37% for the tories

BQ - 53
Conservative - 148
Green - 0
Liberal - 71
NDP - 34
Independent - 2 (Andre Arthur - Portneuf, Bill Casey - Western Nova)

I can't use my real e-mail because (1) I truly do need to preserve anonymity and (2) the spam. Some quick thoughts:

-the Conservatives will probably win about 38% of the popular vote, but are positioned to win a lot of close races in Ontario and B.C. Yes it's a crapshoot, but IMO things are actually breaking better than many think.

-of course the Greens won't win any seats. People are silly but not that silly, and to paraphrase South Park, they never were a real party anyway.

-it really is hard for the NDP to ever get more than about 40 seats. A good thing too -- it's sad and pathetic how logging and mining towns support a party that wants to stop logging and mining.

-if the Conservatives are to win a majority, you don't, really don't, want it to be a bare majority of 155 to 158 seats. If that happened, you would then get squishy MPs sliding around on legislative votes. The Republicans had this problem back when they supposedly controlled the U.S. Senate -- but didn't really because of Republican-in-name-only Senators from Maine, Rhode Island, etc. Imagine a two-seat majority with eight MPs from Quebec and another half-dozen from the old Joe Clark PC Party. Yeccch. Better to win almost half the seats and then get some support from Arthur, Casey, northern Ontario Liberals, and MPs who are only Liberal because they are ethnics from immigrant ridings.

-the Conservatives will win some urban seats in the Greater Vancouver area.

-everybody loves to bash T.O., and I'm right in there piling on, but ... what about English Montreal? Are they out to lunch or what?

BQ 40
CON 155
GREEN 3
LIB 79
NDP 31
I don't want any donations thx..I just give them ..

BQ 28
Conservatives 146 popular vote 41%
Green 0
Liberal 94
NDP 40
Other/Independent 0

BQ - 40
CON - 142
Green - 2
Liberal - 85
NDP - 38
Other - 1

Going against the grain a bit here...

Changed my mind a bit from earlier after reading Nanos daily tracking poll and the 4.5% uptick in Conservative support to more than 37% on Sunday night. That is a good trend and bodes well for election day. The Liberals are falling in Southern Ontario and the few points necessary to flip many seats will likely see a big shift to the Conservatives in seat totals. The fact that Harper went to PEI a few times this election and was there today for a final push suggests that their polling of the Island is better for them than the Atlantic Canada wide polls. The same is true of New Brunswick, where a poll a week ago showed the Conservatives up by 10% on the Liberals (a complete reversal from last time). So........

BQ 51
Conservatives 158
Green 0
Liberal 62
NDP 35
Other/Independent 2

If the trend in Ontario is matched across the Prairies and BC, then the Liberals could drop further........making for the interesting prospect on election night that Duceppe could come out of this as Opposition Leader.......who would have thought it?

Election Prediction dot org has finalized its predictions:

Bloc 51
CPC 125
GREEN 0
LPC 94
NDP 36
Ind 2

I disagree. This is not my prediction either.

BQ ... 51
Conservatives ... 135
Green ... 1
Liberal ... 76
NDP ... 44
Other/Independent ... 1

CPC 147
Lib 79
NDP 34
BQ 48
GRN 0

Conservatives 153
Liberals 69
Bloc 49
NDP 33
Green 0
Newfoundland & Labrador First Party 0
Independents 3

The three Independents will be Bill Casey, Andre Arthur and Louise Thibault.

A pact with Andre Arthur, will give the Conservatives a Majority mandate.

I repeat for the trillionth time. We should not allow any party, confined to a specific electorate, to sit in the House.

Whether that specific electorate is a province. Or a religion (imagine confining your electorate to a religion). Or a gender (heh - only gays and lesbians?). Or an income level (only those with incomes over 175,000 per year). Or whatever.

The idea of allowing representation-by-criteria, ie, by an electorate who must meet certain criteria to vote - is deeply undemocratic.

In the 17th century, only landowners could vote. At one time, only men could vote. At other times, only whites could vote. Think about that; those were specific criteria: financial attribute; gender attribute; race attribute. We've set up in Canada, geographic attribute.

Why do we, in Canada, permit a situation where only Quebecers can vote for a particular federal party?

Conservatives - 132
Liberal -78
BQ -51
NDP - 43
Other/Independent - 3
Green - 0

Bloc 51
CPC 130
GREEN 0
LPC 90
NDP 36
Ind 1

Conservatives - 36%

I second James's count.

BQ 59
Conservatives 141
Green 0
Liberal 74
NDP 33
Other 1

I hope the Conservatives do better than my prediction.

BQ 59
Conservatives 141
Green 0
Liberal 74
NDP 33
Other 1

I hope the Conservatives do better than my prediction.

Here's my "for kicks" prediction. If I'm right, you can be sure I'll take the $50 for my charity, though!

BQ - 55
Conservatives - 156
Green - 0
Liberal - 54
NDP - 41
Other/Independent - 2

Conservative - 37.4172351%

BQ 39
CPC 162
Green 0
LPC 67
NDP 37
Ind 3

38.1%

CPC - 147
LPC - 76
BLOC - 43
NDP - 39
GRN - 0
INP - 1

Hoping for a majority though!

CPC - 147 (38.5%)
LPC - 76 (24.5%)
BLOC - 43 (8.0%, 34%Q)
NDP - 39 (20%)
GRN - 0 (8%)
INP - 1 (1%)

Hoping for a majority though!

BQ 39
Conservatives 157
Green 1
Liberal 53
NDP 57
Other/Independent 1

Should I fluke this one out, give it to Kate for the defense fund.

Treason party 42
CPC 142
Green 0
LPC 83
NDP 40
Ind 1

pop sup CPC 35.7

BQ - 48
CP - 140
Grn - 0
Lib - 80
NDP - 38
IND - 2

CP - 37.6%

The silent conservative vote (they tell pollsters they are undecided, when they're really not) will push the tories a bit higher than the polls suggest.

CPC 137 37% Pop support
Lib 88 27%
Bloc Traitorois 42 9%
NDP 40 20%
Indie 1
Greens 0 7%

I also predict 63% voter turnout.

CPC 137 37% Pop support
Lib 88 27%
Bloc Traitorois 42 9%
NDP 40 20%
Indie 1
Greens 0 7%

I also predict 63% voter turnout.

Bloc 42
CPC 154
Green 0
Libs 67 yuk...that seems high
NDP 44
other/Ind. 1

CPC 40% of popular vote.I'm basing that on the 'undecided' feeling thankful this w/e and making up their minds.

Keep it for the defence fund, Kate.

Well, I'll certainly sleep better tonight after looking at some of these predictions.
Another good indication is the Catholic lawns sporting CONS signs in our small town.
Through gritted teeth they acknowledge that there are two important issues: abortion and same-sex marriage.
Thus, can't predict with unseen forces at work.

Bloc Treason 45
Tories 145
Tree Huggers 0
Lieberal$ 76
Dipper Commies 40
Indies 2

Tories with 37.5 percent of the vote.

Does not count floor crossers, which I assume there must be one in the wings somewhere.

BQ 51
Con 135
Grn 0
Lib 85
NDP 35
Ind 2

B.Q. - 43
Conservatives - 164
Green - 0
Liberals - 69
NDP - 31
Independent - 1

Conservatives 38%

A vote splitting landslide.

Independents 1
Greens 1
Conservatives 306

There that should do it!

Bloc - 50
Conservative - 135 (38%)
Green - 0
Lieberal - 83
NPD - 39
Other - 1

If I win the pool my winnings go to PETA... Just Kidding, actually SPCA.

If I win, I want my donation to go to a Dion leadership campaign.

Agree ET. And Kate, after tommorrow,there will be 309 seats as Tin Lizzie screams to be included,like the debate, even though the Watermelons will probably only get 0.001% of the vote.

BQ - 46
Con- 143
Lib - 79
NDP - 40

I haven't seen any "I told you so" discussions regarding the Quebec vote.Many were skeptical and dissappointed with his response to Quebecers. Being an optimist and trusting that PMSH had a reason to believe that his handling of Quebec over the last 2.5 years would have the result of wiping out the Bloc, I have to say now I'm shocked.
They really are a mystery.
Hopefully PMSH has learned.If CPC loses seats in Quebec to Libs or Bloc, I would now like the seperation process to begin. Enough!

Kate...what are your predictions?

BQ = 55
Conservatives = 132
Green = 0
Liberal = 85
NDP = 34
Other/Independent = 2

Bonus question: Conservatives 38.5%

BQ: 34
Conservatives:137
Green: o
Liberal: 95
NDP: 42

BQ - 49
Conservatives - 131
Green - 0
Liberal - 94
NDP - 32
Other/Independent - 2

49
131
0
94
32
2

Popular vote: Tory minority (35.2%)

I need the Marcus Vitrivous Moon calculator.
Though guessing from his "prediction of a larger minority" and after looking at the others;

BQ- 48 (cuz their "a Nation" now)
Conservatives- 140 (because Quebec cost'em)
Green - 3 ,0 in N.Scotia("strategic voting" cost'em)
Liberal- 79 (cuz of "the economy")
NDP - 38 (cuz Layton "can lift rocks")
Other/Independent-0

Conservatives 152
Liberal 59
BQ 52
NDP 45
Green 0
Ind. 0

BQ 28
Con 168
Green 0
Lib 72
NDP 39
Ind 1

48
142
0
84
33
1

BQ - 48
Cons - 142
Green - 0 (nadda, zero, zilch)
Lib - 84
NDP - 33
Ind - 1

Pop. Vote - Con 38.4%

BQ 58........11%
CPC 126......34%
Lpc 104.....27%
Green 0......8%
Ind 1......1%
NDP 19.....19%

Conservatives - 129
Liberals - 89
NDP - 33
Bloc - 50
Green - 0
Independents - 2

Conservatives will garner 35.8% of the vote.

BQ 48 9%
Cons 142 39%
Green 0 8%
Lib 87 26%
Ind 0
NDP 31 22%

BQ: 52
Conservatives: 135
Green: 0
Liberal: 85
NDP: 34
Other/Independent: 2

BQ 50
CPC 140
GRN 0
LIB 77
NDP 40
Oth 1

Barack 106%
McCain 49%

Oh, I'm sorry, wrong poll...

Happy Thanksgiving everyone, and good luck in your election.

Porter

OMG...

The CBC has a Tarot Card reader on RIGHT NOW making predictions about the election...who says that "there is a very angry party in power right now" but that soon "WE'LL be happy with the outcome..."

First, what the HELL does the CBC (Suhanna Marchand) think it's doing bringing on a medium--name of "Margot"--to predict the electoral outcome?

and

Second, who is Margot referring to when she says "WE'LL" be happy with the outcome? Her? CBC? All Canadians?

The CBC has reached a new low, something I didn't think possible.

BloqQuebecois 52
Conservatives 140
Green 0
Liberal 74
NDP 40
Other 2

Cons percentage 37 %

BQ - 58
Conservative - 119
Green - 1
Liberal - 78
NDP - 52

BQ - 58
Conservative - 119
Green - 1
Liberal - 78
NDP - 52

Conservative - 33.4%

I'll go with the quick and dirty average here:

Conservatives: 140

As far as I'm concerned, the rest can go to hell.

The thing is though, many Liberals may very well stay home rather than voting for the moron. If that happens, maybe a majority.

BQ--24
CONS.--221
LIBS.--26
NDP.--37

BQ - 39
Conservative - 149
Green - 0
Liberal - 57
NDP - 59
Other/Independent - 4

Conservative - 38.9%

Bloq Quisling - 51
Conservatives - 153
Green Slime - 0
Green Shafters - 69
NeoCommunists - 34
Other - 1

Might as well send the $50 to the nuthouse willing to take in Lizzy May after her next attack.

BQ 54
Con 136
Gre 4
Lib 80
NDP 33
o/i 1

con pop vote 36.9

BQ 48
Conservatives 158
Green 0
Liberal 67
NDP 33
Other/Independent 2

Conservatives 41%

Neorhino coming up fast from behind -- turn around, Stephane and Liz

BQ 52
Cons 140
Green 0
Liberal 74
NDP 33
Ind 1

Popular vote
Cons 36%
Liberals 24%
NDP 22%
Green 10%

Love to be as optimistic as some of the above posters with a Conservative majority, I expect to see a few surprises and a few cons successful "up the middle" but not enough to form a majority ... I'll be celebrating if I'm wrong on that score. Realistically the minority will be such that the Libs and the NDP will need the Bloc on side also to form any kind of coalition ... not bloody likely, so we will end up with the same as we had .. minority that gets to act like a majority since the Libs are totally bankrupt and will not get enough support to fund the massive loan that they took out for this campaign much less the much needed leadership review, of which thy haven't yet paid off the last disaterous one ... So bottom line the news is not bad for conservatives in Canada.

BQ 52
Cons 140
Green 0
Liberal 74
NDP 33
Ind 1

Popular vote
Cons 36%
Liberals 24%
NDP 22%
Green 10%

Love to be as optimistic as some of the above posters with a Conservative majority, I expect to see a few surprises and a few cons successful "up the middle" but not enough to form a majority ... I'll be celebrating if I'm wrong on that score. Realistically the minority will be such that the Libs and the NDP will need the Bloc on side also to form any kind of coalition ... not bloody likely, so we will end up with the same as we had .. minority that gets to act like a majority since the Libs are totally bankrupt and will not get enough support to fund the massive loan that they took out for this campaign much less the much needed leadership review, of which thy haven't yet paid off the last disaterous one ... So bottom line the news is not bad for conservatives in Canada.

BQ 34
Green 0
NDP 42
Liberal 76
Conservative 155
Independant 1

Well this is damn difficult, but here goes.

BQ - 49
Conservatives - 144
Green
Liberal - 79
NDP - 35
Other/Independent - 1

CPC at 37%

BQ 47
Conservatives 144
Green 1
Liberal 69
NDP 45
Other/Independent 2

BQ 40
Green 0
NDP 39
Liberal 73
Conservative 155
Independant 1

Conservative popular vote 39%

And just a note, friends. 38% usually is a majority number. Anyone predicting higher with a minority is doing so at their peril.

BQ 33
Conservative 156
Greens 0
Independent 1
Liberal 62
NDP 56

Hey, I can always dream. I am going out to buy a lotto ticket too!

BQ 50
Conservatives 138
Green 0
Liberal 85
NDP 33
Other/Independent 2

Make the cheque out to The Human Fund, care of me.

Here are my predictions:

Bloc 52
Cons 142
Green 1 (not Central Nova)
Libs 74
NDP 39
Other 2

Conservative vote 36.7 percent

BQ 33
Con 156
Green 0
Lib 61
NDP 58
Other/Ind 0

Con popular vote 38%

BQ 33
Con 156
Green 0
Lib 61
NDP 58
Other/Ind 0

Con popular vote 38%

BQ 44
Con 149
Green 0
Lib 61
NDP 54
Other/Ind 0

149 to 159 split
- We go back to the polls within 2 years

zilda here. Magot is a hack. She doesn't even use real science like contacting the dead and using my method of finding gold nuggets BIGGER than the world record one found in Australia!!!!

When I contacted PET, he said that you were a bunch of idiots for not hiring me. I have more references - just ask!!!

BQ - 37
Conservatives- 157
Green-0
Liberal - 56
NDP -58
Other/Independent -0

39.6%

I would love to be wrong in favour of a Conservative Majority !

BQ - 46
Conservatives - 138
Green - 0
Liberal - 84
NDP - 39
Other/Independent - 1

BQ- 53
Conservative- 130
Green- 0
Liberal- 91
NDP- 34
Ind.- 0

BQ 49
Conservatives 144
Green 0
Liberal 74
NDP 39
Other/Independent 2

CPC: 37.9%

BQ 38
Conservatives 164
Green 1
Liberal 88
NDP 17
Other/Independent 0
------------------------------------------
BQ 7%
Conservatives 44%
Green 2%
Liberal 29%
NDP 17%
Other/Independent 1%

*
"batb asks... First, what the HELL does the CBC (Suhanna Marchand)
think it's doing bringing on a medium"

c'mon... it makes as much sense as anything else they do down there.
i hear they've got "clever hans" calling the close ones over at ctv.

*

BQ 50
Conservative 134
Green 0
Liberal 83
NDP 40
Independent 1

I am bad at making predictions, but I'll stick by this.

Bloc 50
Conservative 134
Green 0
Liberal 83
NDP 40
Independent 1

I am notoriously bad at predicting seat totals, but I feel comfortable with these numbers.

BQ - 44
Conservative - 145
Green - 0
Liberal - 80
NDP - 37
Independent - 2

Conservative - 36%

As I am 1000 miles closer to Mexico than to Canada and as any realistic information about the election is buried by a press that only restrains itself from hating Stephen Harper because it's so much fun to hate George Bush, all figures are fantasies.
BQ-50
Conservative-153
Green-1 ( for humorous effect )
Liberal-75
NDP-25
Ind.- 2
Conservative pct - 38.5%

BQ-55
PLC-82
PCC-135
NDP-39
Green-0

Assuming Vitruvius's election calculator is in the right range, my prediction is:
BQ traitors - 37
Conservative - 137
Green - 0
Lieberals - 90
NDP - 44
Independant - 0

That said, I hope I'm wrong and that the actual conservative numbers will be 155+

BQ (Quebeckers) - 30
Conservatives (Americans)- 100
Green (UNists) - 14
Liberals (Europeans) - 90
NDP (Soviets) - 54
Independents (Canadians?)- 30

Conservatives-168
Libs- 62
NDP-42
Bloc-36
Green-0

BQ - 58
Conservatives - 126
Green Party - 0
Independant - 1
Liberals - 75
NDP - 48

Conservatives 35%

BQ - 51
CPC - 147
Green - 0
LPC - 73
NDP - 35
Ind. - 2

Reasons:
Nik's last day number was 37 %,
TSX will close with all-time record one day bounce,
stronger GOTV for the good guys,
Klein predicted about as much Monday on CBC
Dipper vote firm,
Lib talking heads look dazed/fearful
Harper carried us on his back the last five days, striking just the right tone, hitting the right notes, boosting morale, striking fear of Dion as PM. (last tuesday, Bob Fife let out from the inside that our campaign was in panic mode !)

Sorry Bob, the universe will unfold as it should !

Ooops, forgot to add popular vote of 36.3 %

Bloc-32
Conservative-172
Greens-0
Liberals-61
NDP-42
Other-1

Con 158
Lib 72
NDP 43
Bloc 32
Greens 0

bloquednasalpassage 35 hey its how duceppe speaks.
CPC 137
greenshifty 0
lieberalos 80
dippers 55

independant 1

vote for CPC 37

amount of whine on CBCpravda for changing to proportion representation - 100%.coverage of each party. CPC 20%, dippers 20%, bloque 10% , lieberal/green illicit coilition 50%

chance of switching off coverage and replaying a toronto montreal game from 1953? better now that I gave them the idea.

Popular vote 39.3% for the conservatives (added to my prediction above).

bq 40
Cp 154
G 0
L 74
Nd 35

I want the cp to finish one short of a majority so we get to watch the race of a dozen or so bq and lp mps to announce their crossing over to the cp first.

BQ 35
Conservatives 185
Green 0
Liberal 56
NDP 31
Other/Independent 1

BQ - 46
Conservatives - 156
Green - 0
Liberal - 68
NDP - 38

Cons Pop Vote 38.1%

Treason Party 48
Con 128
Beaver P. 1
Puffin P. 85
MTV P. 44
The Nutters 2

Donations: Bay Street Soup Kitchen.

Tweedle Dee, Tweedle Dum, Tweedle Dumber, Tweedle More Dumb, and Tweedle Dumbest. Wow, a complete range from socialist to hard core Marxist from which to select. I can't decide how quickly we should destroy Canada, immediately or a year from now. I'll come back & decide later, maybe at 4:01 pm.

Conservatives - 155
Liberals - 65
NDP - 39
Bloc - 47
Green - 0
Independents - 2

Bloc - 49
CPC - 135
Greens - Thanks for coming out
LPC - 86
NDP - 36
Ind - 2

Sheila Copps 2.45 pm. I guarantee no one will grab Liz's 'seat'.

BQ - 49
Conservatives - 140
Green - 1
Liberal - 81
NDP - 34
Other/Independent - 3

Conservative - 35.6%

BQ-44
CPC-158
GRN-0
LPC-68
NDP-37
IND-1

CPC gets 42%

Split the money with Shaidle, Kate.

Nanos showing CPC up, stock market is UP, Quebeckers do agree with Harper about tax payer funded television galas and I really, really, really want Harper to get his chance. Very scientific.

CPC - 121
LIB - 83
NDP - 51
BQ - 51
Green - 0
Ind - 2 (Andre Arthur and Bill Casey)

BQ - 42
Conservatives - 144 (36.6%)
Green - 0
Liberal - 86
NDP - 35
Independant - 1

Conservative 155
Liberal 72
Bloc 44
NDP 35
Green 1
Independent 1

bloc-44
cons-118
libs-94
ndp-52
green-1

Oh yes, and popular vote for the Conservatives, 36%

Cons 138
Libs 87
Bloc 53
NDP 27
Green 1
Neoryno 1
Marxist Leninist 1

Conservatives lose 3 in Maritimes and 3 in Quebec. Liberals win a couple of more seats on the Island of Montreal including Justin Trudeau. Conservatives win around 10 more seats in 905/519/705 territory and about the same number out west. Not a good sign for Goodale that Dion dropped in yesterday. Conservatives benefit from the Liberal drop in support in BC Elizabeth May loses to McKay...

BQ = 36
Conservatives = 163
Green = 0
Liberal = 49
NDP = 60
Other/Independent = 0

Conservative Pop. Vote 40.1%

BQ:50
CPC:114
Green:0
LPC:94
NDP:48
Ind:2

CPC %:34.5

BQ 45
Conservatives 127 (37% popular vote)
Green 0
Liberal 99
NDP 35
Other/Independent 2

BQ 45
Conservatives 127 (37% popular vote)
Green 0
Liberal 99
NDP 35
Other/Independent 2

Conservative 128
Liberal 85
Bloc 55
NDP 40
Green 0

We're in an awful lot of trouble.

That should read:
Bloc 55
Conservative 128
Green 0
Liberal 85
NDP 40

Didn't read the alphabetical part--sorry!

Bloc Quebecois - 47
Conservatives - 141
Greens - 0
Liberals - 86
NDP - 32
Independents - 2

Conservatives get 36%.

I have every confidence I under-predicted the Tories and wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see them hit 39% and 165 seats. Tories are more motivated to come out than Liberals, but many NDPers and Greens switch to the Grits. Tories do well in BC in three- and four-way races. And my bonus prediction: KlrVu poll notwithstanding, the Greens do not break 20% in Guelph.

BQ- 41 CPC-162
GR-0 libs-68 NDP-37

BQ 51
Conservatives 133
Green 0
Liberal 82
NDP 40
Other/Independent 2

Bonus: Con 35%

I'm hoping Bud wins the contest.

Seat-by-seat predictions here: http://notweighingourmerits.blogspot.com/

Some vote-splitting and Liberal recoil from Dion's image combine to give CPC a few more seats with slightly less of the popular vote than last time. Through the nature of regional distributions, though, Libs also pick up seats at expense of BQ. No breakthrough for Jack (in his last election as leader). Poor campaign by CPC, though, leaves them short of majority despite weak opposition. Lizzie May comes up short in her own riding by 5 percentage points, and declares victory by virtue of achieving 6% popular vote nationwide.

BQ 31
Conservatives 142 (35% popular vote)
Green 0
Liberal 106
NDP 29
Other/Independent 1

Thanks everyone - thread closed at 4PM Eastern. Now, we wait for the results.

BQ - 45
Conservatives - 135
Green - 1
Liberal - 88
NDP - 32
Other/Independent - 1

BQ -- 55
Conservatives -- 142
Greens --1
Libs -- 77
NDP -- 33
Conservatives: 38% of popular vote

hi winnings hall da foats hand ninetynine prozent da poplar foat.

BQ: 50
Conservatives: 135
Greens: 0
Libs: 88
NDP: 34
Other/Independent: 2
Conservatives: 35% of popular vote

Why set the deadline at 4:00? Oh well..

BQ - 48
Conservatives - 155
Green - 0
Liberal 74
NDP - 30
Other/Independent - 1

Conservatives 40.6% popular vote

bloc - 35
cons - 139
greens - ZERO (haha)
liberals - 88
ndp - 45
other - 1

Conservative vote @ 37.9%

Out -

bloc - 35
cons - 139
greens - ZERO (haha)
liberals - 88
ndp - 45
other - 1

Conservative vote @ 37.9%

Out -

Neil gets it, In my personal opinion.

It seems to be within a hare of:

Taxcutters 143

Cult of Trudeau 76

Stay for another drink 50

Non-dependable Persons 37

Grin and bear it *

Unable to find caucus room 2

This was in fact a very expensive way to get rid of Garth Turner, but it worked.