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August 26, 2008

Where's the O-Bump

DNC Love-in Day 2 ... bump in the polls:

Posted by Cjunk at August 26, 2008 6:10 PM
Comments

The "O-bump" got stuck in that gaping hole between The One's actual credibility and the MSM's estimation of it!

Posted by: JRB at August 26, 2008 6:25 PM

I'll wait for the final results in November. There's many a slip twixt the cup and the lip.

Posted by: tower at August 26, 2008 6:26 PM

CNN folks - Wolf Blitzer et al - were so impressed with the fact that the children looked so good on the stage, and the general consensus seemed to be that it very sweet and a nice touch. (Michelle Obama spoke well, no doubt, and potentially allayed the fears of a lot of Americans.)

In the end though, trotting out the kids - that's just a bit too manipulative for me - and I wonder if that ends up being a bit too much to stomach

Posted by: Erik Larsen at August 26, 2008 6:33 PM

National regisTARDS, do not make up a voting block. A Gulp poll should only believed when the results are in! Or if in Canada when the Dippers say oink 3 times!

Posted by: BumpO at August 26, 2008 6:35 PM

Earlier in the campaign, Obama said 'lay off my wife' when she made disparaging, negative comments. Now, howver, it's okay to trot out Michelle as well as the kids so long as it benefits Obama. He's just like any other politician.

Posted by: Lori at August 26, 2008 6:49 PM

Anyone who gives any significance to the numbers on that graph beyond "they're tied" is an idiot.

Posted by: djb at August 26, 2008 7:22 PM

djb: You sound bitter.

Posted by: Paul at August 26, 2008 7:37 PM

djb:

It would be very useful if I had access to polloing like this from previous conventions as they would almost without exception show a dramatic shift upwards in the party that was having the party as it were.

That BO is not getting a "bump" is very significant as it may be indicating that he has zero future growth in support.

This bodes very well for JM because he has yet to have his convention and he -unlike BO- has a very compelling story to tell and depending on his choice for running mate he may have much more unified party behind him than BO has.

I can pretty-much guarantee you that BO's people are mortified at the above polling results.

Posted by: Gord Tulk at August 26, 2008 7:43 PM

Come on eh! After midddle America watching the antics of the leftard zoo masturbating itself outside the convention, I gotta think McCain has gained at least 5 points.

Posted by: WL Mackenzie Redux at August 26, 2008 7:46 PM

The O-Bump is between Obama's big ears and his purple lips.

Enough said.

Posted by: George W Bush at August 26, 2008 7:59 PM

Maybe people listened when Ted Kennedy said ; "Our country will be committed to his cause."

Posted by: richfisher at August 26, 2008 8:09 PM

The campaign is just starting to expose Obama for his marxist self.

It is going to be an interesting campaign.

Posted by: Fred at August 26, 2008 8:11 PM

I am reminded of those lyrics to that old Bing Crosby song," Getting to know you, getting to know all about you ..."

Posted by: Brian Mallard at August 26, 2008 8:48 PM

Sorry, Brian. I don't think that was Bing Crosby. 'More like Yul Brynner.

Bing's famous for "I'm Dreaming of a White Christmas."

Posted by: batb at August 26, 2008 9:02 PM

I fault Karl Rove.

Posted by: Paul at August 26, 2008 9:06 PM

Bill Clinton was saying that the '12 election will be influenced by people undecided in their choice of candidates and yet voting for a particular candidate....?

Posted by: reg dunlop at August 26, 2008 9:10 PM

Anyone who gives any significance to the numbers on that graph beyond "they're tied" is an idiot.

djb,

and how much significance to you give to the fact that despite all the very positive free publicity Obama has been getting from the main stream media he is not better than tied to McCain who has not only been almost ignored but a bit bashed by the main stream media?

I guess anyone who thinks Obama would be that high in the poll without the huge help of the liberal main stream media is an idiot.


Posted by: Friend of USA at August 26, 2008 9:13 PM

McCain got it, looks like.

Posted by: The Phantom at August 26, 2008 9:16 PM

hussein will be better at losing this election than mister ketchup was in 04

Posted by: GYM at August 26, 2008 9:46 PM

"An America that will work for everyone"

The above phrase was displayed on a huge screen behind a speaker at the DNC love-in (which frankly looked like an awards TV show for the 10 minutes of it I caught on a news program).

What does that mean, exactly? Will Americans be employees of "everyone" else? Who's the "employer"?

Perhaps, "America - a concept that can work for everyone" might have been a better choice of words.

Posted by: PiperPaul at August 26, 2008 9:54 PM

What? OB should be 15 points ahead by this time. G. D. America!

Posted by: Sounder at August 26, 2008 10:11 PM

Since these polls tend to be "plus or minus 3 percent", it's been a statistical dead heat across the whole three weeks.

Of course, as the old saying goes, "The only poll that counts is the one on election day."

Posted by: MikeM at August 26, 2008 10:16 PM

MikeM: That's the whole point. No O-bump.

Posted by: Paul at August 26, 2008 10:21 PM

After Aug 24 it was McCain that got the Biden Bump.

Posted by: Jack Grant at August 26, 2008 10:22 PM

new lyrics for a lieberal democrate song.


oh my.
oh bama.
oh shi t.

Posted by: cal2 at August 26, 2008 10:25 PM

I don't understand why the Big O convention is supposed to give him a bump. Hasn't the press coverage till now been at virtual saturation level already? The meter's already at the peg.

Correspondingly I would expect Mac to get a big bump out of his convention.

Posted by: Brett_McS at August 26, 2008 10:29 PM

This guy has failed to get a big bump on anything that he has done - went to Europe and doesn't look like he got any bump - if after a convention there is no bump in ratings - what is he going to do then?

Posted by: Maureen at August 26, 2008 10:36 PM

Obama's face has been on the cover of Time magazine 7 - yes seven - times this year alone.

The New York Times, right after it published an Obama op-ed, refused to publish one by McCain.

Oprah endorsed him and called him "the one"

Madonna is on Obama's side.

Hollywood is behind Obama.

And I could go on and on.

And all this orgy of help has only kept him in no better than a tie with McCain?

Obama is a very weak candidate by any standard.

It is hard to believe he could ever get elected President of the USA.

Posted by: Friend of USA at August 26, 2008 10:40 PM

I see "new" has improved his english but his algebra is worse.


algebra is arabic for mohammed counting his fingers after getting slapped for undoing an underage bra.

Posted by: cal2 at August 26, 2008 11:23 PM

Hillary has just unequivocally endorsed Obama. If this doesn't give him a bump, McCain might stand a chance. We'll see over the next few days.

Posted by: randall g at August 26, 2008 11:33 PM

Paul: My point is that you cannot conclude anyone has had a lead or received any bump of any sort by any action or word over the course of the three weeks shown. Not Obama. Not McCain. All the talk of changes in the numbers is all but meaningless because of the margin for error.

Posted by: MikeM at August 27, 2008 7:39 AM

Apparently somebody is unaware of historical precedents and how they tend to repeat.....

Failure to achieve a statistical advantage by this point in the campaign cycle is known to be a significant problem. This is a historical trend that has a high probability of repeating.

For those of us who are concerned about what a Democrat victory at this time would mean it is a GOOD THING.

Keep up the good work Barry.

Posted by: OMMAG at August 27, 2008 11:03 AM

Finally ... the O-bump.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/109897/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Moves-Ahead-48-42.aspx

Posted by: Paul at August 28, 2008 5:22 PM
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