Don Martin thinks he knows who Harper will put in cabinet. There's a project for some enterprising blogger - gather together all the media predictions to see how close they came after the dust settles. (I think Saskatchewan MP Gerry Ritz as Ag Minister is wishful thinking. Tory Ag Critic Diane Finley from Ontario is the more likely prospect.) Here's a more general list, at CBC.
And another at H&W.
Google takes a big hit.
"Three words: Hide Your Renaults."
Greg Staples has a new url - http://politicalstaples.com - Update accordingly!
Via Canadian Sentinel;
Iran's missiles are now ready to strike Western targets, and as soon as the instructions arrive from Ali Khamenei, we will launch our missiles at their cities and installations."These attacks will come against the US and the UK. In fact, they will target the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Israel because as Abbasi has said these nations "are all the children of the same mother" meaning the United Kingdom.
Add your own in the comments.
Posted by Kate at February 1, 2006 11:23 AMSmall Dead All Of Us from Sigmund, Carl, And Alfred
Anyone that believes that we can talk our way of the incoming Jihad is an idiot. It really is that simple. Muslim nations have been unable to talk their co-religionists out Jihad. The GIA in Algeria has made the rape of children as a part of their re... [Read More]
Tracked on February 1, 2006 12:16 PM
"Children of the same Mother?" If that's not a threat, I don't know what is. It's been said that Isreal and Egypt has an unofficial "understanding". Relations between the two countries have been somewhat cordial for the alleged fact that if Egypt screws with Isreal, the Suez Canal get nuked. No second chances, it will be gone. Poof. Interesting strategy. I wonder if a similar tactic should be used with Iran.....
Posted by: Eskimo at February 1, 2006 11:30 AMIn re France: Must have been pressure from those right-wing Harperistes in Quebec City.
Posted by: D.J. McGuire at February 1, 2006 11:48 AMAre there missiles that can reach Canada from Iran?I thought we were too far away based on current technology.As a westerner we look at this kind of stuff and think nobody would do such a thing.There are fanatics who clearly would do such a thing.The destruction of "our" society means nothing to them as we are not of their faith and while we may have evolved through technology and freedom of speech and action and all those other things the western world believes the fanatics see us as getting worse and a "suicide bombing" on a country wide basis makes sense.We value life more than the fanatics do!
Posted by: ian at February 1, 2006 11:51 AMIt's not so much that Iran has missles that scares me (Israel is poised to strike first and everyone knows it) but in light of yesterday's revelation---what is Putin prepared to do? He is the real wild card--not Iran.
Posted by: Doug at February 1, 2006 11:53 AMI don't think you have to worry about the range of a missle based in Iran as much as what'ts slipping in beneath Canada's lacklustre security radar. Only a fraction of the containers that arrive to ports in Canada are subject to inspection. You can hide lots of nasty stuff (read: suitcase dirty nuke) inside a 40 foot shipping container. From the harbour docks these containers are loaded on trains and trucks for further distribution deep inside Canada.
Do you think Canada's so-called revamped security under the watch of the Paul Martin Liberals can guarantee your safety? Don't bet on it. Good Lord, they hire baggage handlers at major airports without security checks.
Posted by: Eskimo at February 1, 2006 12:06 PMThe leaders of Islam are not stupid, they are winning the war, the quiet war of infiltration, they know they cannot win a shooting war. Will most of the West wake up to this fact before it's to late? Australia woke up, real fast. Untill the West realises that the goal of Islam is world dominance and acts accordingly we deserve what the stupid leaders in parts of the Western World allow to happen.
Posted by: Western Canadian at February 1, 2006 12:23 PMSeems to me that the basic rule of Islam is that "if you won't convert, you're dead." How can anyone peacefully co-exist with a society of religious fanatics like that.
Posted by: Mike at February 1, 2006 12:27 PMPolitical bias affects brain activity, study finds:
The test subjects on both sides of the political aisle reached totally biased conclusions by ignoring information that could not rationally be discounted, Westen and his colleagues say.
Then, with their minds made up, brain activity ceased in the areas that deal with negative emotions such as disgust. But activity spiked in the circuits involved in reward, a response similar to what addicts experience when they get a fix, Westen explained.
The study points to a total lack of reason in political decision-making.
Posted by: steve in bc at February 1, 2006 12:32 PMThe article you linked to talks about Ballistic Missile Defense. The theory behind BMD is sound. It'd be cool if it was feasible and could practically work. The reality is, that it cannot.
BMD is a fallacy, and that's why we shouldn't be spending money on it. You don't support the gun registry because it doesn't work, don't support BMD either. BMD doesn't work.
Posted by: Lore_Weaver at February 1, 2006 12:45 PMJobs? Willing to work for your Koranship? Want to take a free one-way trip to Mecca? See the Big Black Rock at Medina, too. See how scimitars are made/sharpened? BYOB. Apply here: >>
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Lore:
"BMD doesnt work"
I am constantly surprised at people who make that statement. To my (limited, i will admit) knowledge
BMD is a reasearh project, and there are various concepts of how this might be accomplished
One of the concepts has been proven to be unworkable. This doesnt mean that the idea of missile defense should be scrapped.
He forgot to add "YEARRRRRRGHHH".
Posted by: Krydor at February 1, 2006 1:08 PMAnyone interested in following the Danish cartoon saga should read The Religious Policeman blog.
He's been keeping on top of it.
This is most likely about more than cartoons. Darn, there goes that paranoia again.
A new worm is making the rounds that destroys Microsoft and Adobe documents. It is set to trigger on Friday. Information about the worm and removal of it in this post:
http://www.urbanrefugee.ca/content/333
Posted by: Sean at February 1, 2006 1:27 PMMike- "Seems to me that the basic rule of Islam is that "if you won't convert, you're dead." How can anyone peacefully co-exist with a society of religious fanatics like that."
I wouldn't be suprised if many native people of the Americas said something similar about christians back in the day.
Western Canadian- Osama Bin Laden and people like him aren't poised to take over the world. You're doing Al Qaeda a big favour by living in fear of them.
Posted by: Jose at February 1, 2006 1:56 PMDoug- If Israel delivers an airstrike against Iranian nuclear facilities I imagine Putin would criticize Israel in public and breathe a sigh of relief in private.
Posted by: Jose at February 1, 2006 1:59 PMSomeone wrote:
"BMD is a fallacy, and that's why we shouldn't be spending money on it. You don't support the gun registry because it doesn't work, don't support BMD either. BMD doesn't work."
The comparison above is illogical. Why? Because we know for sure that registering long guns of hunters doesn't do feck all to stop the daily handgun murders in major cities in Canada, nor the slayings of police officers by scumbags who'll get whatever firearm they damn well please, registry be damned.
BMD is obviously a technology being developed and perfected. Does that mean it doesn't work? Why, we have all kinds of technology working today previously thought impossible. Let's think outside the box the left has tried to force upon us...
What proof is there that BMD doesn't work? Is it really so inconceivable? Once upon a time it was inconceivable that there'd be a man walking on the moon. Well, men walked on the moon.
It was also until recently inconceivable that the Conservatives would win the election, let alone get a single seat in Quebec. They won, with ten seats in Quebec.
Come on. If it's possible to shoot down missiles from ships via phalanx cannons and it's possible to shoot down supersonic fighters from the ground and the air using missiles, then how is it impossible to develop a technology wherein there's detection and interception of incoming missiles?
The stubborn refusal of some, particularly moonbats, to believe the obvious, never ceases to amaze me! Bloody marvellous!
Posted by: Canadian Sentinel at February 1, 2006 2:18 PMSteve in BC "The study points to a total lack of reason in political decision-making."
It doesn't say that. What it says is that if people who strongly identify with a "side" such as republican/democrat tend not to think criticaly.
There can be more to politics than allegiance to a party although for many this isn't the case.
Posted by: Jose at February 1, 2006 2:22 PMFrom the looks of it, this has gone far, far beyond simple opportunism and rich girl aspirations. Some-one, some THING is determined to see a woman in power and is banking on Belinda. Give them rope...
Posted by: Cheri at February 1, 2006 01:18 PM >>>
"Some-one, some THING..." Who/What ????
Librano$. >
http://www.stevejanke.com/archives/155012.php#comments
Posted by: maz2 at February 1, 2006 2:37 PMJose,
Putin will side with the winner. But if only for a minute, Iran looks like it has the upper hand, then try to imagine what HE might unleash. That would truly be the beginning of the end for all of us.
Any bets on when a US-led coalition will have to march into Iran to rid them of those religious fruitcakes currently in charge???
Posted by: Joe Canuck at February 1, 2006 4:05 PMDoug,
Back in '67 the Israeli airforce decimated the airforces of Syria, Egypt and Jordan in the space of a few hours. Today their airpower advantage relative to their neighbors is even greater. And they don't need to beat three countries into simultaneous submission this time, just bomb a few installations.
By the time such an airstrike hits the tv news the Israeli pilots will already be celebrating back on base.
Btw, they've done this all before with Iraq.
Posted by: Jose at February 1, 2006 4:13 PMJose I am in fear of no one, you obiviously read it wrong.
Posted by: Western Canadian at February 1, 2006 4:40 PMCanadian Sentinel, "Come on. If it's possible to shoot down missiles from ships via phalanx cannons... (goes on to talk about BMD)
A phalanx cannon doesn't have to worry about intercepting a missile a thousand kilometers away. The phallanx has a missile bearing down directly in on its position. All it has to do is throw up a continous wall of hot lead and the enemy missile flies right into it. That's not an option for a BMD. It needs to protect several million square kilometers of target area from a missile that's moving on a tangent relative to its position. Oh and its also moving at mach21.
If the missile is a MIRV (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIRV) then you've got up to twelve warheads coming down on seperate trajectories from that one missile.
However a BMD isn't flat out impossible just beyond our reach. The US has thrown billions at it and the results have been dismal.
Still its not dummest thing the US Military has plowed a few billion dollars into.
Posted by: Jose at February 1, 2006 4:49 PMJust a clarification. I do think we'll probably have the technology to build BMD in a few decades.
Posted by: Jose at February 1, 2006 4:53 PMIRAN REDEPLOYS SHIHAB-3 MISSILES (MENL)
MENL ^
Posted on 02/01/2006 1:17:10 PM PST by maquiladora
LONDON [MENL] -- Iran, concerned over an Israeli or U.S. attack, has ordered the redeployment of its Shihab-3 intermediate-range missile force.
Western intelligence sources said the Islamic Revolutionary Guard has received orders to move Shihab-3 launchers in an attempt to prevent their destruction in an Israeli or U.S. air strike. The sources said the launchers were relocated to positions near the Iraqi border closer to U.S. military positions around Baghdad.
"The IRGC has been placed on war-footing," an intelligence source said. "The Shihab-3 units have been alerted to the prospect of an immediate strike."
The sources said the IRGC issued an order to the Shihab-3 missile units on Jan. 19. They said the units were ordered to move the Shihab launchers every 24 hours. >>
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1569632/posts
The shihab is a missile in search of a payload. Its currently not accurate enough to be useful as a conventional weapon. And its payload is probably too small for a low tech A-bomb (not that anyone is going to take that change).
It seems likely to me that Mahmoud is deliberately trying to provoke an airstrike from a western power probably Israel. That way he can play to hardliners and also convince Iran's pro-western youth that the west really is the enemy. Its not a new strategy, a number of arab leaders have been played "kick me" with Israel and America for similar reasons over the years.
Posted by: Jose at February 1, 2006 5:26 PMOh and the shihab is an overly enthusiastic missile it has a habit of blowing up before it reaches its target.
Posted by: Jose at February 1, 2006 5:29 PMI stick to my arguement from yesterday... blow the fuckers into space. You can't reason with a fanatic, so your only alternative is to kill them.
USA, stop screwing around with the Iranians and just plant a fricken cruise right in the middle of their equivalent to the house of commons while it's in session.
They'll get the hint.
If they don't, start targeting the houses of their religous leaders.
I can't understand why a nation that can nuke a pinhead from 10000 miles away, insists on sending in troops. Just cruise missle them into submission... before the Israeli's really start to worry and do it for us. That would be worse.
Posted by: JoeCalgary at February 1, 2006 5:35 PM"Any bets on when a US-led coalition will have to march into Iran to rid them of those religious fruitcakes currently in charge???"
A sucker bet...of course there will be a war in Iran...Bush needs it by September for the 2006 mid-term elections. The only bet worth taking is whether Canada will be there.
The fruitcake threat is irrelevant to a decision but useable.
Posted by: steve in bc at February 1, 2006 5:36 PMThis piece by William Arkin (no friend of the Bush administration) at the Washington Post outlines extensive US plans to deal with the Iranian threat:
"Attack Iran? We're Ready"
http://blogs.washingtonpost.com/earlywarning/2006/01/attack_iran_wer.html
Mark
Ottawa
Friday is kamsushtra day. Worm. Smart, stupid. >..
“It claims to be a movie or picture with some sort of sexual content,” said Johannes Ullrich, chief research officer at the non-profit SANS Institute research group. “That is how it tricks you.”
http://www.rapp.org/url/?WSIV37HX
via googlenews
The danger of intermediate range missiles is somewhat overblown, in my opinion. I believe Iran is posturing, trying to get something, perhaps more foreign aid, so they can send it to Hamas, in imminent danger of losing foreign aid. The real danger of a loose cannon like Iran is more localized. This ties in with the Liberal's ridiculous decision to purchase the Sikorsky (as yet undeveloped) marine helicopter rather than the proven EH-101. The result could very well be one our Frigates doing interdiction in the Persian Gulf could be an inviting target. Neither the Sea King or Sikorsky can defend that ship. Why - because they lack the range, technology or payload to do the job properly (ie) go out to 150 miles and hunt and interdict for 90 minutes. What we have now and will get can get out and have to turn back. The problem here is that Iran has submarines, fitted for submarine-launched cruise missiles (SLCM), with effective ranges of 150 miles. If our frigate has to deal with one missile, then phalanx may do the job, albeit with serious battle damage and loss of life. More than one warhead will mean the loss of the ship and casualties over 100 likely. The press never got this one and the military is happy they got something. Maybe the lawsuit by Augusta Westland, the manufacturer of the EH-101 is a blessing in disguise. Maybe we can go back to the EH-101, get back the penalties and use them to break the contract with Sikorsky, which frankly has proposed yesterday's technology to deal with the modern, ever-evolving operational situation our forces will face in their collective defence duties.
Posted by: Phil at February 1, 2006 6:34 PMIt would seem that Canada isn't the only country where people are threatening to separate.
Belgium is an artificial state, which prides itself on being the model of a federal Europe. It consists of 6 million Dutch-speakers in Flanders, its northern half, and 4 million French-speakers in Wallonia, its southern half. The country is dominated by its Socialist-dominated French minority, which has a constitutionally guaranteed veto over all major decisions and a guaranteed share of half the seats in government and major administrations.
The conservative, free-market oriented Flemings have been complaining for decades that they are forced to subsidize the south, while no improvement of the economic situation of the Walloons has been visible. On the contrary, Wallonia has become one of the most corrupt regions in Europe with hardly any economic growth.
An ever increasing amount of Flemish subsidies is flowing to the south each year (3.8 billion euros in 1990; 10.4 billion euros in 2003). Last November a group of Flemish intellectuals and businessmen published a manifesto proposing to transform Belgium into two states. The manifesto holds that the present situation is bad for Flanders, which is overtaxed, and for Wallonia, which is growing accustomed to a state of continued dependency. It claims that a Belgian divorce would produce a win-win situation for both Flanders and Wallonia, as the latter would have to take its fate into its own hands and shake off its economic lethargy.
Posted by: TimR at February 1, 2006 7:25 PMSpeaking as an engineer, not as an ideological partisan, what matters to me about BMD is the degree to which it works. The following is from a 2005-02-25 article by Reuters.
"A missile fired from a U.S. Navy ship off Kauai, Hawaii, intercepted and destroyed a mock warhead on Thursday, the fifth success in six such test of the fledgling U.S. anti-missile shield's sea-based leg, the Pentagon announced. "We had a successful hit-to-kill intercept," said Richard Lehner, a spokesman for the Pentagon's Missile Defense Agency.
"The target was tracked from the cruiser Lake Erie using the Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense Weapon System developed by Lockheed Martin Corp. It was launched from the U.S. Pacific Missile Range Facility at Barking Sands, Kauai. The ship fired a Standard Missile (SM)-3 at the target outside the earth's atmosphere during the descent phase of flight, Lockheed said. Raytheon Co. is developing the SM-3.
"The Defense Department plans to field up to 30 SM-3 missiles on Aegis-equipped ships by 2007 to destroy short- and medium-range ballistic missiles in mid-flight. Other systems are being developed to defend at different stages.
"For the ground-based mid-course leg of ballistic missile defense, managed for the Pentagon by Boeing Co., five of eight shoot down tests have been completed successfully."
Posted by: Vitruvius at February 1, 2006 8:08 PMI don't know why the US should be the ones to do all the dirty work. Let the God Damn Europeans and their superior, arrogant and condescending attitude look after the problem. They know it all let them deal with Islam. It's on their doorstep not ours see how they handle it.
Posted by: Western Canadian at February 1, 2006 8:32 PMInteresting thing in the news, a Saudi crown prince has purchased the Fairmount Hotels in Southern Alberta, like the Pallister and the one in the Park, forget the name of it for I think 9 billion.
Wonder how long before we become 'Mecca West'
Posted by: tomax at February 1, 2006 9:23 PMYou are all missing the point..Canada is not a target Israel is...they won't get the chance to fire a nuke at Israel...anybody out there want to bet on this...
Posted by: craig at February 2, 2006 12:30 AMInformation on Iran military capabilities is here:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/iran/index.html
It is important to note that even shorter range missiles can be launched from virtually any type of ship. They don't have to be warships. Cargo ships can be easily modified to place a ground style launcher inside a hold, or even on deck. These can then park in international waters off the coast of North America and still reach some major coastal cities - depending on the missile. Victoria, Vancouver, Halifax can come in range without question. And our coastal patrol aircraft don't fly often enough, over a wide enough range, in enough numbers, to watch over our entire coastline at all times. (Not through any fault of the Canadian Forces - aging airframes, lack of spare parts, and outdated equipment all contribute)
In the meantime, Iran has its own armaments industry, producing missiles, fighter aircraft and tanks. See above link.
I don't doubt that the Iranian Air Force and Army would lead anything but a short, exciting life should a US/coalition force have to go in after them, but they just may be more capable than Iraq was. If the Iranian equipment is as good as the link suggests, casualties on the coalition side will likely be higher than in the Iraqi war, but Iran will still lose in short order, due to problems in command and control that are common in middle-eastern and authoritarian countries. See this article:
http://www.unc.edu/depts/diplomat/AD_Issues/amdipl_17/articles/deatkine_arabs1.html
A long time reader of SDA: my first post - not including the one before Christmas where 'SDA reader' demographics were established.
Reboot
Jose said:"However a BMD isn't flat out impossible just beyond our reach. The US has thrown billions at it and the results have been dismal."
Apparently, PM John Howard sees things differently. Here's how real partners work together.
MISSILE DEFENSE
Jindalee Radar Boosts BMD
File photo of the Jindalee Operational Radar Network.
By Martin Sieff
UPI Senior News Analyst
Washington DC (UPI) Jan 11, 2006
Australia is continuing to develop its over-the-horizon Jindalee radar network that will now play a major role in the U.S. ballistic missile defense network.
The Jindalee system is already up and running and covering the northern approaches to the continent, the Melbourne Age newspaper reported Saturday. The paper said U.S. scientists who had studied it were impressed by its range and capability and had confirmed that it could detect a missile launch far away in Asia.
Officials from the giant U.S. aircraft and weapons manufacturer Lockheed Martin told The Age that the Australian system, officially known as the Jindalee Operational Radar Network (JORN), would be a highly effective part of the global missile defence shield. They said it significantly increased the time available for a defence system to intercept missiles.
The scientists said Jindalee would be part of an electronic network, including spy satellites and yet-to-be built air warfare destroyers, able to pick up the launch of a missile and, by tracking it, work out its target. The ship or a land-based anti-missile system would then shoot the missile down.
Standard radar sends a signal along line of sight until it bounces off a target ship or aircraft. However, JORN bounces signals off the ionosphere, which lies above the stratosphere and extends about 600 miles above Earth. The signal then bounces down onto its target. In that way it can apparently pick up even sophisticated stealth bombers, which are virtually invisible to standard radar, The Age said.
In July 2004 Australia agreed to cooperate with the United States on missile defence and in early 2005, Lt. Gen. Henry "Trey" Obering III, director of the U.S. Missile Defense Agency, visited Australia for talks with government and defence officials involved in the Jindalee project.
The Australian government of Prime Minister John Howard plans to spend tens of billions of dollars over the next decade to develop the sophisticated military technology needed to intercept missiles capable of carrying nuclear, chemical or biological warheads.
The Howard government plans to buy three air warfare destroyers, to be equipped with the Aegis missile control system.
Well let's hope they've had more sucess than the americans have had recently.
Posted by: Jose at February 2, 2006 8:47 AMI'd like to get a pool going as to how wrong Martin's "predictions" will be now he's sitting with his porcine snout pressed up against the glass partition between the butt snorkeling press gallery and the new PMO.
I say when Don is forced to use his knowledge of the CPC organization or his non existant "friends" in the PMO, he can't be better than 10% correct. ;-)
Posted by: WL Mackenzie Redux at February 2, 2006 10:18 AMOverheard on the Internet. When will this blog go down? Will Vijay survive?
Martin is the puppetmaster? No, Martin is the front: Moe Strong/Power Corp.,/Gagliano gang/Chretien & henchmen/ & Ignatieff's cabal & who else are locked in a struggle for ascendancy.>>
I know McKenna was actively gauging his support,with some key Martin people making calls on his behalf. I also know Dosanjh was seriously considering a run. Some rumblings out of today’s regional caucus meetings seem to indicate that senior people once associated with Martin are encouraging caucuses not to endorse candidates until they’ve had a chance to discuss it as a whole. Don’t know if they will find much traction there.
On the unlikely chance you feel any of this bears repeating, I’d prefer you didn’t mention me. Also, if you’d like to exchange thoughts or wild speculation on any of the goings on, feel free to contact me.” >>
http://www.vijaysappani.com/myblog/
"There's a project for some enterprising blogger - gather together all the media predictions to see how close they came after the dust settles."
That's my plan. Updates soon.
Posted by: Kerry at February 2, 2006 2:14 PMJacques still above ground? Sacre bleu. En garde, Jacques! Etudiez-vous, Jacques, bonhomme? >>>
Former PQ leader Parizeau says sovereigntists have to study Harper policies
Canadian Press
Published: Thursday, February 02, 2006
QUEBEC (CP) - Former Parti Quebecois premier Jacques Parizeau says sovereigtists need to know their new enemy better and that means getting to know Stephen Harper's policies.
Parizeau is urging sovereigntists to read the policy program of the Conservative Party of Canada and see how it would affect Quebec. He told students in Quebec City today he personally wants to read the speech the Conservative leader gave before Christmas in which Harper offered an outstretched hand to Quebecers.
Parizeau believes sovereigntists were caught off guard by the Tories' performance in Quebec where they won 10 seats, mostly in the Quebec City region. >>> more
http://www.voy.com/178771/128727.html
Follow the Funny Pages: Here come da Judges with da bad Judgements: Judge Gomery Yourself. Report back, please.
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