The Sound Of Settled Science

Oh sorry we screwed up 'within the margin of error'....

Yep, might as well be spinning the "Climate Wheel of Fortune".

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2217286/Global-warming-stopped-16-years-ago-reveals-Met-Office-report-quietly-released--chart-prove-it.html?ito=feeds-newsxml

Global warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly released... and here is the chart to prove it
The figures reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012 there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures
This means that the ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996.

Cheers

Hans Rupprecht, Commander in Chief

1st Saint Nicolaas Army
Army Group “True North”

‘Managing Severe Uncertainty’

Otherwise know as what all of us who are not tenured academics do on a day-to-day basis. Save money, buy wheel weights and sugar.

'Managing Severe Uncertainthy': bafflegab to mask statistical garbage and still obtain the desired results - and funding.

Q: How to manage severe uncertainty

A: Hope for the best and plan for the worst. That doesn't mean government should heed the cries of societies' chronic worriers/statists demanding protection from all risks, real or imagined, by taxing and regulating the productive parts of the economy into submission. It means having a strong economy that can afford to deal with whatever severe uncertainties may occur.

Who in their right mind would want someone with an advanced Humanities degree to be offering any advice on energy policy (which is what climate change policy is really about)? Their arrogance about their importance combined with their lack of knowledge of industry, family finances and energy production is a deadly combination.

Department of Silly Walks.

Why don't they learn to manage regular everyday uncertainty before they take on the severe uncertainty.

Which reminds me of one of my favourite phrases emanating from the money management community:

In these uncertain times ...
As opposed to those certain times when all was perfectly known in advance by all.

The Co2 hate fest might be a cover up for something like this:http://www.globalresearch.ca/environmental-modification-techniques-enmod-and-climate-change/16413.

A strange thing happened in Whitehorse this year - we did not have any summer here; it was cold and windy and cloudy all summer; yet some mornings dawned clear and cloudless. On those clear mornings, I would plan to have a great day outside then many jets would fly by with gigantic 'trails'; they would crisscross in the sky and within an hour the wind would be up and the clear sky would be obliterated by a milky cover of 'cloud'. Whitehorse is on the flight path of American jets flying to Alaska (home of HAARP).

The real proof of this activity is the fact that N. B.C. and the rest of the Yukon had a warm, sunny summer. Dawson City (300 miles North!) was beautiful almost every day, Carmacks (50 miles North) was also clear and warm - we went there to get a tan this year; Watson Lake (south) and Faro (North East) also enjoyed a regular summer.

There were few wasps, bees and birds in Whitehorse area but lots elsewhere. Gardens were pathetic.

Alaska had a cold, wet, windy 'summer' season in most parts of the state.

Things that make me go hummm?

From my perspective, there appears to be zero correlation between CO2 levels and temperature. I guess this is just my perception, oh well...

Just because the economy is in the garbage can does not mean we can't find a few million bucks to slip to our friends for more useless research. Even if it's a subject they know nothing about. Government thinking 101. Humanities conclusion will probably be that the inability to manage severe uncertainty kills 42000 people every year and second hand uncertainty costs the medical system billions annually. Since the IPCC has been completely discredited the Humanities dept. will take over from here. Their research will hand the power over to the health dept. which will recommend higher taxes to stamp out uncertainty. Voters will be happy to pay extra taxes just to be certain. As the wisdom of all the above posts show, when one horse has been ridden into the ground you simply change horses and keep riding.

This illustrates one of the things I detest about modern "higher" "education". A couple of fellows named Taleb and Mandelbrot have been thinking about uncertainties and decision-making (well, Mandelbrot is no longer with us) and have written some successful books about it. Taleb is devoting much of his efforts to devising systems which are robust (unlike our present economic system). So a few pricks of university administrators and senior profs have decided to horn in. The name of their "Centre" is gobbledegook as is everything else about their actions.

Taleb might get somewhere, with his unique background of trading experience, philosophical studies, and mathematics. The LSE people are just frauds.

"Milking the Zeitgeist for all it's worth", one might call it, if polite. Or "whoring", if one is not.

How do you manage severe uncertainty? I'm not entirely sure...